MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012

Labby lines would have saved a lot of people & profit would probably be higher at the end of the season. Someone who is good with them should have posted from the beginning. Rizz is doing a great job in his thread.

Actually guys i screwed up a little. My bad. I went back last 3 yrs and we started RPI one series early BECAUSE season started later than normal this yr. Oh well, i lost money on NYM too but looking at their rpi, doesnt look like nym will be a play for a long time. Oh well! Thats why its GAMBLING.

 

Not complanning. Correct me if im wrong b2w just saying that the teams we are trying to bet on (good teams beating bad teams) would not be teams that do not fit the Rpi filter after two losses in the series. Right? I think in the First two months we would need to watch out for that.

That's a good point - I wonder what 1 or 2 losses does to a teams RPI.  I think someone mentioned they have the formula to calculate RPI - does someone mind sharing that?

The reason being maybe one of the filters could incorporate a cushion of 1 or 2 losses in the RPI difference.

Here is an example - and i'm just making up numbers

NYM (RPI .550) at HOU (RPI .490) - so an RPI difference of 60.  This would be a play per the RPI filter.  but let's say if the NYM lose the first game - their RPI would drop to ,530 and HOU would go up to .500 - now the difference is only 30.

Maybe it's a filter we can use in the first month of baseball - or throughout the season if it makes sense.

All we would need is how RPI is calculated to figure out how it impacts teams current RPI.

Just a thought.....

 

First year following this system, its just bad luck the Mets will likely lose this chase series. Astros were projected to have 60 wins and they will get 1/20th of it off our bets :D I highly doubt anyone would've thought the Astros would take all 3, but its just the randomness that comes in betting on sports.

Its ok the system should be able to recover from a few losses. And it couldve been worse, at least the lines werent super juiced, imagine if it was the DET v SEA series last week, we wouldve lost 2-3 times more.

You don't have to remind me.

I have been folling this system from last year and i dont post much because im a slow typer(od school computer changeled) and i just lost with the mets and i played them against my better judgement because this is a proven system.but I need to sey this for everyone we should never be playing teams that are garbage the mets are garbage.and because they got off to a good start they had a high rpi but they are still garbage.just like the padres.common sense should be one of the filters.i hope i made some kind of sense and good luck to all in the future

Not a good start to season and putting me further in the hole....need to pay for my LIONS tix in next 2 weeks. Finger crossed on SF....or will have to wait to see this system become consistent before I continue to play. Sorry B2W..... (Has this system ever started out slow?? I know teams are still unpredictable and then steady out and become what everyone expects them to become. I.e. The Tigers will still win the central.....

B2W and I had an offline conversation about the currect state of MLB teams in relation to the RPI. We was concerned that bad teams were beating good teams and we discussed the decision to postpone another week. We ultimate decided to move forward because looked like they were lining up.

While this system isn't perfect its still pretty damn good. I fully expect next week to be the complete opposite. This is gambling and there are no sure things.

We are betting these games too, so don't think we for a second we aren't eating our own dog food.

Feel free to vent your frustration, you have every right, but I caution you to from jumping on the HATE train because of one bad series. Lest we forget that Texas and Dodgers both won and I fully expect San Fran to pull through tonight.

Look at it this way, the C game loss is out of the way early and now we don't have to worry about it.

We have a great collection of guys in here, lets stay focused on finding the winners.

Degengamble to get the RPI multiply the strength of schedule by 3 then add the teams win percentage. Divide the new total by 4.

well said irage, let's get that win out of the way now and move on to the winners...let's go Giants!

IRAGE. ITS SUCKS BUT I JUST HOPE WE GET RESULTS LIKES LAST YEAR MY FRIEND.

IRAGE. ITS SUCKS BUT I JUST HOPE WE GET RESULTS LIKES LAST YEAR MY FRIEND.

RPI #'S Betting $100 on A games

4/30   1-2 
A dodgers  +124 bet $100 loss  -100
A rangers    -145 bet $100  win  +100
A mets         -113 bet $100 loss  -113
Total....- $113

5/1     1-2
B dodgers +124 bet $200   win  +248
B mets       -113  bet $213  loss  -240
A giants     -148  bet $100  loss  -148
sub total....- $156
total..........- $269...

5/2
C mets    +125  bet $453   loss  - $453
B giants   -120   bet $248   pending

If Giants pull it out our total is not bad considering we lost a C game..- $ 474.00
If Giants lose - $ 1,022.....

I think we would be okay with the yankees vs royals series that starts on Thursday.  Its a four game series and possibility of two wins in the series for us.  The rpi difference is pretty far apart.  Juice will probably be high.

OK, Let's SLOW this thread down. And please listen to what I have to say!!!

First of al I screwed up and started the system too early COMPARED to previous seasons. The MLB season started a week later this year. I always  just started it in May taking into no consideration of how many games/series were played. My bad!  I'll still take the hit for the NYM loss. Oh well.

Second, I recieved an email back from ESPN this morning concerning the RPI. The will NOT give out information on how EXACTLY, PRECISELY the RPI is created.  Only the basics. So in other words, YOU CAN'T FIGURE IT OUT. It's called a "Trade Secret".  I had been emailing them off and on for the past couple months.

Third, Once we start a series, we don't stop (at least the system doesn't, but you can). That means even if a series falls OUT of the RPI number for a play, keep going.  This happens quite frequently during the season.

Fourth and final,  Last year was the best year for the RPI.  Hell, we may have a bunch of losses this year...IDK.. I hope not. Because the last few years has been a LOCK.  Hopefully, things start going as planned and not ruin all our BR.

Thanks for listening, and oh, Let's not clog this thread anymore, including me.  If you have questions PM me. If you think I missed a play, post that to the thread. Otherwise, please just read, give a  or something completely relevant to the thread. 

Thanks guys!!!

 

Regarding the RPI FORMULA. I've posted this before and I'll post it again. READ the bottom of the RPI standings page. Under the Glossary, the basic formula is spelled out right there. Go look. It was originally created for College Hoops as another thing to look at for the selection committee. Needless to say it has expanded to other sports for good reason. The problem is projecting what a team's RPI will be after a loss or two - will also depend on what every other result is for that day...EVERY game impacts the RPI on a daily basis.

From my calculations...two series started yesterday that were not posted:

Yes, normally. But I was off this year and started it too early as I explained earlier so I put in filters. I don't think I will have to put in filters come this weekend. 

As far as the ESPN RPI, they would not comment on anything whatsoever. Not even how or if ESPN power rankings come into play.  Yes, I know the basic formula, but like it says, "basic". 

I think at the end of the season we will look back and wonder how Houston swept ANYONE. This is an aberration. 

McCann GS vs Halladay...you gotta believe

WALK OFF HOME RUN WALK OFF HOME RUN WALK OFF HOME RUN OHHH BABBYYYYYY

glad I picked the Nationals lol. Great walkoff win. Now to see if Atlanta can hold on to their 13-12 lead 

I picked WSH too n ATL , nice walkoffs LOL, its my fuckin day.

Tomorrow no A games right?


Excuse my english n BOL