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NHL RPI DOGS Trial

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by doubledime:

Wednesday, 11/30/2011 (9) MONTREAL vs. (10) ANAHEIM

Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line.

ANAHEIM is 0-13 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against this season. 
The average score was ANAHEIM 1.8, OPPONENT 3.7 -  (Rating = 7*)

 

Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line.

ANAHEIM is 0-8 (-9.2 Units) against the money line against poor offensive teams - scoring <=2.55 goals/game this season. 
The average score was ANAHEIM 1.5, OPPONENT 3.5 -  (Rating = 4*)

 

Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line.

ANAHEIM is 2-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. 
The average score was ANAHEIM 2.3, OPPONENT 3.8 -  (Rating = 3*)

Favoring: MONTREAL on the money line.

ANAHEIM is 2-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. 
The average score was ANAHEIM 2.3, OPPONENT 3.8 -  (Rating = 3*)

 


Could you tell us where you got this info from? Looks useful.

 
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Posted: #27
Wouldn't New Jersey be a play for Wednesday also?? I have them opened as small dogs. They have a higher RPI than Colorado. 
 
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Posted: #28
Great system so far!!! Gave me some great ideas for some other systems using RPI......
 
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Posted: #29
Someone posted earlier in the thread about backtesting this system and I was wondering if this following site is any good? You just click on 'Archive' in top menu and when you click on the games and scroll down the sheets, you can see 'average power rating'. It's the closest thing to having an idea of the RPI on that given day anyway. You can look through results all the way back to 2006.

https://foxsheets.statfoxsports.com/FoxSheets.aspx

 
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Posted: #30
Rrrgh Montreal. Gonna bet them tonight too
 
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Posted: #31

MON

Record 8-1

No plays today

 
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Posted: #32

Quote Originally Posted by WINNERZZZ:

Wouldn't New Jersey be a play for Wednesday also?? I have them opened as small dogs. They have a higher RPI than Colorado. 

When I looked they were -115, so no play

 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

When I looked they were -115, so no play


Ok. How technical are you getting with lines? Are you using opening lines or closing lines? These tight lines sometimes can get tricky. Thanks for posting!! Keep it up!! 
 
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Posted: #34
I try to get them as early as possible on pinnacle.  The closing lines just reflect on the bets made and the books trying to balance the game out.  I'm thinking they have to be +110 or more from now on to offer value for this dog strategy.  Like we learned from MON last night.
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

I try to get them as early as possible on pinnacle.  The closing lines just reflect on the bets made and the books trying to balance the game out.  I'm thinking they have to be +110 or more from now on to offer value for this dog strategy.  Like we learned from MON last night.

I think going forward the opening line should be the line we go off of. Like you said after the line starts moving it throws everything off. Also...the opening line has to be -110 or higher. I've used Betonline for my lines for a long time and they've been very consistent. They also have lines out very early like Pinny. On Wednesday we had NJ/COL which opened -105/-105 and MON/ANA opened -105/-105. There really is no way to tell who the dog is there. With these new guidelines we would have had no plays. So, in my mind this system is still 8-0! Hopefully Friday brings us a play or two......
 
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Posted: #36
Any plays...?
 
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Posted: #37
No plays today
 
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Posted: #38
any plays today?
 
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Posted: #39
I see three, Ott +150, NYR +105, NJ +110. Not sure if NYR qualify based on new +110 rule.
 
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Posted: #40
i have the same games as you  ott +145, nj +110 nyr even
 
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Posted: #41
nj played yesterday, i think its not a play
 
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Posted: #42
I show OTTAWA and NYRANGERS today. NJ on B2B so no play. I have TB opened -115. 
 
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Posted: #43

Todays plays

OTT +150

NYR +116

 
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Posted: #44
On the rangers too!
 
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Posted: #45
1-1 Saturday......Thought Ottawa was gonna do it! Didn't last 20 seconds in OT before Caps got the winner. Nice tease! 
 
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Posted: #46
I show the WILD for Sunday......
 
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Posted: #47

Record 9-2

MIN at pinnacle is +106 and at 365 +100, waiting if it hits +110

 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

Record 9-2

MIN at pinnacle is +106 and at 365 +100, waiting if it hits +110



Betonline opened ANA at -110.....legit to me. 
 
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Posted: #49

MIN

Closed at +111

 
 
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Posted: #50
Boston Today ?? 
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