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MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012

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Posted: #1051
Yep! This our FACEBOOK.
 
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Posted: #1052
Plays today are:
NYM C GAME
SF B GAME
 
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Posted: #1053
thanks b2b. how come we never take the cards ,they always win # games series
 
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Posted: #1054
Quote Originally Posted by hammer1:

thanks b2b. how come we never take the cards ,they always win # games series


We go based on RPI.  For whatever reason, their RPI is still kinda shitty.  Coulda played them against PIT but after SEA swept DET on the road, I'm passing on series that don't qualify.  Who cares.  Better to stay perfect then get effed.
 
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Posted: #1055
What's the consensus for today's bet c? Are people putting a bet to make back original bet or are you guys doing what bettor2win does at times and just putting an original bet A amount on it? 
 
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Posted: #1056
Quote Originally Posted by asroma123:

What's the consensus for today's bet c? Are people putting a bet to make back original bet or are you guys doing what bettor2win does at times and just putting an original bet A amount on it? 


Honestly, the system was near perfect last year.  I bet to win back what I lost plus a unit.  It doesn't make sense on paper but who cares.  We're using a computerized system, gotta bet like a computer would and take the emotion out.
 
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Posted: #1057
Quote Originally Posted by asroma123:

What's the consensus for today's bet c? Are people putting a bet to make back original bet or are you guys doing what bettor2win does at times and just putting an original bet A amount on it? 


The latter and going the b2w approach just cuz I'm wary of the Mets and not in love with the matchup today so I'm hoping to get back 50% of my investment here and move on. REALLY hoping the Giants win tonight though so I don't have to go crazy tomorrow on them. Hey a 2-0 day and we're up for the week.
 
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Posted: #1058

2012
BETTOR2WIN MLB RPI SYSTEM


MLB RPI Rankings
https://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi

RPI Chase Worksheet
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0BzZqK3HKsP7cVG1OYTVtak05OTg/edit?pli=1

Percentage Calculator
https://www.marshu.com/articles/calculate-percent-with-simple-number-percentage-calculator.php


VISITOR = < 50 RPI
HOME = < 42 RPI

APRIL (1 - 2)

4/30 - (A) Dodgers .727 +124 (V69) - LOSS
4/30 - (A) Texas .727 -145 (V102) - WIN
4/30 - (A) Mets .591 -113 (V80) - LOSS

MAY (1 -2)

5/1 - (B) Dodgers .727 +124 (H69) - WIN
5/1 - (B) Mets .591 -113 (V80) - LOSS
5/1 - (A) San Francisco .524 -148 (H52) - LOSS

5/2 - (C) Mets .591 -134 (V80) - PENDING
5/2 - (B) San Francisco .524 -120 (H52) - PENDING

 
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Posted: #1059

I can't take the Mets C game for 1500.00 tonight, last night I got rocked, so I have to put all my eggs in San Fran.

I think Mets get the C game and save the series, but I was not counting a C game to open this year.

 

 
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Posted: #1060
No WAS Irage? Also what do you think of jumping on BOS for a "B" game?
 
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Posted: #1061

Yes, I still believe Washington is a good team and I like them for the WIN today, but I am going back to picking one game each day rather than trying to run a couple each day. Chasing 3 or 4 series is expensive.

It kills my BR when I'm spread out. San Fran is the best pick for me today and because I'm not playing the METS today they will win.

 
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Posted: #1062
Quote Originally Posted by irage:

Yes, I still believe Washington is a good team and I like them for the WIN today, but I am going back to picking one game each day rather than trying to run a couple each day. Chasing 3 or 4 series is expensive.

It kills my BR when I'm spread out. San Fran is the best pick for me today and because I'm not playing the METS today they will win.



You should probably bet less.

As much as it sucks for me, I bet to win 1% of my BR.  That's it.  That's what the rules state.  I have a BR of $1000 so I bet to win a mere $10 per chase. It not only affords me a potential loss, but it also affords me multiple chases.  Not that I want to chase a lot of series, I still pick and choose, but it keeps me from getting ahead of myself.  I'll bet more $ when I make more $.  I figure I'll reward myself later by laying a proper foundation today.
 
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Posted: #1063

Quote Originally Posted by The__Man:



You should probably bet less.

As much as it sucks for me, I bet to win 1% of my BR.  That's it.  That's what the rules state.  I have a BR of $1000 so I bet to win a mere $10 per chase. It not only affords me a potential loss, but it also affords me multiple chases.  Not that I want to chase a lot of series, I still pick and choose, but it keeps me from getting ahead of myself.  I'll bet more $ when I make more $.  I figure I'll reward myself later by laying a proper foundation today.

Agreed, but I had planned to be more agressive this year which is why I have been betting about 20% of BR. As you can imagine, you have to win more A and B games to make it worth it.

 
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Posted: #1064
I am playing to win 3% on these..allows for a loss or 2..and to run multiple chases. As the roll goes up, so will the 3%(or god forbid after a loss as the roll goes down, the 3% goes down !) .. that being said all over the Mets C game..go Mets !!
 
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Posted: #1065
Quote Originally Posted by joelifer:



2-0. Rangers and Dodgers are the only winners thus far.

I accidentally counted the Rays series I played. 2-0 
 
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Posted: #1066
Quote Originally Posted by SpOrTzFaN1:

43 pages and this is only 3-0 the whole year??

The whole year? Started on monday big guy.
 
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Posted: #1067

 Good Job, Irage

Astro's are playing with a bunch of rookies and a Tight Ass owner. I'm lovin' the Mets as a Dog!!!!!

 
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Posted: #1068

It does not seem to be a surprise that we are running into B and C games with some of the teams that the system picks.  If you noticed there are teams that meet the rpi rules when the series starts but after one or two losses no longer.  For example the Mets, after there two losses they no longer have an rpi rating that is 50 points greater than the Astros.  I think if we can find a way to avoid that we would be in better shape.  I would image as we get deeper in the season the rpi ratings will not jump as much eliminating this issue.  May be lower unit sizes the first two months and than increasing to a higher unit size the next three months will help.  It has been profitable during the first month so it would not make sense to avoid completely but may be a filter that would help determine that the rpi rating will stay 50 or 42 units apart then entire series can help.

 
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Posted: #1069
 Don't forget Hou/NYM 1;00cst START
 
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Posted: #1070
Not bad juice at +135.  Betting to win $40 per series, bet $140 to win $200.  

GO METS!!!
 
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Posted: #1071
Mets had no business being a top Rpi team and I'm a mets fan. We should have known better!
 
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Posted: #1072
Yep, system started too.  20 some games is too small of a sample, need double that.  Greed kills!!!

Schwinden is garbage!
 
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Posted: #1073
I really think the key is making sure if a team that fits the RPI filters at the start of the series will still fit the Rpi filters if they lose the first two games. The mets did not and I'm not sure if det did last week.
 
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Posted: #1074
Guys Relax...

1) System is proven.

2) If you are complaining already,,You are not managing your bankroll properly.

3) If you cant handle the system parameters, then this system is not for you...I suggest you move on...

4) B2W, Irage and all contributors ,,keep up the good dedicated work..
 
 
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Posted: #1075
Of course the RPI gets closer in C games. The team you bet on just lost 2 in a row. It TOTALLY SUCKS we are chasing too many series now....this didn't happen last year.

Let's leave the filters to B2W and Irage

Mets already down 5-0 in the 3rd. I have seen some crazy comebacks but the METs aren't looking good....need to get that pitcher outta there.
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