Posted:
#1
I've been tinkering around with a way to avoid playing that huge C, D, or even E bet on chase systems. I believe I have a way out of it. I imagine that most people that follow in forums play more than one chase. Basically, I'm flat betting each day and adjusting my unit amount to the next day. After a certain amount of winnings, I pull out a percentage of my starting bankroll, and bank it...never to be used again.
Next post has a copy of the backtest I used. I just hope it comes out looking okay. It is from MLB 2013. I used Rizz's chase, Rotation Play, and 2 others I was looking at: Play dog if O/U is 9 or less, and Low Scoring Home Win, chase 3gs.
The starting bankroll was 100 and I used 5% (5), as my starting unit. When I hit 25% of my starting BR (25) I pulled it out and banked it. Using the 5% for units, example would if my BR was at 110, my unit was 5.5.
When I had a game that 2 chases were against each other, it was a no play. If it was 2 against 1, I played the 2.
Below on the right column, is the amount each day won or lost, and below that, the next day's wager size.
This was from Apr 1st to Apr 8th. Starting on Apr 9th, I was playing with house money.
I hope the excel looks good so you can read it clearly.
0
Hot Forum Topics
