NBA quarters chase

Quote Originally Posted by vixen321:

Hi, therizz , have been following your posts ( NBA and MLB) as I like systems play. You really analyze in detail and that's MUCH APPRECIATED!
 NBA is like a whole new season when playoffs start so I am waiting for 1st round to finish.
 Your NBA Qrt system reminds me a little of another former member. ( FCHU1971 he has since been banned bc I think he alluded to selling his picks) Do you recall that thread, ?
Thanks for posting and BOL

Heck yea I remember FCHU.  Wish he was still around.  He had an uncanny ability to pick the right angle and change it up when things were going bad, but it was hard to keep up with him esp with so little time in between quarters..  His thread is what got me thinking about this... crunched the numbers and figured out a lot of what was behind his success.  I am sure there are angles for overs/unders, and team totals also, but I don't have the lines by quarter to test against.

Sorry guys ATL looks like dog crap tonight from an execution standpoint.  Be very careful with chasing them.

Quote Originally Posted by vixen321:

Totally with you on FCHU1971. He really did have an uncanny ability to pick games and it was nearly impossible to follow him. Plus, sometimes the books don't release all the in game quarter lines so if you lose 1stQ, you're stuck. 
I was rooting for you with ATl. I think you have a better chance with Denver bc they will be playing with a lot of emotion and it's a must win obviously. I also don't think  Utah is a 3-1 better team than Denver.
I like your MLB system. Have you considered incorporating  some of Nabil's system plays to fine tune your games even more? you're both great!
BOL

Yeah, I only played 1st q on ATL because the second qtr line was crap.  8 pt spread and they want you to drop 4 on a quarter... luckily everyone should have gotten a push at worst and maybe a win.  The playoffs are a different animal!

Yea I am trying to incorporate some filters for the opening game favorite chase.  At this point it is more a matter of tracking as it is hard to know what the best options will be.  Right now with every new series that starts, I am recording the over/under, differential from Teamrankings (nabil's system), and series prices.  I am thinking that should give us enough info where we can look back after a couple months or the entire season and really find a way to hammer it.

Yeah, I only played 1st q on ATL because the second qtr line was crap.  8 pt spread and they want you to drop 4 on a quarter... luckily everyone should have gotten a push at worst and maybe a win.  The playoffs are a different animal!

Yea I am trying to incorporate some filters for the opening game favorite chase.  At this point it is more a matter of tracking as it is hard to know what the best options will beRight now with every new series that starts, I am recording the over/under, differential from Teamrankings (nabil's system), and series prices.  I am thinking that should give us enough info where we can look back after a couple months or the entire season and really find a way to hammer it.

Guys my picker is obviously broken tonight.  I only played the 1st qtrs and went 0-2!!!   I am just going to post the numbers for tomorrows matchups.  If you guys find value in having them, these elimination games are tough to cap, you expect teams to come out and play hard and they are just going through the motions.  I think I am going to shut it down personally until the next rounds start.  I will put up the numbers for tomorrows games.  Good luck if you end up playing them...

numbers

How can you say in one sentence you aren't a tout and in the next tell people you will give them the info for free???  We are trying to help each other make some money here, not make money from the other members pockets.  Good luck with your systems.  If you feel that confident about it post some plays and lets see how it goes.

I've been following your system and have done pretty well so thank you for sharing - I'm going to go against the grain tonight though.

The Suns have won both 1st qtrs in Portland and I think they'll put tremendous emphasis on the way they start tonight's game because of their extremely poor start in game 5.

Thanks again for the time that you put in to your posts - GL

Quote Originally Posted by vixen321:

Portland to come back in 2nd Q??? I have seen them start out slow and then gain momentum. what da ya think, therizz?

sorry man missed your post.  Laid off 2nd qtr.  Hit SA and PHX tonight and called it good after last nights slow start.  Was honestly going to play POR 1st qtr but the road team was winning so many of the 1st qtrs and there were better odds.  Hopefully you got that one.

Took Portland under 26 pts for the 3rd qtr. They haven't gone over that 3rd qtr total all series long.

Hope to make another play for the 4th qtr - GL

1st qtr - Phx 0 

3rd qtr - Portland Under 26pts 

4th qtr - like Phx 0 (+130)

GL