Sorry for the delay, was hoping for some line movement. Wash is one of the teams. Almost everywhere I look Philly is a bigger fave or same as LA. I usually use 5dimes lines which have LA as the bigger fave. So I'm going with Philly for a couple reasons. We are getting some better odds using 5dimes and I thnk it's the better play ayway. LA has a bad road record while Ott is good at home. Anyway..
Game 1, Wash -123 and Phil +100, $10 to win $26.26
Sorry for the delay, was hoping for some line movement. Wash is one of the teams. Almost everywhere I look Philly is a bigger fave or same as LA. I usually use 5dimes lines which have LA as the bigger fave. So I'm going with Philly for a couple reasons. We are getting some better odds using 5dimes and I thnk it's the better play ayway. LA has a bad road record while Ott is good at home. Anyway..
Game 1, Wash -123 and Phil +100, $10 to win $26.26
5.00 | 5.50 | 5.50 | |
110 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 6.00 |
110 | 15.00 | 16.50 | 1.50 |
120 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 0.00 |
140 | 40.00 | 56.00 | 1.00 |
160 | 60.00 | 96.00 | 1.00 |
180 | 90.00 | 162.00 | 7.00 |
200 | 125.00 | 250.00 | 5.00 |
5.00 | 5.50 | 5.50 | |
110 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 6.00 |
110 | 15.00 | 16.50 | 1.50 |
120 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 0.00 |
140 | 40.00 | 56.00 | 1.00 |
160 | 60.00 | 96.00 | 1.00 |
180 | 90.00 | 162.00 | 7.00 |
200 | 125.00 | 250.00 | 5.00 |
5.00 | 5.50 | 5.50 | |
110 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 6.00 |
110 | 15.00 | 16.50 | 1.50 |
120 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 0.00 |
140 | 40.00 | 56.00 | 1.00 |
160 | 60.00 | 96.00 | 1.00 |
180 | 90.00 | 162.00 | 7.00 |
200 | 125.00 | 250.00 | 5.00 |
5.00 | 5.50 | 5.50 | |
110 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 6.00 |
110 | 15.00 | 16.50 | 1.50 |
120 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 0.00 |
140 | 40.00 | 56.00 | 1.00 |
160 | 60.00 | 96.00 | 1.00 |
180 | 90.00 | 162.00 | 7.00 |
200 | 125.00 | 250.00 | 5.00 |
5.00 | 5.50 | 5.50 | |
110 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 6.00 |
110 | 15.00 | 16.50 | 1.50 |
120 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 0.00 |
140 | 40.00 | 56.00 | 1.00 |
160 | 60.00 | 96.00 | 1.00 |
180 | 90.00 | 162.00 | 7.00 |
200 | 125.00 | 250.00 | 5.00 |
5.00 | 5.50 | 5.50 | |
110 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 6.00 |
110 | 15.00 | 16.50 | 1.50 |
120 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 0.00 |
140 | 40.00 | 56.00 | 1.00 |
160 | 60.00 | 96.00 | 1.00 |
180 | 90.00 | 162.00 | 7.00 |
200 | 125.00 | 250.00 | 5.00 |
Oil I don't think you can use the 8 game progression that I use for the parlay system, for your idea. It was meant to take advantage of the higher payouts for a parlay. You'd have to modify to fit a single play chase.
I do not know the W/L record of individual games but maybe a labby line on both might work if the win% is high enough. I can maybe do some testing.
Oil I don't think you can use the 8 game progression that I use for the parlay system, for your idea. It was meant to take advantage of the higher payouts for a parlay. You'd have to modify to fit a single play chase.
I do not know the W/L record of individual games but maybe a labby line on both might work if the win% is high enough. I can maybe do some testing.
Oil I don't think you can use the 8 game progression that I use for the parlay system, for your idea. It was meant to take advantage of the higher payouts for a parlay. You'd have to modify to fit a single play chase.
I do not know the W/L record of individual games but maybe a labby line on both might work if the win% is high enough. I can maybe do some testing.
Oil I don't think you can use the 8 game progression that I use for the parlay system, for your idea. It was meant to take advantage of the higher payouts for a parlay. You'd have to modify to fit a single play chase.
I do not know the W/L record of individual games but maybe a labby line on both might work if the win% is high enough. I can maybe do some testing.
Oil I don't think you can use the 8 game progression that I use for the parlay system, for your idea. It was meant to take advantage of the higher payouts for a parlay. You'd have to modify to fit a single play chase.
I do not know the W/L record of individual games but maybe a labby line on both might work if the win% is high enough. I can maybe do some testing.
Oil I don't think you can use the 8 game progression that I use for the parlay system, for your idea. It was meant to take advantage of the higher payouts for a parlay. You'd have to modify to fit a single play chase.
I do not know the W/L record of individual games but maybe a labby line on both might work if the win% is high enough. I can maybe do some testing.
Oil (and Dan),
Here are some numbers you may find helpful in your analysis:
Parlaying a fade against the "official plays" has hit 6 times to date (and as you can imagine, they had high yields given the amount of dogs involved).
GM1=2
GM2=1
GM3=1
GM5=1
GM7=1
*another game 7 currently pending
Playing those same fades individually and categorizing them as "stronger dog" (fade against the weaker road fav) and "weaker dog" (fade against the stronger road fav) results in:
Stronger Dog
16-9 (64% win rate)
GM1=10
GM2= 3
GM3=3
Played in a straight marty progression = YTD of +17.7units
Played in a chase as "to win" 1 unit = YTD of +16units
Weaker Dog
11-14 (44% win rate)
GM1= 6
GM2= 2
GM3= 1
GM4= 1 (plus one pending)
GM5= 1
Played in a straight marty progression = YTD of +24.6units
Played in a chase as "to win" 1 unit = YTD of +11units
Personally, I think a straight marty on the stronger dog and a "to win" chase on the weaker is the way to go (at least until the break)...thoughts?
Oil (and Dan),
Here are some numbers you may find helpful in your analysis:
Parlaying a fade against the "official plays" has hit 6 times to date (and as you can imagine, they had high yields given the amount of dogs involved).
GM1=2
GM2=1
GM3=1
GM5=1
GM7=1
*another game 7 currently pending
Playing those same fades individually and categorizing them as "stronger dog" (fade against the weaker road fav) and "weaker dog" (fade against the stronger road fav) results in:
Stronger Dog
16-9 (64% win rate)
GM1=10
GM2= 3
GM3=3
Played in a straight marty progression = YTD of +17.7units
Played in a chase as "to win" 1 unit = YTD of +16units
Weaker Dog
11-14 (44% win rate)
GM1= 6
GM2= 2
GM3= 1
GM4= 1 (plus one pending)
GM5= 1
Played in a straight marty progression = YTD of +24.6units
Played in a chase as "to win" 1 unit = YTD of +11units
Personally, I think a straight marty on the stronger dog and a "to win" chase on the weaker is the way to go (at least until the break)...thoughts?
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