Carrying on the idea from the previous post (#229) let's continue the discussion on the
Runline Blitz.
What if we could combine the
top and
2nd favorite into one..
Explanation: Whichever Chase (
Top or
2nd) is deeper into it's individual chase, we play that game as our Runline Blitz game for the day..
Example: DAY 1: Play Top FavTop Fav GAME 1 - WIN
2nd Fav GAME 1 - WIN
both win.. DAY 2: Play Top Fav -
since both are still on game 1Top Fav GAME 1 - WIN
2nd Fav GAME 1 - loss
DAY 3: Play 2nd Fav -
since 2nd fav is on game 2, which is deeper than top fav's game 1Top Fav GAME 1 - loss
2nd Fav GAME 2 - WIN
With the above example, we would have made 3 Units, instead of just 2 if we were playing just the Top Fav exclusively, each day.
So you say.. Would this produce more Units..??
Not only would this produce
more Units, but it also reduces the risk of going deeper into our Chase. Here are this year's numbers:
Runline BlitzTop Favorite only: 31-0 (31-34)
2nd Favorite only: 30-0 (30-35)
Criss-Cross Blitz: 35-0 (35-30)
The Game-by-Game breakdown numbers are on the spreadsheet, but let's include them here for side-by-side direct comparison..
Top FavoriteGame 1: 14-18
Game 2: 7-10
Game 3: 5-5
Game 4: 4-1
Game 5: 1-0
2nd FavoriteGame 1: 12-18
Game 2: 7-12
Game 3: 8-3
Game 4: 1-2
Game 5: 2-0
Criss-CrossGame 1: 20-16
Game 2: 6-9
Game 3: 5-4
Game 4: 3-1
Game 5: 1-0
It's pretty easy to notice the increased number of Winners on Game 1, and Game 1 Winners means more Units in the long run.
The strategic thinking behind this is that we are placing our $$ on a game which technically should have a higher percentage of winning, even tho we know that is not really true. If one of the chases is on a Game 1, and the other is on a Game 4, we have to believe the Game 4 has a higher chance of winning since these Chases always hit on Game 4 or 5..
The above numbers show a play on the
Top Favorite when both chases are on the same game #. If we actually handicapped the 2 games available on these days, it should be believed we could increase our Wins even further, since some days we would chose to play the
2nd Favorite if we found it more favorable. Much like we handicap now when 2 games open within 5 cents of each other and make the better choice for the System.
So.. there we have it. Two viable options on how we could make the Runline Blitz even more profitable than what it all ready is for us.
I would like to hear some feedback on these ideas and how you would like this to proceed.
This is not just a testing thread like some of the others in the forum, I actually wager all these plays and will wager on anything new which we set up, if it looks profitable.
I know there are a large number of people who view this, based on the daily view counts alone, and a number of people who are wagering on this System right now. Please drop a comment on how you would like this to proceed, this is for your benefit as well as mine. I will create more spreadsheets, if need be, and continue to track everything properly.
With the Top 7 Home Team having no Official plays during the next 2 weeks of Interleague, I am looking at starting this right away.
Thank you for your time.