Last 10 MLB Over System

RommiRommi, that's actually the site that I have been getting my info regarding the total runs over and under the book lines...

Unfortunately, they don't have any previous year's data available there for back-testing...

Looks like the first game bet today is a win... two to go...

4. COL (32) + SF (18) = 50, bet Over 7.5, lose

5. MIA (20) + PHI (21) = 41, bet Over 8, win

System at 4-1.

APR 13

First time I've seen a system game total over 70.

6. CLE (28) + CWS (42.5) = 70.5, bet Over 8.5

Thanks for doing all that work orhane, the system doesn't look like a winner...

6. CLE (28) + CWS (42.5) = 70.5, bet Over 8.5, lost

Lost tonight too...

guess it's time to retire it then...

The Miami games from the 11th and 12th (both winners) are missing from the query.  It makes you wonder how many other games are missing from the results.  With that said, you did a hell of a job with trying to get this backtested.  I just think it's an impossible job to try and get 100% accurate results with this.  It's just too much work, and A LOT of numbers.

Machinist, I would try a smaller amount of games, say 6, instead of 10.  Maybe even just 4 or 5.  It's hard to maintain high offensive numbers for long periods of time.  Like anything else in sports, scoring runs, or not scoring many, is streaky.  Teams will go on a scoring binge for a week, then all of a sudden score 4 runs over the next five games.  That's where using a lower number of games might help you take advantage of teams getting on a scoring binge.  You can hit it before it fizzles out.  Just a thought.

Thanks bruin95 for noticing some discrepancies with the back test. Perhaps it isn't accurate then.

I may as well keep up with tracking the system for a while, until an accurate back test is done, or the system doesn't show a good profit...

I'll keep the games at 10, both the offensive and defensive number of runs are accounted for, so even if a team isn't batting as well, if they are allowing a high number of runs recently, then that's important to see, and at least 10 games gives the results against a few teams which should average out the results to a certain extent rather than if you just looked at the last 6 or so...

System at 4-2.

APR 14

7. NYM (15) + ARZ (27) = 42, bet Over 9

Thanks orhane for trying to help! I had never seen that whole SDQL thing before, it looks very difficult to understand, but I'm sure that it can be a very powerful tool to analyze systems if set up correctly.

Thank you for attempting to use it for this, I wonder if there is anyone who can also try it to see if they get similar results. Any help is much appreciated. :)

7. NYM (15) + ARZ (27) = 42, bet Over 9, win

System at 5-2

At 5-2 the system is at 71.4%, so far.

All system bets have been recorded as $500 picks on my record, and it seems that a win results in going up $500, and a loss means minus $550.

So the system has 5 wins = +$2,500

and 2 losses = -$1100

which totals up to +$1,400 after 7 bets.

No games match the system credentials for April 15, so no plays for today.

It's true that when I started this system a few days ago that some of the teams had only played 9 games, but I figured that if, within only 9 games, instead of the usual 10, they had still had a total that was at least over 10, and when added to the other team's total it was over 40, that it would be an even better play, because they were able to make it in with less games played.

I knew  that within a short time all of the teams would have played at least 10 games, and I was eager to get the system up and running.

Thank you for checking in to the SDQL staf, but I'm still a little hesitant that it is correct, based on the winning record the system has had over the last few days alone.

The SDQL shows a record of 43-54-3 over the last 100 games played, yet we've had 5-2 over the last 7.

I'll keep tracking it for now.

APR 16

System at 5-2, +$1400

8. WAS (28.5) + MIA (17) = 45.5, bet Over 6.5