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NHL RPI DOGS Trial

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Posted: #1

I noticed this the other night with TOR @ TB and EDM @ NAS

Both TOR and EDM were huge dogs yet they both had a higher RPI then TB and NAS. Both TOR and EDM easily won on the road 7-1 and 6-2

So going to post some plays as a trial and see what happens as the season goes on.  This could be a good way to pick some dogs.

 
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Posted: #2
Always nice to throw some doggies...... Try to do some back testing or tell me how and I will help
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
do you know which site that offers archive data for power rankings? If i can then i can definately back track for you.
 
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Posted: #4

Since RPI changes everyday it would be impossible to backtest without a site that keeps those daily stats.

Remember this is a trial, so bet small or don't bet at all.

Todays play

WIN +125

WIN is 2 RPI higher then CAR and they have more goals scored and less against, but they are on the road.

 
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Posted: #5
So....   we are 2-0 YTD on this    with WIN pending
 
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Posted: #6
WIN
 
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Posted: #7
Looks good!
 
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Posted: #8

Well we have PHI +104   EDM +108 and FLA +113

But all 3 played last night, so not a good play for the dogs to win, so no plays today.

 
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Posted: #9

Lets just go by the numbers....     Last Saturday dogs were like

9-1 so go with it... dont combine with B2B fade ...

What does the RPI say

 
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Posted: #10

Then the plays would be

PHI +104  

EDM +108 

FLA +113

But as you know teams playing on back to back nights are losing at more then 60%.  See how it plays out since it's only a trial.

 
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Posted: #11
0-3. LOL. Didn't play any but good call on not playing them
 
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Posted: #12

Hard enough to pick dogs, even harder for the dog to win on B2B nights.

Todays play

TOR +115

 
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Posted: #13

TOR

4-0

With DAL's goalie out, no plays today

 
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Posted: #14
where do i find the RPI ratings?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #15
ESPN has it under hockey, Relative Power Index (RPI).
 
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Posted: #16

https://espn.go.com/nhl/stats/rpi

Updated each day around 9am est

 
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Posted: #17
 
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Posted: #18
Pheonix and St. Louis for today ? 
 
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Posted: #19

Todays plays

FLA +102

NAS +115

STl +115

OTT +106

PHX +134

This should test the RPI factor.  Both FLA and NAS have higher power ranking and have more goals for and less against.  STL have a higher power ranking but less goals scored then WAS and less against.  OTT has a higher power ranking, more goals scored and more goals against. PHX has a lower power ranking with less goals scored but less goals against.

 
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Posted: #20
nash played yesterday,,doesnt matter?
 
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Posted: #21

Good eye, skip NAS then.

Todays plays

FLA +102

STL +115

OTT +106

PHX +134

 
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Posted: #22
4-0 night, nice
 
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Posted: #23
Good call on Nas they lost. Nice RC
 
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Posted: #24

Record 8-0

Todays play

MON +102

 
 
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Posted: #25

Wednesday, 11/30/2011 (9) MONTREAL vs. (10) ANAHEIM

Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line.

ANAHEIM is 0-13 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against this season. 
The average score was ANAHEIM 1.8, OPPONENT 3.7 -  (Rating = 7*)

 

Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line.

ANAHEIM is 0-8 (-9.2 Units) against the money line against poor offensive teams - scoring <=2.55 goals/game this season. 
The average score was ANAHEIM 1.5, OPPONENT 3.5 -  (Rating = 4*)

 

Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line.

ANAHEIM is 2-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. 
The average score was ANAHEIM 2.3, OPPONENT 3.8 -  (Rating = 3*)

Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line.

ANAHEIM is 2-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. 
The average score was ANAHEIM 2.3, OPPONENT 3.8 -  (Rating = 3*)

 

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