Posted:
#1
Hello!
Here we go again... the simplest system ever
uses only wins total of teams last 10 games.
4x4:
play home team if in last ten has more than 4 wins and visiting team won less than 4 games in their last 10 played
5x4:
same as above. replace first 4 with 5... more than 5 wins in last 10 games, visitor less than 4
during last 12 seasons 4x4 wasn't profitable in seasons '02,'03 and '09, 5x4 only in '02. lines are from covers.com
explanation of data:
season
system: profit (100$ bets); games played; profit per game played; percentage of wins; Max profit at any point during whole season; Min profit at any point
2000
4x4: 1518; 324; 4,69; 60,19%; 1518; -709
5x4: 667; 242; 2,76; 59,92%; 667; -965
2001
4x4: 2705; 307; 8,81; 62,54%; 3390; -1425
5x4: 535; 207; 2,58; 61,35%; 1115; -1475
2002
4x4: -4130; 287; -14,39; 55,05%; 575; -5185
5x4: -1560; 181; -8,62; 58,01%; 240; -2975
2003
4x4: -1470; 289; -5,09; 59,17%; 365; -3130
5x4: 1135; 195; 5,82; 63,59%; 1155; -1845
2004
4x4: 3525; 263; 13,40; 65,02%; 3880; -330
5x4: 3670; 184; 19,95; 67,39%; 4025; -245
2005
4x4: 178; 233; 0,76; 56,22%; 2220; -1462
5x4: 1373; 151; 9,09; 58,94%; 1770; -290
2006
4x4: 1125; 304; 3,70; 61,18%; 2550; -870
5x4: 3455; 198; 17,45; 66,16%; 4105; -80
2007
4x4: 1155; 262; 4,41; 60,69%; 1555; -1585
5x4: 370; 182; 2,03; 60,99%; 830; -1565
2008
4x4: 4095; 284; 14,42; 64,44%; 4145; -160
5x4: 2950; 182; 16,21; 66,48%; 2950; -365
2009
4x4: -445; 293; -1,52; 60,07%; 1190; -1705
5x4: 670; 198; 3,38; 61,11%; 1405; -900
2010
4x4: 416; 248; 1,68; 60,48%; 1197; -1230
5x4: 1196; 177; 6,76; 63,28%; 1941; -282
2011
4x4: 3298; 300; 10,99; 62,33%; 3429; -1087
5x4: 2710; 199; 13,62; 63,82%; 2710; -176
it isn't big moneymaker every time, but could net you 30 units on a good year. and risk isn't that big.
i'll be using 5x4 this year.
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