Don't chase system for MLB

Oh well, on to tonite's games. Line looks like this after this morning:

20-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-10-20

HOU +170  20/34     LAD RL +120  20/24

BOS +170  20/34  NYY RL (+105) parlayed to over 9 (-105)  15/45

Probably going to hate myself for that last play.

Sorry, bets should be double the stated amounts:

HOU  40/68    LAD RL 40/48

BOS  40/68    NYY RL parlay  30/90

4-1 on the pairs today. Bank = 2402.25  There's our 20% and we did it in less than a month.  I think we can see that the Lab line is not really being followed as such. What I have noticed is that we continue to hit about 88% on our games so let's approach the system a little differently. There appears to be about 4-5 games a day that turn out to be plays so I would like to change the format. Let's start using a 10-game win block as the marker to reset our bets. We can start by betting $10 a side ($20 total per game) on the first games of our series. If we suffer a loss on a game before we hit 10 wins we increase our bets to $20 per side ($40 total per game). Should we get a second loss before we reach 10 wins we increase the bet again to $60/side ($120/game). At this point based on the history, we should get our 10th win and we can reset our bets back down and start a new series. In 23 days of doing this so far we have had 2 losers in only 2 of those days. We will get 10 wins in about 2 1/2 days. One thing that is important however is that we can not start a new series after a day where we had a loss. We must end series on a sweep day. There have been 12 sweep days out of the 23, a little over half. Let's see if this simplifies things. If we get a 2-loss day in the middle of the series, we'll just have to figure out what to do with that when it happens. I am inclined to increase the level of bets with each loss whether they happen on the same day or not. We'll see. We start tomorrow at the beginning of a new 10-game series.

5 games for today:

CIN  +115  10/11.50   ATL RL +170  10/17

KC  +125  10/12.5  CLE RL +145  10/14.5

LAA +140  10/14  CHW RL +135  10/13.5

SF +150  10/15  AZ RL +125  10/12.5

MIL RL +115  10/11.50   PIT +135  10/13.50

First game today, not an ideal situation because of the odds:

FLA +205  15/30.75   STL RL -110  25/22

Back later.

Early game winner. 5 wins to go to end the series:

MIL RL +140  20/28  PIT +110   20/22

BAL +130  20/26  TEX RL +140 20/28

NYM +110  20/22   WAS RL +170  20/34  potential danger game. Leave this off if you want to. I'm playing it.

LAA +130  20/26  CHW RL +155  20/31

Also as a little kicker I played an extra 10 on BAL and 10 on TEX parlayed to the over 9.5. I won't use this in the results to keep the integrity of the system.

These games just jumped out at me today:

BOS +130  60/78   PHI RL +140  60/84

MIL +150  60/90   MIN RL +115  60/69

TOR  +130  60/78    AZ RL +140  60/84

 We need the sweep to close out this series. This would give us an 11-win series. If we have a failure tonight, tomorrow's bet will be $180/side  $360/game. Let's hope it doesn't come to that.

Thanks, sm.

Today's games so far:

LAA +130  10/13  STL RL +145  10/14.5

BAL +135  10/13.5   WAS RL +140  10/14

TOR +130  10/13   AZ RL  +150  10/15

Adding:

MIL  +120  10/12  MIN RL +145  10/14.50

Well, I have to say I'm a little shaken after yesterday. Watching 3 and 4-run leads turn into losers was tough. So I guess we're at another defining moment to see if this is going to work or not. Bets must go to $60/side or $120/game.

CIN RL +120  60/72  CLE +125  60/75

BAL  EVEN  70/70  WAS RL +180  50/90

DET +150  60/90   LAD RL +130  60/78