MLB system releases...

Quote Originally Posted by DarkHorse21:

You are making several wrong assumptions. If you're going to bet serious money, don't do so at Betus or Oddsmaker.  Or at least know their background. The idea of betting numerous bets per day has nothing to do with getting rich quick. The best are value-based. If there is value, bet. If there is no value, don't bet.  You are the one introducing a get-rich-quick scheme, but doubling up until you hit the jackpot will get you nowhere.  The bet sizing in this thread is very profitable, but you won't see it unless you take the time to study, which is what this entire thread is about.

Quote Originally Posted by acortazz:

Quote Originally Posted by acortazz:

Quote Originally Posted by MeMyselfandEye:

parden my error..not ARI.....COL-1.5 +141

Quote Originally Posted by sevenleighton:

I am sorry about that, I guess since I started making my picks, and people always questioned, I became defensive, sorry, now I will attempt to explain my process in calculating these picks, first, I take all the state from both teams, (Win % against each other (pointspread.com), I then take the Home WIn Loss Record, Win Loss Div, East, West, Central, RH, LH, Pitchers Win/Loss) the average score allowed and given, , Ball Park Factors)  Taking these numbers I calculated the rough win loss of this game, in this particular game I was looking at Colorado 54%, but, Ariz, L1, Color W1, Davis for Arizona  is in the top 20 of there Division while De La is not, so I gave a slight advantage toward Arizona in that area  So I researched both teams, and realized that Arizona I believe has already beaten Colorado twice in Colorado.,  Taking these numbers I calculated that with the Run Count that Colorado will be favored, So I calculated the same number in the RC-27 Formula and observed that Color was slightly favored, so I then conducted a third calculation in Runs created per game and estimated that Arizona was favored in that area, then taking all the run counts from each test, I estimated that Colorado would win the game by less then 2 runs, so now we have what 5 calculation and Color ahead by 1, so using the John Nash theory of probabilities and outcomes, colorado was less then 1 run ahead,  Has for Lopez being traded, that really did not make a difference in the lifetime states, since his record was 3 hits in 16 AB against Colorado Pitchers.  I will more then likely loss this game since in several test the TB was not fuly inclused in all the batters, due to a Computer clinch, but if you look at the underdog therey, as well as the chase theory you will still see that if a Underdog team will win then this is the one it definetely has all the signs of being it, and in addition it is a very well known fact that 33% of all games are won by the underdog.  So time will tell on this one, but I am hoping that it will go in my favor.

Quote Originally Posted by MeMyselfandEye:

parden my error..not ARI.....COL-1.5 +141

Quote Originally Posted by sevenleighton:

This game (ARIZ/COLORADO) could be interesting, since I still believe the combination of systems I am using could be effective< since even though the mass calculations did make it close, the VERY slight edge did go to ARIZ, with the LEAN over 9.5, and the score is 2-2 in the 2nd,  WISH ME LUCK ALL

Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

It is still early.. but I don't know if Arizona can overcome a 5 run deficit.. Fowler home run ..

5-0 Colorado 

Quote Originally Posted by MeMyselfandEye:

The Base_Runs formula, using the Runs_Created form, gives a very strong lean on COL, situational handicapping determines whether it is a play or not - individual choice.  However, this is baseball - anything can happen. GL.