One last thing for tonite. I've noticed that a lot of chase systems are getting hammered lately in baseball. This is why I don't do chases based on a specific team. STL killed those systems this week. They got swept as big favorites in every game.
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One last thing for tonite. I've noticed that a lot of chase systems are getting hammered lately in baseball. This is why I don't do chases based on a specific team. STL killed those systems this week. They got swept as big favorites in every game.
i only played the last two game of the st louis series and still took a nice hit... there has been way to many sweeps this year in mlb so now im with you kirby on this sysstem lets do this
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i only played the last two game of the st louis series and still took a nice hit... there has been way to many sweeps this year in mlb so now im with you kirby on this sysstem lets do this
Kirby... i don't follow how Boston cleared that line cos although you won $62.50 with boston ..you lost $50 with Detroit... therefore only profitting $12.50 ..not the $45 required to clear the line...what am I missing ?..
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Kirby... i don't follow how Boston cleared that line cos although you won $62.50 with boston ..you lost $50 with Detroit... therefore only profitting $12.50 ..not the $45 required to clear the line...what am I missing ?..
You're right neilsy, the way I'm using the line, clearing it doesn't mean that it recoups the money lost on the previous bet. I'm just using it as a way of keeping track of what I should be betting on any given day. I'm looking at the whole line as a series of bets and the profitablility of clearing the line comes from winning a very large percentage of the bets over the life of the line. This line that BOS just cleared for me, for example, started on 5/12. To clear this line required 11 games in which i went 9-2. This was a pretty poor performing series but over the life of the line I made 15.50 or .7% on the Bank in 2 days. The previous line was also a 2-day event and it took 9 games to clear at 8-1. Profit from that series was 93.00 or 4.2% on the Bank in 2 days. So you can see the variance of these series of games that I bet. I envision one of these particularly nasty series to clear the line with a loss, but that's the trade off for not having to put out 10x the normal bet amount just to recoup the previous loser. It's a grind, but I think at a greatly reduced risk. The chances of hitting two losing games back-to-back are small at a little over 3% but if you do happen to get hit you're finished. Hitting two losers back-to-back here, while damaging, doesn't put us out of the ball game.
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You're right neilsy, the way I'm using the line, clearing it doesn't mean that it recoups the money lost on the previous bet. I'm just using it as a way of keeping track of what I should be betting on any given day. I'm looking at the whole line as a series of bets and the profitablility of clearing the line comes from winning a very large percentage of the bets over the life of the line. This line that BOS just cleared for me, for example, started on 5/12. To clear this line required 11 games in which i went 9-2. This was a pretty poor performing series but over the life of the line I made 15.50 or .7% on the Bank in 2 days. The previous line was also a 2-day event and it took 9 games to clear at 8-1. Profit from that series was 93.00 or 4.2% on the Bank in 2 days. So you can see the variance of these series of games that I bet. I envision one of these particularly nasty series to clear the line with a loss, but that's the trade off for not having to put out 10x the normal bet amount just to recoup the previous loser. It's a grind, but I think at a greatly reduced risk. The chances of hitting two losing games back-to-back are small at a little over 3% but if you do happen to get hit you're finished. Hitting two losers back-to-back here, while damaging, doesn't put us out of the ball game.
That is mostly correct. There have been days that I've limited the amount of plays to what the Labby line dictates, but this is evolving a little and the strength of this is in numbers of plays. We can only clear a line on a zero loss day however.
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That is mostly correct. There have been days that I've limited the amount of plays to what the Labby line dictates, but this is evolving a little and the strength of this is in numbers of plays. We can only clear a line on a zero loss day however.
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