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new to covers... multi sport o/u & totals strategy

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Views: 3596
Posts: 94
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #76
NBA

tor @ bos
bos ats -9.5 10 to win 9.09

ut @ mem
ut +1.5 10 to win 9.09

nj @ was
over 190 10 to win 9.09

no @ lal
over 189 10 to win 9.09

NHL

nyr @ dal
over 5.5 10 to win 12.50

ott @ chi
under 5.5 10 to win 8.69

edm @ van
edm 10 to win 25

SYSTEM

sa @ ind
sa -5.5 10 to win 9.09

mia @ mil
mia -7.5 10 to win 9.09

cle @ gs
gs -10.5 10 to win 9.09
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #77
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #78
texas a&m vs lsu
under 49.5 10 to win 9.09

$ play

texas a&m vs lsu
lsu -2.5 20 to win 17.39

 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #79
RECORD: 50-48-2
$ PLAY: 4-1-0
SYSTEM: 1-2-0
BANKROLL: 321.77
PROFIT: 10.30
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #80
hmmm..... just got done backtesting the new system from 2008... 51.6%
 
Prospect
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Posts: 117
Posted: #81
system record through three years backtesting:
2008 51.6% 147 wins 138 losses
2009 57.5% 171 wins 126 losses
2010 55.3%  36 wins  29 losses

NO WAY am i back testing another year!!! I am just going to run it for now..... i'll give it a month or so(provided i dont go broke) and i will reevaluate then...definitely not a fan of the variance... 5.9% difference between 08 & 09
 
Prospect
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Posts: 117
Posted: #82
NFC WILD CARD

no @ sea
no -10 20 to win 17.39 $ play
(my bucs beat both of these teams.... just sayin.)

AFC WILD CARD

nyj @ ind
over 44.5 20 to win 18.18 $ play
ind -2 10 to win 8.69


 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #83
NBA

ind @ atl
over 191 10 to win 9.09

orl @ dal
over 189 10 to win 9.09

ut @ hou
ut +1 10 to win 9.09
under 208 10 to win 9.09

bos @ chi
under 188
bos + 110 10 to win 11.50

NHL

fl @ was
over 5.5 10 to win 9.09

col @ la
under 5.5 10 to win 7.40

SYSTEM

was @ cha
was +4 10 to win 9.09

ind @ atl
ind +7 10 to win 9.09

mem @ okc
mem +7 10 to win 9.09


 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #84
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #85
RECORD: 55-52-2
$ PLAY: 4-3-0
SYSTEM: 1-5-0
BANKROLL: 257.22
PROFIT: -54.27

5-4 yesterday with regular plays, 0-3 system plays, $ plays 0-2. At first I thought it was just a bad day. Now i'm thinking maybe i have just been trying to do this the easy way. Well that's done. The "system is in the trash after two days. From now on, I will use the original strategy, but only as a sort of guide. I will no longer make picks based solely on what the strategy says. Only my very best plays will be made, and it will be quality not quantity. Picks  will now be place based on units. One unit for me will be $10 two units $20 and so on.  In summary from now on no more modifications will be made and these plays will be strategy and/or handicap based. I am declaring war on vegas,

 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #86
RECORD: 0-0-0
BANKROLL: 257.22
PROFIT: -54.27

NFL

bal @ kc
kc +155 1u to win 15.50
over 40.5 2u to win 18.18

gb @ phi
phi -2 1u to win 9.09
under 46.5 1u to win 9.09

NBA

sac @ tor
under 205 1u to win 9.09

no @ den
over 201.5 1u to win 9.09

min @ sa
under 210.5 2u to win 18.18

mia @ por
over 184.5 2u to win 18.18
nyk @ lal
nyk +6.5 1u to win 9.09

parlay: sa-tor-pho 1u to win 6.79
 
Prospect
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Posts: 117
Posted: #87
CFB

nev vs bc
nev -8 4u to win 34.78
under 54.5 2u to win 18.18
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #88
5-7overall yesterday. bad.... back with numbers after work. I will say that I did some math last night before the overnight lines came out for the nba. My numbers for the mem @ cha game were mem -1.9 and the total was 192.7, coincidentally two of my books had the line at mem -2 and total 193..... cool.....
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #89
RECORD: 5-7
BANKROLL: 217.64
PROFIT: -93.83
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #90
NBA

mem @ cha
cha +3.5 2u

hou @ bos
over 198.5 2u

CFB

oregon vs auburn
aub +1.5  2u
under 72.5 2u
oregon ml even 1u
 
Prospect
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Posts: 117
Posted: #91
trying to right the ship....

 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #92
RECORD: 8-9
BANKROLL: 242.18
PROFIT: -69.29
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #93
NBA

ind @ phi
under 196.5 1u

sac @ was
under 197.5 1u

sa @ min
min +6.5 1u
under 197.5 1u

pho @ den
under 218.5 2u
 
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 117
Posted: #94
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