Kreatture's Playbook 2011

NHL last night was weird....

BOL tonight

yeah i hear ya bro , justkeep on plugging away you are too good to not come outta this , just a little setback

thesixers might still blow this i stayed away tho because of the 45 pt blowout in chitown before

BANKROLL: $10,780.65
OVERALL RECORD: 74-76-6    (49.33%)

INVESTED: $40,667.03
RETURNED: $41,447.68
PROFIT: +$780.65
ROI %: +1.92%

Been a couple really rough nights, but I feel as if I've been capping the games right (exception the NCAAF Under last night). I expected Boozer to have a big game after his benching the game prior, and he did - too bad the rest of the team didn't want to play defence and Philly had way too many wide open looks. The Hawks game was looking good as they had the lead late and were going to have a shot at an open net to cover the PL before breaking down and letting Ottawa tie it up very late.

One thing I continue to tell myself everyday is quit listening to other people and let their thoughts on games mess with my own brain process. It's cost me big this week. So today I'm tuning everything out and not reading anyone's thoughts and going with what MY head tells me. It's Playoff time in the NFL and that has to have everyone very excited!

I'm not used to being below .500. It sucks. Time to get to work..

I've broken down a lot of stats for the NFL games this weekend, and found some very nice things.

Looks like a lot of money is coming in on Seattle today, which is great. I'll be waiting up to almost game time to lock in this play, hoping it will drop to +9.5 without having to buy it.

I have been creating arguments all week as to why Seattle will be able to not only hang around in this game, but actually have a shot to outright win it. You should be doing this for each game, and then work from there on making those arguments either false or positive.

In the end, the bottom result is I'll be laying the points with the Saints today, but will wait another couple of hours to get the best line possible. If I have to, I'll buy the hook and get -9.5 which is currently -110 at Pinnacle.

Will post as soon as I lock it in.

Cheers 

Dont think it will get below 10 at most places.  But good luck.  New orleans is legit but they are not blowing teams out like they had last year.  Seattle at home +10 really!!!  Guess well have some conversation after the game win on of us loses LOL!  Good luck Kreatture. 

Watch Hasselback throw the ball all over the Saints today if he doesnt get hurt.  That secondary is suspect.  Thats my key to this game SAINTS SECONDARY play!

Hassellback has had his two best games in the last 6 years against the Saints, so I can definitely see your reasoning there. My thought is Hassellback doesn't make it through the entire game. Saints will knock him out and that will be it. But even if they don't, I see Reggie Bush having a big enough game to open up Brees deep ball to quickly put up some points. Seattle gave up 71 Passing Plays this year of 20+yds, tied for 3rd worst in the entire league.

All week I was leaning Seattle plus the points until I actually broke down the hidden numbers. Either way, it's an NFL Playoff game and that means it will be AWESOME!!

Can't wait til kickoff!

BANKROLL: $10,780.65
OVERALL RECORD: 74-76-6    (49.33%)

INVESTED: $40,667.03
RETURNED: $41,447.68
PROFIT: +$780.65
ROI %: +1.92%

NFL

New Orleans Saints  -9.5 (-106)
1% $107.81 to win $101.71

Props
Total TD Passes by Drew Brees  Over 2 (-122) (Pinnacle)
3% $323.42 to win $265.10

Total Penalty Yardage  86-121 Penalty Yards (+170) (Intertops)
1% $107.81 to win $183.28

The line has dropped to -9.5 on Pinnacle right now. It did about 15 minutes ago, too, for about 5 minutes before going back up to -10. If you can't get -9.5 I would buy the half point. Better safe than sorry.