Kreatture's Playbook 2011

My bracket for the superbowl looks like this.. You'll be shocked to know I'm actually picking against my beloved Colts in the very 1st round. Have to do the smart thing when money is involved. Don't worry.. I'm also entering a 2nd Bracket with the teams I WANT to advance. That's the one I'll really be cheering for. HaHa

WILD CARD WEEKEND

AFC
(6)New York over (3)Indianapolis
(4)Kansas City over (5)Baltimore
Byes: (1)New England, (2)Pittsburgh

NFC
(5)New Orleans over (4)Seattle
(3)Philadelphia over (6)Green Bay
Byes: (1)Atlanta, (2)Chicago

DIVISIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND

AFC
(1)New England over (6)New York
(2)Pittsburgh over (4)Kansas City

NFC
(1)Atlanta over (5)New Orleans
(3)Philadelphia over (2)Chicago

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

(2)Pittsburgh over (1)New England

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

(3)Philadelphia over (1)Atlanta

SUPERBOWL

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES  over  PITTSBURGH STEELERS

 

These are my picks based on a powerful tool known as the TOXIC Differential. I can explain how that works later.. right now I'm off to drink some beer and enjoy the game.

Cheers 

I couldn't find total penalty yardage anywhere.  Looked on :Pinny and three other books.

Hey I noticed a few days ago you picked a lot of favorites in the NHL. Since December 8, 2010 the underdogs have won 50% (97-97) of their games resulting in a +15230 if wagering 500 per game.  I look at macro trends before betting and I figured I should share this information since you are betting NHL with favorites.  If your taking dogs at an average +140 you only have to win 41.66% of the games to be ahead.

Just feel lucky for that last TD pass to push the prop. 

Bummer I couldn't find the total penalty prop, it would have balanced things out a bit more.

God, NO's run D was awful.

Lucky for you.. think I missed it by 10 yds?

Just got home after watching that disgrace of a game in Seattle. Wish I knew all the Vegas insider secrets so I knew when a game was bought off.

Vegas will always win..

Might be going back out to the club, people wanting me to come back, so not likely to post any plays tonight.

I think the Jets will win.. but I'll be absolutely crushed if my Colts lose. Hopefully my cold streak helps the Colts chances.

I'm so fed up with Sports right now.. but I know streaks come and go. Honestly, I hit a Heater right when I started this thread. There's no way I should be making $5K in 2 weeks and have that expectation to continue. I know everyone sees the hot start I had and some expect that to continue for some reason.. if I could make $2500/week don't you think I would be living in Vegas right now.. with another home in Los Angeles.. another in New York.. another in London.. ETC.

Seriously.. it's about yearly results.. not even monthly. It's about how much money can you make in a year from this.. Can you make enough money to quit your regular job and live on your winnings??

I can't yet.. but that's the goal. Anyone who knows me knows I won't ever give up on that either until it's a Reality.

OMG WTF IS CALDWELL DOING CHALLENGING THIS?!?!?!!??! FUUUUUUUUUUUUCK
I'm gonna be sick already.. I'm way more passionate about my Colts than any other team in Sports. This is gonna be a long night..

Damn I gotta check my account.. didn't think I won the penalty yards..

PS. I fuckin love your new avatar. My last GF was from Montreal.. not sure if that girl is French, but goddamn I love those French girls!! That is a very hot pic.. LoL

FUCK COLTS JUST THROW AWAY TIMEOUTS AND CHALLENGES!!!!!!!! Then give up a 23yd run to boot.. fuckin lovely.

2 minutes in and I'm already screaming at the TV.. I cheered for the Jets all season saying they were the best team in the AFC next to the Ravens.. now I have to cheer against them. I fuckin hate the NFL..

Fuck, you're right.  It seemed like there was a boatload of penalties.  Sorry about that.

I have a Habs avatar.  You want frustration?  I grew up with the parade route being planned in October.  Not one of my students has ever seen them go to a final. 

Listen, I followed you for a long time before I decided to tail you.  I am in this for the long haul.  I know about blind wagering, and I don't feel like this is what I am doing with you.  I always feel like there is a plan at work.  I also felt like that with DJ, but he unfortunately is on hiatus for the time being.

My advice is you should go back out with your buds and clear your head, so that tomorrow you approach things with a better perspective.

I picked up the Colts at -2.  I like the pick, still think Manning over Sanchez is the right play

You're absolutely right.. and that is exactly what I'm going to do. But first.. I have to make this wager.

I haven't done this yet, cuz I haven't been out drinkin much since this thread began.. but it's one of those nights and I'm in one of those moods.. and my bankroll is playing the role of my wingman tonight.

My Bankroll is gonna take one for the "team" while I go out and get even drunker and bring the hottest girl in the shortest skirt home.. (one of the advantages of knowing how to dance and lovin gettin up on the dance floor!)
I swear to God if the Colts don't convert this 3rd and 1.. their 4th one tonight!! .. .. christ they just got it, THAT'S DAMN RIGHT BABY GET EXCITED RHODES!!!!

Game 5 of an 8 game homestand.. Kings are 0-4. I predict they finish it 4-4.

NHL

Los Angeles Kings  -0.5 (-115)
10% $1056.50 to win $918.70

Based on the new Bankroll of $10,565.03 after the 2 losses and 1 push earlier.

COME ON COLTS!!!!!!!!!!!!! NICE CATCH TAMME!!!!!!!!!!!!

Done.  Nice pick; the advantage of Pinny and their regulation win lines.

Headin' back out now.. Colts doin best they can, proud of them!

Took a quick peak at the line and have to jump at this..

NFL LIVE IN-GAME

NY Jets/Indy Colts  Game Total Under 28.5 (-120)
4% $422.60 to win $352.17

2nd Half line is Under 21.5 which is the same, but the juice is higher. 2nd Half just started so doesn't matter. Live In-Game should still be able to be had.

Who leaves their house to go to a club when their team is in the middle of a playoff 

C'mon, Kreatture.  Are you really claiming that NFL games are fixed?  Admit it, you picked the wrong side of N.O./SEA.  If games were fixed, why would you even think of putting money down on a game unless you knew the result beforehand.  And why would you waste your time capping a football game in the first place? I hope you were just kidding.  GL on the rest of the playoffs, although I'm on the other side on most.

Shit, you're right.  The games ARE fixed or that idiot Colt who just ruffed the kicker is getting paid off by someone!

OMG. Why the hell do you call that T.O. with what..29ticks or so  left?  Whoever made that call was paid off too!

Man, that Kopitar pass to Brown for the first goal was the shit.  He had everybody on the ice looking the wrong way.

Still they were up 4-0 and needed an empty netter to seal the deal.  That first Columbus goal was about as weak a goal as I've seen this year.  I like Quick, but he's fighting the puck a lot lately.

How fucking old is Ryan Smith anyway?  I keep thinking he's retired, then he pops up and scores a big one last night.

When the club has 20 LCD TVs up on the wall. It's stressful for me to watch Colts games, especially this season.. it's better if I'm around a group of people. Tight game to the end, but I wasn't expecting them to pull it out.

I live less than 5 minutes from the club.. I missed a commercial break. Not everyone stays home to watch the game.

Cheers 

Yes I was just kidding, the Saints were beat down. But you're a fool if you think no sports games are ever fixed. Referees have been caught point shaving and players have been busted for gambling. You don't seriously believe athletes are that pure where they can't be bought off??

That last 67yd run was certainly questionable tho.. 1 guy even jumped out of the way. The Seahawks are the worst Playoff team in History, and they will get smoked next weekend. They just won their Superbowl.

Gonna be 2 great games today, maybe even better than yesterdays?? Gonna be fun!

Cheers 

Drunk bets?  You preach proper money management and all this other stuff, and then you make drunk bets?  Hilarious.

BANKROLL: $11,061.13
OVERALL RECORD: 75-79-7    (48.70%)

INVESTED: $42,685.17
RETURNED: $43,746.30
PROFIT: +$1,061.13
ROI %: +2.49%

I'd actually been waiting for that Kings game all week. It was planned to be a big play, but after a few drinks the confidence in the play was even larger.

There's certain games on the schedule you wait for. I have another big play in the NHL tonight. Whether I have a few drinks tonight or not, it won't change the fact I'm still making the play.

Everyone's made a bet when they've been drinking.. get over it.

Gotta say, I've done far worse things when drinking than making a bet. 

Everyone was free to tail or not.  I chose to because it was a wager that made sense.

That was a good play.  LA on a 7 game home stand and a 4 game home losing streak.  Handicapping aside, odds are they get a win on 5, 6, or 7.

BANKROLL: $11,061.13
OVERALL RECORD: 75-79-7    (48.70%)

INVESTED: $42,685.17
RETURNED: $43,746.30
PROFIT: +$1,061.13
ROI %: +2.49%


NFL

Philadelphia Eagles  -1 (-110)
2% $221.22 to win $201.11

Props
Longest TD  Over 45.5 Yards (-114)
1% $110.61 to win $97.03

Total TD Passes by Aaron Rodgers  Over 2 (+169)
2% $221.22 to win $373.86

Total TD Passes by Michael Vick  Over 2 (+163)
2% $221.22 to win $360.59

Total Penalty Yards  0-85 Yards (+190)
1% $110.61 to win $210.16


All Props on Pinnacle except Penalty Yards which is on Intertops.