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JM NFL System

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Posted: #51
If Tennessee loses the "C" game, do you start a new series on Tennessee?
 
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Posted: #52
3-0 today with oakand (SU win!), st louis, and buffalo

tenn laid an egg, so we have that dreaded C bet next week...

week 7:
Tampa Bay
Tenn
NY Jets

week 8 potentials:
none
 
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Posted: #53
titans are on bye week next week. they won't be a play until week 8 when they play the Jaguars at home.
 
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Posted: #54
The NYJ are the only play next week since they lost to BUF.  TENN is on a bye and TB covered the spread in Week #4.  Remember that a team must lose outright and against the spread for three games to qualify as a play. 
 
On a related note...it is disappointing that TENN was the only failure game today as a [B] play.  As shitty as the other three plays looked early in the week, two of them won outright and the third (STL) lost in OT!
 
Now a huge bet has to be made on TENN in week 8 as a [C] play.
 
NYJ for week #7....our only system play.
 
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Posted: #55
 sigh of realief right here, I thought Ten was the strongest play....wow just wow they better turn that garbage around for the C bet, maybe a good thing they have the bye week.
 
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Posted: #56
is Tampa Bay and NYJ the only 2 plays JM has this week?
if are the bet on the spread or the ML?
 
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Posted: #57
on3,

it seems that NYJ is the only play this week
unless Im missing something


ASSPHALT,

if they are the UNDERDOG take the points
if FAVORED play the moneyline
 
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Posted: #58

Quote Originally Posted by ASSPHALTCOWGIRL:

is Tampa Bay and NYJ the only 2 plays JM has this week?
if are the bet on the spread or the ML?

TB is not a play.  The Bucs covered week 4 at Wash.

Only NYJ.

Best of Luck

 
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Posted: #59
Thanks guys I'm getting the hang of it
I'm reading my ass off when I have time,
like to today  I'm laid over nothing to do
 
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Posted: #60

Quote Originally Posted by ASSPHALTCOWGIRL:

Thanks guys I'm getting the hang of it
I'm reading my ass off when I have time,
like to today  I'm laid over nothing to do

 

 we are enjoying your company cowgirl.... good luck!!

 
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Posted: #61

i am not betting a [c] bet on tennesse   i will put the  a/b loss split between the next a bets!!

they have hurt me so far!!!

 
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Posted: #62
you are correct, NYJ is the only play this week. next week will be Tennessee

as a personal play I'll play Baltimore since they have lost 2 SU and ATS.

maybe i will start tracking teams with at least a .500 record that have lost 2 SU and ATS and see what that system looks like...i think the teams that have fallen under the 2 SU and ATS over .500 record this season were: Pitt, Arizona, Atlanta and they all won the third game.

can anyone help me back test this?
 
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Posted: #63
balt covered last week against minn????
 
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Posted: #64

Quote Originally Posted by on3:

you are correct, NYJ is the only play this week. next week will be Tennessee

as a personal play I'll play Baltimore since they have lost 2 SU and ATS.

maybe i will start tracking teams with at least a .500 record that have lost 2 SU and ATS and see what that system looks like...i think the teams that have fallen under the 2 SU and ATS over .500 record this season were: Pitt, Arizona, Atlanta and they all won the third game.

can anyone help me back test this?

Actually the Jets have now lost 3 SU and ATS. so they lost the 3rd game.

 
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Posted: #65
Puppetm716 the chase (A bet) starts after a team loses 3 su and 3 ats. 
 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

Puppetm716 the chase (A bet) starts after a team loses 3 su and 3 ats. 


puppetm716 was responding to my previous question about .500 or better teams covering/winning the next game after only 2 SU and ATS losses.

for aznballer, balt covered the +3 last week after losing the previous 2 SU and ATS. but i see where i messed up my 'rule' of 2 SU and ATS since balt doesnt fit that. sorry about that.
 
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Posted: #67
good luck with the Jets today everyone.
 
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Posted: #68
easy win with the Jets today.

Week 8 plays:
Tennessee

in other news, I want to clarify what I was saying earlier about finding opportunities that provide more plays. this is my OWN system that i took a look at and saw an opportunity, not JM's. I REPEAT, THIS IS MY OWN SYSTEM, NOT JM's. here are the parameters:

modified system:
team loses 2 SU and ATS and has a .500 record or better AFTER the 2 losses. you then start a 3 game chase. currently, the system only allows plays after a team loses 3 SU and ATS.

modified system plays for current year:
ny jets (won on modified B bet -- original system A bet), balt (won on modified A bet), SD (won on modified A bet)

i back tested the modified plays for last year and it went 10-0 SU and 8-1-1 ATS. here are the results for last year:

2008        bet   date       opponent    SU  ATS
ny jets       A    14-Dec     buffalo       W    L
buffalo       C    23-Nov    kc              W    W
balt            A    19-Oct     miami        W    W
denver       B    6-Nov      clev           W    W
cardinals    A    5-Oct       buffalo      W    W
green bay  B    12-Oct     seattle       W    W
chicago      A    23-Nov    st louis       W    W
washing     A    23-Nov    seattle        W    P
dallas         A    26-Oct     tampa        W    W
philly          B    27-Nov    arizona       W    W

modified system plays for Week 8 are:
ny giants
chicago bears


any thoughts???
 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by on3:

easy win with the Jets today.

Week 8 plays:
Tennessee

in other news, I want to clarify what I was saying earlier about finding opportunities that provide more plays. this is my OWN system that i took a look at and saw an opportunity, not JM's. I REPEAT, THIS IS MY OWN SYSTEM, NOT JM's. here are the parameters:

modified system:
team loses 2 SU and ATS and has a .500 record or better AFTER the 2 losses. you then start a 3 game chase. currently, the system only allows plays after a team loses 3 SU and ATS.

modified system plays for current year:
ny jets (won on modified B bet -- original system A bet), balt (won on modified A bet), SD (won on modified A bet)

i back tested the modified plays for last year and it went 10-0 SU and 8-1-1 ATS. here are the results for last year:

2008        bet   date       opponent    SU  ATS
ny jets       A    14-Dec     buffalo       W    L
buffalo       C    23-Nov    kc              W    W
balt            A    19-Oct     miami        W    W
denver       B    6-Nov      clev           W    W
cardinals    A    5-Oct       buffalo      W    W
green bay  B    12-Oct     seattle       W    W
chicago      A    23-Nov    st louis       W    W
washing     A    23-Nov    seattle        W    P
dallas         A    26-Oct     tampa        W    W
philly          B    27-Nov    arizona       W    W

modified system plays for Week 8 are:
ny giants
chicago bears


any thoughts???



This might work because if the team is .500 they have the power rating to defeat the other team.
I wonder if we filtered they opponent if that would make a diffrence
intresting
 
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Posted: #70
interesting ON3.....
 
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Posted: #71
I like it and will give it a try this upcoming week.  Chicago SU at home should be a win vs Cleveland.
 
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Posted: #72

Quote Originally Posted by Kohler:

I like it and will give it a try this upcoming week.  Chicago SU at home should be a win vs Cleveland.

 

ive been picking 3 to 6 games with 9 point teaser...chicago is in one of my teasers this week!  need tonights game to be over 28.5 to win a 9 game 9 point teaser.

 
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Posted: #73
I just made a deposit in 5daimes (my first) made a bet on Tenn.
it was made on bet the board before I seen straight.
what the hell is bet the board? did I screw up?
 
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Posted: #74
Bet the Board just allows you to put in multiple bets at the same time.  You can fill in numbers 'to win' and place all of your bets at once.  If you do Straight bets, you are betting one game at a time.  Thats the only difference....
 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by KMang:

Bet the Board just allows you to put in multiple bets at the same time.  You can fill in numbers 'to win' and place all of your bets at once.  If you do Straight bets, you are betting one game at a time.  Thats the only difference....

Thanks KMang, I looked everywhere for the answer, learning every day
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