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Kreatture's Playbook 2011

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Posted: #551
Set and match
 
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Posted: #552
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



BANKROLL: $11,075.71
OVERALL RECORD: 78-83-7    (48.45%)

INVESTED: $43,907.00
RETURNED: $44,982.71
PROFIT: +$1,075.71
ROI %: +2.45%


NHL

Los Angeles Kings  -0.5 (-110) (regulation)    
4% $452.07 to win $410.97

Boston Bruins/Pittsburgh Penguins  Under 5 (+122)    
1% $110.76 to win $135.13

Detroit Red Wings  ML (+103) (OT included)    
2% $221.51 to win $228.16


NBA

Parley  (-248)    
Boston Celtics  ML
Chicago Bulls  ML
3% $332.27 to win $133.98

Chicago Bulls  2nd Half -8 (-115)    
3% $332.27 to win $288.93

NCAAF LIVE IN-GAME

Auburn  ML (+120)    
4% $452.07 to win $542.48

Oregon  ML (+120)    
4% $452.07 to win $542.48

Oregon  ML (+120)    
2.5% $276.89 to win $332.27



The LA Kings can no longer be considered a Playoff team.. low point on the Season, the coaching staff and players should be embarrassed.

Huge moose on the Bruins/Pens Under as it was 2-0 with 3:30 remaining and then Boston scores 4 goals in the final 3:23 including 2 in the final minute.

Knew the Wings had a tough game tonight but getting them at even/+ money is good value, despite the current injuries. Colorado is also fighting injuries, Budaj was in goal, and Detroit was dominated the Avs recently.

Made a mistake putting the NBA Parley in but had to post it as official play despite my error. A nice 2nd Half win by the Bulls helped cancel this out.

The In-Game plan was sound once again, but once again I failed to execute it properly. It looked like the scoring was going to take off there and then just as quick as it started - it ended. Completely. A very boring 2nd Half never resulted in a 2nd opportunity for Oregon to tie it up until the very end, once the window had completely closed.

I'm still baffled by the Kings tonight.. they're not the team everyone thinks they are. At this point I have no confidence in backing them Thursday night vs. St. Louis or Saturday night vs. Edmonton, where I was planning on them being a play. They need to make some changes.

Gotta get some sleep.. see you tomorrow.

Cheers 

 
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Posted: #553
KHL

Avangard  PK (+146)   10am EST
1%

Now I can go to sleep..
 
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Posted: #554
kreatture, who's the girl in your avatar?
 
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Posted: #555
Rough times in the NHL as of late.  Do you have any idea what your records are sport by sport?
 
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Posted: #556

Quote Originally Posted by willywagtail:

kreatture, who's the girl in your avatar?

Jessica Alba. I had to shrink it down so it's much grainier than it should be cuz of Covers photo size restrictions.

 
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Posted: #557

Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

Rough times in the NHL as of late.  Do you have any idea what your records are sport by sport?

Have to check my notes when I am home.

On the Season, I am 54.5% for NHL and 54% NBA. Both were hitting 59-60% for most of the season until recently.

Big night in the NHL ahead. Should be able to post the card within a few hours. It has certainly been a crazy rollarcoaster ride the past 3 weeks.

 
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Posted: #558

BANKROLL: $11,075.71
OVERALL RECORD: 80-89-7    (47.34%)

INVESTED: $46,536.91
RETURNED: $46,598.46
PROFIT: +$61.55
ROI %: +0.13%

Well.. back to square one. Hard to imagine there could be 2 weeks so good, followed by 1 week so very bad. That's the way it always seems to be. We're all searching for something consistent but it's so very hard to do.

I'm not happy with the very little time I have to dedicate to this. Having to work a regular shit job like everyone else at the same time is really frustrating. But it's something I have to do at this moment to get where I want to go, so I've been sucking it up. At this rate I should be completely debt free by summer and then the fun can really begin.

I guess the norm around here is to now bail since I've hit a losing streak.. isn't that the way it works? Well.. sorry. I'm used to losing streaks, and they suck.. but when the winning streak hits again it's always way more fun.

So suck it up and either tail or fade.. or just watch and enjoy my rollercoaster ride. The only thing I ever promised was to keep it entertaining!

The winning will return.. eventually.

Cheers 

 
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Posted: #559

BANKROLL: $10,061.55
OVERALL RECORD: 80-89-7    (47.34%)

INVESTED: $46,536.91
RETURNED: $46,598.46
PROFIT: +$61.55
ROI %: +0.13%

NHL

 

Phoenix Coyotes  ML (+?) (OT included)

2% $201.23 to win $

 

No line available yet. I'm expecting this to open as a Dog, in which case it will be a play.

 

Montreal Canadians  ML (+117) (OT included)

2% $201.23 to win $235.44

 

Vancouver Canucks  -0.5 (-117) (regulation)

3% $301.85 to win $257.99

 

Philadelphia Flyers  -0.5 (+138) (regulation)

3% $301.85 to win $416.55

 

San Jose Sharks  -1.5 (+135)

5% $503.08 to win $679.16

 

With the work already being done for today, I should be able to have time tonight to provide a brief write-up on these picks.

 

 
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Posted: #560
Nice start to the day, as the KHL cashes in.
 
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Posted: #561
I really like the San Joe pick.  Can't see Toronto winning 4 in a row.  
 
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Posted: #562

Phoenix Coyotes  ML (+111) (OT included)

2% $201.23 to win $223.37

 

Locking in now on Pinnacle.

 
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Posted: #563
NBA

Indiana Pacers  ML (+193)
1% $100.62 to win $194.20


 
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Posted: #564
New York Knicks  ML (+171)
1% $100.62 to win $172.06
 
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Posted: #565
NCAAB

BYU  -14 (+111)
2% $201.23 to win $223.37

Sold 1 point Pinnacle (reg line -13, -109)


That's it for tonight, other than NBA Halftime opportunities. Will be tightening up on these selections from now on and only playing something which really stands out (like the Bulls last night).

Good Luck 
 
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Posted: #566
For me that works very well.  It can be sometimes difficult to stay online and follow your selections.  I can only imagine what it must be like for you to cap and post them.
 
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Posted: #567
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

Jessica Alba. I had to shrink it down so it's much grainier than it should be cuz of Covers photo size restrictions.



What movie is that?
 
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Posted: #568
Quote Originally Posted by willywagtail:



What movie is that?


Jessica Alba - link

Good Luck Chuck
 
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Posted: #569
There's a play on SKA St. Petersburg in the KHL at the top of the hour.

SKA  ML (+106) (regulation)
3%

Also, a Draw play in about 50min.

Dinamo Riga/Spartak Moscow  DRAW (+326)
1%


Missed the play early this morning, was an afternoon game there, on Barys which would have been a nice +$ winner. Was nice to finally get a W in the KHL yesterday and would have been 3-0 had I played them all. The lines for this League always seem to be horribly set, so I'll continue to look for opportunities there.

Will try to get plays posted early today. It's my dad's birthday so I won't be home this evening. We're also expecting a major blizzard to start in a few hours.. better charge the phone up!

Cheers 

 
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Posted: #570
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

BANKROLL: $10,061.55
OVERALL RECORD: 80-89-7    (47.34%)

INVESTED: $46,536.91
RETURNED: $46,598.46
PROFIT: +$61.55
ROI %: +0.13%


NHL

 

Phoenix Coyotes  ML (+111) (OT included)    

2% $201.23 to win $223.37

 

Montreal Canadians  ML (+117) (OT included)     

2% $201.23 to win $235.44

 

Vancouver Canucks  -0.5 (-117) (regulation)    

3% $301.85 to win $257.99

 

Philadelphia Flyers  -0.5 (+138) (regulation)    

3% $301.85 to win $416.55

 

San Jose Sharks  -1.5 (+135)     

5% $503.08 to win $679.16



NBA

Indiana Pacers  ML (+193)    
1% $100.62 to win $194.20


New York Knicks  ML (+171)    
1% $100.62 to win $172.06



NCAAB

BYU  -14 (+111)    
2% $201.23 to win $223.37



KHL

Avangard  PK (+146)    
1% $100.62 to win $146.91

 


 
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Posted: #571
BANKROLL: $10,868.52
OVERALL RECORD: 87-91-7    (48.88%)

INVESTED: $48,549.24
RETURNED: $49,417.76
PROFIT: +$868.52
ROI %: +1.79%


KHL

SKA St. Petersburg  ML (+106) (regulation)
3% $326.06 to win $345.62

Dinamo Riga/Spartak Moscow  DRAW (+326) (regulation)
1% $108.69 to win $354.33
 
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Posted: #572

Thanks for all the PM's guys, appreciate the kind words and questions. If I don't respond right away, don't worry, I will get back to everyone eventually. Times are very busy right now.

There's also a couple of questions throughout the thread which I haven't forgot about, just some of them take quite a bit more time to write out a response (ie. aerojackel's Q a few pages back, I haven't forgot!). Hopefully tomorrow will be a snowday so I can stay in and get everything caught up.

Have a great day, Cheers 

 
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Posted: #573
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning  ML (-115)
1% $108.69 to win $94.51

Washington Capitals/Tampa Bay Lightning  Under 5 (+248)
2% $217.17 to win $538.58
Sold 1 goal - Pinnacle


No Alexander Semin tonight and he will be missed. Alex has 6 of the 12 goals Washington has scored on Tampa this season. The Capitals power play is in the tank right now so don't expect any special team success tonight. Roloson has a .967 save % in 2 games vs. Wash. this season while Varlamov has a .982% in 2 games. A tight Divisional match-up with 1st place on the line, expect a tight checking defensive style game where neither team will want to give up the 2 points by taking chances in the 3rd period.
Washington is also 2-5 on back-to-back games following an OT game the night before. Tampa Bay is 11-5 this season on 2 days or more rest, which is the case tonight.
 
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Posted: #574
Like both of those NHL plays... but I can't find your price for Tampa and I didn't really think about selling a full goal but I like it. GL!
 
 
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Posted: #575
Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

Like both of those NHL plays... but I can't find your price for Tampa and I didn't really think about selling a full goal but I like it. GL!


Thanks Dj. Tampa was -115 on Pinnacle when I posted and -120 on Intertops. I see now it's risen to -123 and -125, respectively.

It's at the point now where it's lost most of it's value. At this point, I would expect the public to jump on the Capitals later today at the dog price and maybe bring the line back down to -118 abouts.

If you go over to the NHL Scores page here and click on Line Moves you'll see it was -115 at 11:26am EST, then -117 at 11:36am, then -123 at 11:46am EST.

Selling the goal is strictly for the sick value. I'm seeing 2-1, 3-0. Obviously the Under 6 at -111 right now I still like. Another play coming up..
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