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Kreatture's 2010 MLB Playbook

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Posted: #426
DJ-

Come on man...you think the only people who go on big losing streaks and have bad days/weeks are those who chase???  That's completely unfair.  Sports gambling is tough...period.  We go through spots like this...we question our decisions.  It happens to every single one of us.  Different people have different approaches and many of them can work...whether it's chasing, or using labby, betting 10 games a day, or betting one.  All these have their ups and downs and it's different strokes for different folks.  All have their pros and cons.  Don't come in piling on from the top of Mt. Pious.  It's not fair to Kreatture, or the forum.  We know you don't like chasing, you've made it clear in numerous threads...this is not the time to remind us.  You make some good contributions around here, but an "I told you so" post is totally uncalled for.  We get enough of that crap from the sportsbaths of the world.  Lets get back to learning from each other, supporting each other, and winning.

Leprechaun
 
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Posted: #427
K-man...don't second guess yourself.  This was the right play.  Sometimes the right plays lose.  If they didn't, we'd all be pretty damn wealthy.  You build a system knowing that these things will happen and you have to be ready to take it.  It is damn tough...lord knows.  I got destroyed in similar fashion last week myself.  The key to surviving is trying to build a way to manage things that can absorb these losses.  I'm still trying to figure out how to do that.  You had the cushion to absorb this...that is something you can't forget and that is the biggest positive from this.  Your foundation is a solid as can be.  The best you can do is learn from these moments.  Take a look at your strategy and see how you can best protect yourself when this happens again...because it will happen.  That's the whole point of a system!  It's also the reason I try to focus on money management...although maybe that isn't the answer either.  No system is completely infaliable so you keep learning and adjusting.  You had the right play and it lost.  So what.

You've got a few days off so take a break...drink a few beers, get laid and then get back in here and keep winning (that's what I did this weekend!  It does wonders).  We've still got another 6 weeks or so to pile on units.  See you after the break.

Leprechaun
 
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Posted: #428
It had nothing to do with his plays and everything to do with him questioning his abilities... The breakdown that he just went through is because of the chase, and not a losing streak.

I agree everyone goes through bad streaks but the difference is I can start minimizing bad streaks by lowering my units -- chases on the other hand ADD additional units as the streak gets worst??? It just doesn't make sense.

All I know is that the only reason you raise your units is because of the chase, not because the strength of the play calls for it. Both you and kreatture have run into a bad patch and I agree you two will pull out of it, but that doesn't eliminate the fact that chasing is FATALISTIC.

I know after a bad patch myself, I'm not questioning my approach or my methods... I'm not having flashbacks... I'm not confused or dazed... 

I'm not trying to be a hater or a basher and I think you guys know that... but it's not too late to get away from chase-systems and get into regular betting. It really is the only way to consistently make profits. 
 
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Posted: #429
Sorry about the carpetbomb, Kreature.

I'm pulling for your system and I want to see it work.



GL after the break
 
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Posted: #430
No need to feel sorry, K.  We took our chances the same as you.  I don't question the system, and I certainly don't question your handicapping methods.  As I recall, it was this time last year when you made your appearance in this forum, and you picked up some 100 units between mid-July and the end of August.  No system is perfect, though, and the unlikliest of occurances can happen.  We were reminded of that again this past weekend.  The question is, what do we do now?  For me, I'm getting ready for the upcoming weekend.  There's only 7 games on Thurday, so no Runline Blitz game, but Atl hosts Mil and Stl hosts the Dodgers.  Let's get 'em back.
 
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Posted: #431
 
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Posted: #432
Will texas win or will baltimore loss do we continue the chase ? no wager for me,I cant chase 3500. I jumped in on the 3rd game for 1000. RL    4rth game 2450.00 RL
 
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Posted: #433
Sorrry there is no crying in baseball ,the call me the "Kooler". when i jump on the run . it dumps
 
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Posted: #434
  1. White Sox
  2. Philedelphia
  3. St Louis
  4. Atlanta
  5. San Francisco

 

 
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Posted: #435
Quote Originally Posted by DWest35:

  1. White Sox  1 unit Play
  2. Philedelphia 1 Unit Play
  3. St Louis 1 Unit Play
  4. Atlanta 1 Unit Play
  5. San Francisco 1 Unit Play
  6. Angels 2 Unit Play

 

 
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Posted: #436

Quote Originally Posted by jkp714:

Will texas win or will baltimore loss do we continue the chase ? no wager for me,I cant chase 3500. I jumped in on the 3rd game for 1000. RL    4rth game 2450.00 RL

Texas should Win, as there pitching staff is better then Boston, I would anticipate Boston using there Bullpen 35% of the game, while Texas utilizes there Bull Pen around 37%. Both teams are on a losing streak as we know.  This game would definitely be a ML game in favor of Texas. It shold be a 1 run game

 
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Posted: #437
Quote Originally Posted by DWest35:

Texas should Win, as there pitching staff is better then Boston, I would anticipate Boston using there Bullpen 35% of the game, while Texas utilizes there Bull Pen around 27%. Both teams are on a losing streak as we know.  This game would definitely be a ML game in favor of Texas. It shold be a 1 run game

 
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Posted: #438

Quote Originally Posted by K4ngur13:

A Friend of mine says "Hi" (7leighton), so "Hi"

 
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Posted: #439

Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



This kind of talk only comes with a chase, friend. Doubling-up because you're on a losing streak hardly seems logical, yet it seems every system is based around it. I only raise my wager if the play specifically calls for it... Much less stress. 

7leighton says Hi, and told me "If I ever sign up with Covers to look you up" hope we can work togethe on some strategies

 
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Posted: #440

Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

Hello

I feel pretty bad for the Texas loss this weekend.. it just shouldn't have happened.

A few Systems were on Texas this weekend, including Rizz's which has been doing very good, and that just makes it worse since people saw the same play on 2 of the best Systems here so probably hit it harder..

I'm confused and dazed over the past 4 games, with continuous flashbacks to Friday night's 6-2, 2-out, 2-strike, 9th inning Grand Slam by Corey Patterson..

The Top 7 Home Team System and Blitz Systems are both still UP Units for the Season, but it's going to be a hard Recovery Process for the Top 7 this time.. it's never had to face recovering from a 4-game series loss.

This is the 2nd "Double Unit Play" this season which saw a bottom 7 road team sweep a top 7 home team, which leaves me baffled.

...............

I just completed a 3-hour self therapy session, and I'm still a bit dazed from it.. but I'm left questioning things now. I'm questioning everything that has happened the past 2 years and wondering.. wondering what to make of it all..? Questioning my approach.. questioning my methods.. questioning if this is really what I should be doing..

Lots of questions.. no answers.

The All-Star Break could not have come at a better time. Hopefully I'll find some answers over the next few days..

I'm sorry for those who lost this weekend.

Cheers..

 

Hey a Friend of mine says Hi, (7leighton)

 
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Posted: #441
Really enjoyed the time away from baseball during the break. Enjoyed watching the All-Star Game. Enjoyed not having to update these spreadsheets. I've enjoyed doing so all along, but I have so much going on in my personal life right now, it was a relief to not have to worry about getting the plays in.
I'll do my best to keep this updated, but there's a possibility it may stall, as I may be moving to Calgary. For now, let's get some Units back. Post All-Star break was very lucrative last season.
Thoughts on the Texas Series Loss -- It was a tough sweep, but we stand behind it, and anyone who says it was a bad play clearly does not understand anything about this. These guys could play 100 more 4-game series this season and Baltimore might sweep them once. It was just one of those rare things which happens every 10 years or so. It just happened to burn us while in Recovery Mode, otherwise it wouldn't be nearly as big a deal. The Filters are being lifted, for now, when we see an edge in a series and we will attack as many games as we feel we have the edge in. As stated in the Forum last season, a System is only a guideline, and should be used as such. We have a very solid guideline laid out, and will take advantage whenever possible.



KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - JULY 15TH, 2010
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet. Navigate among the tabs at the top of the page to get to the desired page.


CRISS-CROSS BLITZ  


NO PLAY



TOP 7 HOME TEAM  

ALTANTA BRAVES  -150          GAME 1 of 4
    
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS  -123          GAME 1 of 4

BOSTON RED SOX  -111          GAME 1 of 4
    



    









Continued Success 
 
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Posted: #442
Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:



This kind of talk only comes with a chase, friend. Doubling-up because you're on a losing streak hardly seems logical, yet it seems every system is based around it. I only raise my wager if the play specifically calls for it... Much less stress. 


This kind of talk does NOT just come from playing chases.. Some of the best Cappers on the Baseball Forum have had terrible years so far and have been left searching for answers, as well.

Even Flat Bettors and Unit Bettors have some bad streaks.. I just had my 1st one in 2 years. And no, I'm not worried about it, I will bounce back if I choose too.

Good Luck the 2nd Half..
 
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Posted: #443
Quote Originally Posted by Leprechaun:

DJ-

Come on man...you think the only people who go on big losing streaks and have bad days/weeks are those who chase???  That's completely unfair.  Sports gambling is tough...period.  We go through spots like this...we question our decisions.  It happens to every single one of us.  Different people have different approaches and many of them can work...whether it's chasing, or using labby, betting 10 games a day, or betting one.  All these have their ups and downs and it's different strokes for different folks.  All have their pros and cons.  Don't come in piling on from the top of Mt. Pious.  It's not fair to Kreatture, or the forum.  We know you don't like chasing, you've made it clear in numerous threads...this is not the time to remind us.  You make some good contributions around here, but an "I told you so" post is totally uncalled for.  We get enough of that crap from the sportsbaths of the world.  Lets get back to learning from each other, supporting each other, and winning.

Leprechaun
 
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Posted: #444
Quote Originally Posted by Leprechaun:

K-man...don't second guess yourself.  This was the right play.  Sometimes the right plays lose.  If they didn't, we'd all be pretty damn wealthy.  You build a system knowing that these things will happen and you have to be ready to take it.  It is damn tough...lord knows.  I got destroyed in similar fashion last week myself.  The key to surviving is trying to build a way to manage things that can absorb these losses.  I'm still trying to figure out how to do that.  You had the cushion to absorb this...that is something you can't forget and that is the biggest positive from this.  Your foundation is a solid as can be.  The best you can do is learn from these moments.  Take a look at your strategy and see how you can best protect yourself when this happens again...because it will happen.  That's the whole point of a system!  It's also the reason I try to focus on money management...although maybe that isn't the answer either.  No system is completely infaliable so you keep learning and adjusting.  You had the right play and it lost.  So what.

You've got a few days off so take a break...drink a few beers, get laid and then get back in here and keep winning (that's what I did this weekend!  It does wonders).  We've still got another 6 weeks or so to pile on units.  See you after the break.

Leprechaun


Thanks for the kind words Leprechaun. I agree with everything you mentioned.
I'll be looking forward to you bouncing back this 2nd Half, as well, as I know you have a winning formula, too.

There were definitely some weird things which happened in this 1st Half which we haven't seen other Seasons. That's the beauty of Sports and why we love to watch the games, tho, cuz we never know what we're gonna see.

I definitely did have the cushion to absorb this huge loss.. but it's going to be an uphill climb the rest of the Season now. We just have to work harder everyday now to make sure we cap these games the best as possible, something which I have proven all along to be very capable of.

If I decide to dedicate the time, it will be achieved.

Let's make some money 

Cheers! 
 
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Posted: #445
Solid start to the 2nd Half, as expected. We will be going full out from now until the end of July, when then we will let the dust settle and see where we're at.
This will be confusing to some, but the regulars know what is going on here because they actually READ the SPREADSHEETS.
We're either going down in a Blaze of Glory, or we're climbing out of this sinkhole and kicking some serious tail.

We're down about -15 Units as we entered the 2nd Half last night. There is no interest here in just getting back to even and finishing with a small profit. We expect to still hit +100 Units before this is all said and done.

Please read the Top 7 Home Team spreadsheet carefully to see how we're breaking things down. I've tried to make it as easy to read and clear as possible.
If anyone has any logical questions, please don't hesitate to ask.

Cheers




KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - JULY 16TH, 2010
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet. Navigate among the tabs at the top of the page to get to the desired page.


CRISS-CROSS BLITZ  


NY YANKEES  +104          GAME 4



TOP 7 HOME TEAM  

BOSTON RED SOX  +117          GAME 2
    
NEW YORK YANKEES  +104          GAME 1 of 3
     -- Play -1.5 RL

ATLANTA BRAVES  -174
    



    









Continued Success 
 
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Posted: #446
Good Luck.
 
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Posted: #447
 
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Posted: #448
On a non-sports related topic.. Is anyone here from Calgary by any chance, or have ever lived in Calgary?

I may be moving there by the end of the summer and I am wondering what part of the city would be best to avoid moving into. Every city always has a "bad part of town", and I'm wondering where to avoid in Calgary.

There is also a possibility of going to Edmonton instead. Does anyone have any experiences with both cities, and could you compare the 2 from personal preference?

Thanks for any information you can share guys.

Cheers 
 
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Posted: #449
OH, I met to post this earlier when I saw it. This is easily the greatest video I have seen in quite some time.

If you are a basketball fan then you know about the Lebron James saga.. Hell, even if you hate sports you know about this!

A lot of jokes have been made about James/Wade/Bosh being the NWO of the wrestling world. If you followed wrestling a little back then this will be even funnier to you.

I absolutely love it!

Lebron James New World Order
 
 
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Posted: #450
Just wanted to put these on the start of a new page so they didn't get missed..

On a non-sports related topic.. Is anyone here from Calgary by any chance, or have ever lived in Calgary?

I may be moving there by the end of the summer and I am wondering what part of the city would be best to avoid moving into. Every city always has a "bad part of town", and I'm wondering where to avoid in Calgary.

There is also a possibility of going to Edmonton instead. Does anyone have any experiences with both cities, and could you compare the 2 from personal preference?

Thanks for any information you can share guys.

Cheers 

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