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MLB RPI SYSTEM

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Posted: #1251
ok sounds good
 
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Posted: #1252
Greinke stinks on the road, that's what happened. I guess the push on the 5 inning line was a blessing, but my reasoning, the blown saves of Milwaukee relief pitchers did not come into play as Grienke blew it himself.
 
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Posted: #1253
I'm on the Yankees and Giants for tomorrow. Plus I was on Cleveland today so still on them tomorrow. Blake Beavan has been fading after starting hot and some guy named Anthony Vasquez is starting the 2nd game, I've never heard of this guy and I'm a huge M's fan.
 
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Posted: #1254
Hey B2W,

PM me with the Official picks and unofficial picks. There are too many posts and I'm having a hard time keeping track.
 
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Posted: #1255
Sorry for the delay guys, I've been so busy and I am getting my system ready for NCAA. My count brings us to 72-1. How about those crazy unofficial plays.

BETTOR2WIN MLB RPI SYSTEM
2011 Record 72 - 1 - 0
2010 Record 74 - 1 - 0
2009 Record 76 - 2 - 0

A Game Wins: 48
 "A" games are first bets won

B Game Wins: 18
"B" games mean you lost your "A" bet and you need to double up on that team that lost.

C Game Wins: 6
"C" games mean you have lost both A and B and need to triple up on that team to make money on them.

Unofficial Plays: 23 - 0


SYSTEM
The premise here is simple. Good teams Beat bad teams more often than bad teams beat good teams. This a chase system.
Please read first page of this Post to understand the system completely. And read this page too.

MLB RPI system in a nutshell. The RPI tends to tighten as the season progresses, so post all star game I use different numbers.
1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.
2. How to pick series. Pre all star game: check the upcoming series. We will use tomorrows games/series as an example. Check the ESPN RPI rankings.
If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.
If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

FILTERS
1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.
3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.
4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.
5. Teams bellow the .500 mark need to be evaluated before a play is created.

JUICE
This system does come with some juice, but remember a WIN is WIN. Use LABBY and MARTINGALE ...depended on the outcome of a four game series. First game. LABBY will make up for losses, so I advise using the LABBY. Also, with the high juice in this system, you can only play one other system.



RPI VALUE
VISITOR = 40 - 42 RPI (depending on strength)
HOME = 35 RP


July 4 - PITTSBURGH - 132 (41) WIN
July 5 - WASHINGTON -124 - (36) WIN
July 6 - PITTSBURGH -115 - (??)  WIN
July 7 - BOSTON -154 - (H41 "A" Game)  WIN
July 8 - BOSTON -198 - (H41 "B" Game) WIN
July 9 - ALL STAR BREAK
July 12 - PITTSBURGH +100 (44) WIN
July 18 - BOSTON -134 (V52) WIN
July 18 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (V66) LOSS
July 18 - SAN FRANCISCO -127 (H32) WIN
July 18 - WASHINGTON -113 UNOFFICIAL WIN
July 19 - PHILADELPHIA -155 (V69 B GAME) WIN
July 22 - BOSTON -136 (H50 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - YANKEES -172 (H43 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (H55 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - TAMPA BAY -102 (V42 A GAME) LOSS
July 23 - PHILADELPHIA -137 (H55 A GAME) WIN
July 23 - SAN FRANCISCO -134 ("B" GAME) UNOFFICIAL WIN
July 23 - TAMPA BAY -118 ("B" GAME) LOSS
July 24 - TAMPA BAY -102 ("C" GAME) WIN
July 25 - YANKEES -190 (H56 "A" GAME) WIN
*July 25 - BOSTON -270 (H61 "A" GAME) LOSS
July 25 - ST. LOUIS -230 (V46 "A" GAME) WIN
July 26 - BOSTON -175 (H61 "B" GAME) WIN
July 29 - YANKEES -190 (H47 "A" GAME) LOSS
*July 29 - PHILADELPHIA -270 (H41 "A" GAME) WIN
July 29 - MILWAUKEE -176 (H54 "A" GAME) WIN
July 29 - BOSTON +100 (V42 "A" GAME) LOSS
July 30 - YANKEES -220 (H54 "B" GAME) WIN
July 30 - BOSTON -150 (V42 "B" GAME) WIN
*Aug 01 - PHILADELPHIA -270 (H44 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 06 - MILWAUKEE -208 (H52 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 08 - BOSTON -113 (V48 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 08 - ARIZONA -180 (H51 "A" GAME) LOSS
Aug 08 - PHILADELPHIA -159 (V56 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 09 - ARIZONA -187 (H51 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 12 - ATLANTA -136 (H43 "A" GAME) WIN
*Aug 12 - PHILADELPHIA -267 (H46 "A" GAME) LOSS
Aug 12 - BOSTON -145 (V46 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 15 - YANKEES -151 (V58 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 18 - BOSTON -182 (V40 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 18 - YANKEES -200 (V45 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 19 - BOSTON -119 (V?? "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 19 - YANKEES -159 (V?? "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 19 - PHILADELPHIA -134 (V?? "A" GAME) LOSS
Aug 19 - SAN FRANCISCO -135 (V?? "A" GAME) LOSS
Aug 20 - PHILADELPHIA -131 (V?? "B" GAME) WIN
Aug 20 - SAN FRANCISCO -175 (V?? "B" GAME) LOSS
Aug 21 - SAN FRANCISCO -130 (V?? "C" GAME) WIN
*Aug 22 - ATLANTA -108 (V44 "A" GAME) WIN
*Aug 22 - PHILADELPHIA -240 (H38 "A" GAME) WIN
 
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Posted: #1256
Quote Originally Posted by irage:

Sorry for the delay guys, I've been so busy and I am getting my system ready for NCAA. My count brings us to 72-1. How about those crazy unofficial plays.

BETTOR2WIN MLB RPI SYSTEM
2011 Record 72 - 1 - 0
2010 Record 74 - 1 - 0
2009 Record 76 - 2 - 0

A Game Wins: 48
 "A" games are first bets won

B Game Wins: 18
"B" games mean you lost your "A" bet and you need to double up on that team that lost.

C Game Wins: 6
"C" games mean you have lost both A and B and need to triple up on that team to make money on them.

Unofficial Plays: 23 - 0


SYSTEM
The premise here is simple. Good teams Beat bad teams more often than bad teams beat good teams. This a chase system.
Please read first page of this Post to understand the system completely. And read this page too.

MLB RPI system in a nutshell. The RPI tends to tighten as the season progresses, so post all star game I use different numbers.
1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.
2. How to pick series. Pre all star game: check the upcoming series. We will use tomorrows games/series as an example. Check the ESPN RPI rankings.
If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.
If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

FILTERS
1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.
3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.
4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.
5. Teams bellow the .500 mark need to be evaluated before a play is created.

JUICE
This system does come with some juice, but remember a WIN is WIN. Use LABBY and MARTINGALE ...depended on the outcome of a four game series. First game. LABBY will make up for losses, so I advise using the LABBY. Also, with the high juice in this system, you can only play one other system.



RPI VALUE
VISITOR = 40 - 42 RPI (depending on strength)
HOME = 35 RP


July 4 - PITTSBURGH - 132 (41) WIN
July 5 - WASHINGTON -124 - (36) WIN
July 6 - PITTSBURGH -115 - (??)  WIN
July 7 - BOSTON -154 - (H41 "A" Game)  WIN
July 8 - BOSTON -198 - (H41 "B" Game) WIN
July 9 - ALL STAR BREAK
July 12 - PITTSBURGH +100 (44) WIN
July 18 - BOSTON -134 (V52) WIN
July 18 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (V66) LOSS
July 18 - SAN FRANCISCO -127 (H32) WIN
July 18 - WASHINGTON -113 UNOFFICIAL WIN
July 19 - PHILADELPHIA -155 (V69 B GAME) WIN
July 22 - BOSTON -136 (H50 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - YANKEES -172 (H43 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (H55 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - TAMPA BAY -102 (V42 A GAME) LOSS
July 23 - PHILADELPHIA -137 (H55 A GAME) WIN
July 23 - SAN FRANCISCO -134 ("B" GAME) UNOFFICIAL WIN
July 23 - TAMPA BAY -118 ("B" GAME) LOSS
July 24 - TAMPA BAY -102 ("C" GAME) WIN
July 25 - YANKEES -190 (H56 "A" GAME) WIN
*July 25 - BOSTON -270 (H61 "A" GAME) LOSS
July 25 - ST. LOUIS -230 (V46 "A" GAME) WIN
July 26 - BOSTON -175 (H61 "B" GAME) WIN
July 29 - YANKEES -190 (H47 "A" GAME) LOSS
*July 29 - PHILADELPHIA -270 (H41 "A" GAME) WIN
July 29 - MILWAUKEE -176 (H54 "A" GAME) WIN
July 29 - BOSTON +100 (V42 "A" GAME) LOSS
July 30 - YANKEES -220 (H54 "B" GAME) WIN
July 30 - BOSTON -150 (V42 "B" GAME) WIN
*Aug 01 - PHILADELPHIA -270 (H44 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 06 - MILWAUKEE -208 (H52 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 08 - BOSTON -113 (V48 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 08 - ARIZONA -180 (H51 "A" GAME) LOSS
Aug 08 - PHILADELPHIA -159 (V56 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 09 - ARIZONA -187 (H51 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 12 - ATLANTA -136 (H43 "A" GAME) WIN
*Aug 12 - PHILADELPHIA -267 (H46 "A" GAME) LOSS
Aug 12 - BOSTON -145 (V46 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 15 - YANKEES -151 (V58 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 18 - BOSTON -182 (V40 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 18 - YANKEES -200 (V45 "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 19 - BOSTON -119 (V?? "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 19 - YANKEES -159 (V?? "A" GAME) WIN
Aug 19 - PHILADELPHIA -134 (V?? "A" GAME) LOSS
Aug 19 - SAN FRANCISCO -135 (V?? "A" GAME) LOSS
Aug 20 - PHILADELPHIA -131 (V?? "B" GAME) WIN
Aug 20 - SAN FRANCISCO -175 (V?? "B" GAME) LOSS
Aug 21 - SAN FRANCISCO -130 (V?? "C" GAME) WIN
*Aug 22 - ATLANTA -108 (V44 "A" GAME) WIN
*Aug 22 - PHILADELPHIA -240 (H38 "A" GAME) WIN

We are at 73-1. add another A win. actually, dont worry  bout it, Im goin to update all past plays tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #1257
TUE official plays are:

ATL
NYY

both are A Gamers. ATL is in a 4 game series w/chic and won tonight.
 
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Posted: #1258
thanks bettor!!! thanks so much for all ur hard work man appreciate it!!! on dem plays for 2mr
 
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Posted: #1259
What are your thoughts on the Diamondbacks. I know they're slumping but I can't see them getting swept by the Nationals (lose next two). Would you take Dbacks @ +106?
 
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Posted: #1260
My bad. It's a 4 game series against the Nationals.
 
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Posted: #1261
nice job b2w. you da man.
 
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Posted: #1262
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

TUE official plays are:

ATL
NYY

both are A Gamers. ATL is in a 4 game series w/chic and won tonight.


bettor, you're not chasing MIL B and CLEV unofficially? MIL lost game 2 but that was still an A game right?
 
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Posted: #1263
And also TEX. Are we done for that series even though its a 4 game series?
 
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Posted: #1264
Done w/TEX
Chasin MIL & CLV still unofficially.

IDK bout AZ tho.  I dont like that one.
 
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Posted: #1265
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

Done w/TEX
Chasin MIL & CLV still unofficially.

IDK bout AZ tho.  I dont like that one.


So official plays are:
ATL
NYY

Unofficial plays are:
MIL
CLV

right?
 
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Posted: #1266
I'd watch out for that NATS, they seem to find a way to beat teams.

Both A games beat their RL's. Too bad I didn't take them.

Nice work guys. Everyone seems dialed in again.

B2W, which A game am I missing?
 
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Posted: #1267
Quote Originally Posted by irage:

I'd watch out for that NATS, they seem to find a way to beat teams.

Both A games beat their RL's. Too bad I didn't take them.

Nice work guys. Everyone seems dialed in again.

B2W, which A game am I missing?

IDK which game, I think it was from this weekend. Im goin to go thru all the games today and write em down and then post em kind of like u do so that way we have legit numbers to look @ next year.

One week before I started system this yr I threw out last yrs plays. dont ask my why. who knows.  At least this yrs are documented.
 
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Posted: #1268
Is it AM in your country guys?
 
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Posted: #1269
 
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Posted: #1270
Quote Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

Yes, I started at the top with PHI and no sweeps, but with NYY they swept TEX and BOS at home, both within the 20 rpi.

So I decided to play on only home teams within 10 rpi.  First play is on Monday on WAS as they host ARZ.  See what happens.  Not trying to disrupt the thread, just an idea worth looking at for now.

Well WAS got the win!  It's too late in the season now but I will look into doing a thread next year.  Might be around 50 more plays or so. 

If you lower the rpi a bit won't those unofficial plays become official?

 
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Posted: #1271

So I decided to play on only home teams within 10 rpi.  First play is on Monday on WAS as they host ARZ. 

Well this theory will really be put to the test starting tonight as FLA is the play.  FLA has lost 5 in a row, lets see if they can win 1 at home vs the reds.

 
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Posted: #1272
RealityCheck1 - Keep track of wins and losses and we can look at it next year.
 
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Posted: #1273
Quote Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

So I decided to play on only home teams within 10 rpi.  First play is on Monday on WAS as they host ARZ. 

Well this theory will really be put to the test starting tonight as FLA is the play.  FLA has lost 5 in a row, lets see if they can win 1 at home vs the reds.


To save u some time bro, Ive backtested that. There are a lot more sweeps in MLB than people think. The problem I found when I backtested the theory ur lookin into is that though the RPI may be off some by 20pts, teams with the higher RPI is starting to go "down" and the lower RPI team is moving up. a great example of this is the beginning of our season. Look @ some of the matchups we had @ the beginning. No way they would they be a play now. Especially early on in the season when that RPI jumps around like a kangaroo on hot iron plates.
 
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Posted: #1274
BUT i just thot realitycheck, that MAY work in 2nd half of season when rpi is more stable.  

I think first half of season just too volatile. Now is perfect time to test.
 
 
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Posted: #1275
I see what your saying however it doesn't matter how the rpi swings as you will only play when the home team is within 10 of there opponent.  So they will basically be playing at the same level at the time.  Road sweeps are also harder to come by with basically evenly matched teams.  I will just keep an eye on it.  If FLA can win tonight against Cueto then anything is possible...
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