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MLB RPI SYSTEM

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Posted: #1401
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:


My records are correct. The three (3) categories I have are:

1. "DATE" series STARTED (not nec. won)
2. Team we were chasing
3. The game they won in. A, B, C, or loss.

So, using ur example:

1. May 30, 2011 is when we started a chase. It was a Monday.
2. Atlanta was the team we were chasing.
3. Atlanta won their "C" game. So on May 30, they lost their "A Game". On May 31st, they lost their "B Game". On June 1st ATL beat sd 4-3 to win their "C Game".


I am still confused. Atlanta played a 4 game series. You would have won either the 2nd A game or the B game. There should have been no reason to play the C game which lost anyway.
Is this just an error?

5/27 - Atlanta -167 = LOSS
5/28 - Atlanta -147 = WIN
5/29 - Atlanta -128 = WIN
5/30 - Atlanta -166 = LOSS
 
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Posted: #1402

irage, the second game of a 4 game series is only an A game if the first game won, otherwise it's a B game on the first chase.  You only get 2 chases out of it if the first A game wins.  Hope I understood your question.

b2w, this has proved to be the best system I've ever seen, bar none.  I always thought baseball should be the perfect sport for a chase system, if only there were some way to pick which series to chase on.  Who would have thought, pick the really good teams to beat the really bad teams, LOL!

 
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Posted: #1403

Quote Originally Posted by irage:



I am still confused. Atlanta played a 4 game series. You would have won either the 2nd A game or the B game. There should have been no reason to play the C game which lost anyway.
Is this just an error?

5/27 - Atlanta -167 = LOSS
5/28 - Atlanta -147 = WIN
5/29 - Atlanta -128 = WIN
5/30 - Atlanta -166 = LOSS

LOL!!!  You're confusing yourself irage. Go back and look at those dates you just posted. CHECK ESPN, MLB.COM or right here on covers. If you don't realize on (MAY) 5/27,5/28, 5/29 they, ATL,  played the CIN Reds (WHICH BTW, WAS NOT A SYSTEM PLAY), and On MONDAY 5/30 they STARTED a new series vs the Padres, Im going to kick ur ass. just kidding of course.  5/27, 5/28, 5/29 is IRRELEVANT with ATL because they were not a system play that weekend.

 
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Posted: #1404
Quote Originally Posted by spoutbec:

irage, the second game of a 4 game series is only an A game if the first game won, otherwise it's a B game on the first chase.  You only get 2 chases out of it if the first A game wins.  Hope I understood your question.

b2w, this has proved to be the best system I've ever seen, bar none.  I always thought baseball should be the perfect sport for a chase system, if only there were some way to pick which series to chase on.  Who would have thought, pick the really good teams to beat the really bad teams, LOL!

thanks. But Im going to create one without the juice. Im sure it will have a flaw, like this system, but I will run that MF into the ground until it works.

 
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Posted: #1405
Quote Originally Posted by usernamessuck:

The funny part is there are a bunch of morons (sorry) who thought they found the perfect sysytem but couldn't "play" the 'B' or 'C' games bc they lost too much on juice or bet other teams. 

Even if you were able, gambling (winning...Charlie Shee...LOL) is all about bankroll & disciplne.  Go ahead & take the losers from tonight again tomorrow & worry about every single pitch.  Keep those cheeks tight.

"Bettor2win" - I didn't play anything all season but applaude ur efforts to help others.  Best of luck.


Well, u should have played. u would have made CASH !!! 
Morons??? who said this was a perfect system???  Tight cheeks??? Dude, got good money mangement! I was laughing!  Appaude me for my efforts???  Ur wacked criticizing people calling them morons. You are like most people, put somebody down because they were succesful. Which we were this yr. 
 
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Posted: #1406
b2w, so what are your picks tomorrow? should we chase phillies cuz i am getting -310, kinda scary lol
 
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Posted: #1407
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

thanks. But Im going to create one without the juice. Im sure it will have a flaw, like this system, but I will run that MF into the ground until it works.



thank you so much. i spent a good 12 hours calculating and back testing all my theories and i came up with 2 failed underdog systems. im kinda glad they failed bc it gave me motivation to look for other systems and i found this one, but if you come up with something, i'll be on it with you for sure. i'll follow you to the gates of hell! haha

well, i think im done for the rest of the season. i lost a big chunk of change the past few days, but overall i'm up alot. thanks again b2w. i know this may be too much to ask, but will you be back posting on the forum for next season? if not, i completely understand, but i sure would appreciate it (i'm just a lazy bastard). and i tried to add you and a couple other people on this thread a few days ago, but its not showing any of you guys on the friends list. maybe i'm doing it wrong. i'll try again.
 
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Posted: #1408
B2W,
thanks for the formidable season.

Why is it impossible to bet on NYY (bet B) today?

I have another question, there is someone who has a database (ex. in Excel, Aces,...) with daily RPI?

thanks


 
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Posted: #1409
and forget the haters. usernamessuck is like a nun trying to tell us that sex is bad, when we know for a fact that its good. we've all done it before, and yea, we ended up getting screwed by some fat chicks, but it wasnt bad enough for us to outweigh the good.
 
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Posted: #1410
BOS, NYY & PHI series are cancelled due to hurricane. Wouldnt be able to chase.  

I updated friends list btw trychrome.
 
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Posted: #1411
IDK if will do thread again like this unless I find some dog/low juice system to share. it takes a lot of time LOL. It was fun when we had this thing rolling. Felt like you would never lose.
 
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Posted: #1412

It would be too bad if there's not a thread like this again next year.  A lot of the unofficial plays you guys came up with were pretty good.  Also b2w, this system itself was actually not bad juice early on, juice only started getting really bad later on.  Not only that, but often when there were more than one official series, there would be certain series that the juice wasn't as bad on, anyone could just play those series if they wanted to, a few less plays but still quite a few.

 
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Posted: #1413

For instance, the first series we played this season started on 4/29.  1st game juice was

CLE +105

KC +105

TEX +100

COL -200

LAD -133

You could have just skipped the Colorado series.  Early in the season, betters still have in mind good teams and bad teams from the year before, giving those who go by extremely large gaps in RPI an edge. 

 
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Posted: #1414
We could look into how many of these series were sweeps.  If not too many we could bet the dog to win 1 game.  Alot of good teams with high juice have been losing lately.  NYY, PHI, SF, the list goes on.
 
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Posted: #1415
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

BOS, NYY & PHI series are cancelled due to hurricane. Wouldnt be able to chase.  

I updated friends list btw trychrome.

Boston is playing a double header today, so B game for them, no? I already missed the game as sometimes I sleep late on Saturday's on West Coast. :(

 
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Posted: #1416
I know its a little late but BOS, I didnt realize had a DH that WASNT cx due to the hurricane today.  crap!. NYY DH tomorrow if anyone interested..
 
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Posted: #1417
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

LOL!!!  You're confusing yourself irage. Go back and look at those dates you just posted. CHECK ESPN, MLB.COM or right here on covers. If you don't realize on (MAY) 5/27,5/28, 5/29 they, ATL,  played the CIN Reds (WHICH BTW, WAS NOT A SYSTEM PLAY), and On MONDAY 5/30 they STARTED a new series vs the Padres, Im going to kick ur ass. just kidding of course.  5/27, 5/28, 5/29 is IRRELEVANT with ATL because they were not a system play that weekend.



OK, I think I need to put down the computer. The series with SD started on the 30th, and finished with a WIN on Jun 1, the C game was the winner. DUH DUH DUH, sorry B2W. I need to pull my head out of ass.
 
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Posted: #1418
B2W,

This was fun when it was rolling. I think we need to kill the system by about the 20th of August. I always stop playing around that time anyway because of the craziness.

Don't give up on the thread, this by far is the best system I've seen and I killed my books and I am going to double up next year. There is no question that many of guys in here contribute to the decisions. We are using the brain power and experience from good cappers is how we WIN and like the name says ......it's BETTOR 2 WIN.
 
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Posted: #1419
LOL. Man, you guys were like my right hand man all season. everyone contributed.  I think ur rite irage, aug 20 stop the system bcuz linesmakers POUR the juice on knowing teams are gunning for wins before sept. 1 becuz major league rosters got to 40 then. 

I had a great time everyone. and even tho I didnt respond to every post i read them. tychrome, I just read the other day how u should take me out to dinner instead of ur girlfriend! LOL. Man, would love that. twodigitz took me golfing the other day, was great. Man, he can "putt" great! Hell, his all around game is pretty dam good. He even gave me a stroke a hole and I still got whooped. I beat him straight up a couple holes tho.  
anyone guna chase nyy tomorrow?? Its a DH. i will only if rain NOT a factor.
 
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Posted: #1420
I took a beating yesterday like everyone else, but I am still way up for the year and I didn't start until after the all star break. I wish I had started sooner and am looking foward to next year. Thanks to everyone who helped out!
 
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Posted: #1421
I didnt finish too bad yestrday. I was down but I was one of the lucky ones who also took mil, clv, det & sf. but, our 3 big hitters lost...phi, bos & nyy.
 
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Posted: #1422
Yeah, I'm going to chase NYY tomorrow.  Then that's the last one.  I think I'll try RL.  Wish me luck.
 
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Posted: #1423
Im going to"wash out" the phi, bos & nyy, even if each team wins today/tomorrow since the hurricaine kind of screwed everything up. looks like BOS will win today tho. So, we end w/an....

85-1 record for 2011.



spoutbec...make sure u check the weather if ur guna chase to make sure BOTH games can get in. Like always, I will be on the ML.Good luck.

btw, Im not taking BOS win today into consideration for the system..
 
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Posted: #1424

Are we going to continue this for the NHL?

Even though they don't play series you can say bet on a team thats 50 rpi higher, and if they lose wait till the same team plays another team where they are 50 rpi higher. 

Or if you bet on a team and they lose just look for the next team to have to 50 rpi higher and bet on them.  So you likely would end up betting on 3 different teams for your 3 bets, and thats 3 good teams that have to get beat by 3 bad teams for a loss.

 
 
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Posted: #1425
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

Im going to"wash out" the phi, bos & nyy, even if each team wins today/tomorrow since the hurricaine kind of screwed everything up. looks like BOS will win today tho. So, we end w/an....

85-1 record for 2011.



spoutbec...make sure u check the weather if ur guna chase to make sure BOTH games can get in. Like always, I will be on the ML.Good luck.

btw, Im not taking BOS win today into consideration for the system..


bettor2win all i can say is thanks for helping me and other it winning back our money that we have lost in the past....

every year i end up losing on MLB and NFL... BUT this year you have changed it for me after 12 years.... thank you I hope that i can be part of this again next year.... Once again THANK YOU JC
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