Official (?) RPI 2013 system

If the Cards would have qualified based on RPI difference, it would have been a play. STL 7-3 in last 10, Cubs 6-4. STL has also won 5 in a row.

Friday 7/12 plays:

We have a couple plays for today.

NYY (43 pt dif/Home)

Pitt (45 pt dif/Home)

TB (56 pt dif/Home)

Record: 68-4

A: 46-26

B: 14-12

C: 8-4

Friday 7/12 results:

TB loses on A game, B game Sat

NYY and Pitt win on the A game.

Record: 70-4

A: 48-27

B: 14-12

C: 8-4

Yeah that was brutal. I personally went for 1/2 a unit on the RL. Line will be around -240 Sat.

Saturday 7/13 results:

TB wins on the B game. 75 series is a LOT before the break.

I hope everyone has a good little break. We'll pick this up after the break!

Record: 71-4

A: 48-27

B: 15-12

C: 8-4

There have only been 4 plays that had the 3 game spread, all in early May. We suffered a loss on the Bos/Tex series that started 5/3. Bos was a V69. We won on the A game in the other 3 series - 5/3 on KC at home vs ChiSox, 5/6 on AZ at LAD and 5/9 on AZ at home vs Philly.

For Friday after the all-star break we will have 2 plays.

Atlanta (42 diff @ ChiSox)

STL (47 diff, home vs SD)

Remember we have new filters of  42 Away and 35 Home.

Quote Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

I'm thinking about ditching ATL and doubling up on STL. After a loss they are 77.8% likely to win and they are 62.8% likely to win at home every time. I would chase them 4 easily.

Atlanta barely qualifies as it is. I'm going to wait to see if their entire OF is still injured or not. The Sox qualify as one of the temas I'm betting against post ASB so I'll be playing that regardless, but maybe less than my normal amount. We'll see.

I've done the same thing. If you bet each series to win 1 unit and bet less than 1 unit when a team was an underdog (x to win 1 unit) the losses would be 40.41 units, so overall you'd be up 30.59 units based on 71 wins.

There will be some variances based on what lines you get compared to mine, rounding or if you bet 1 unit to win more than 1 on the underdogs. The Boston series was all underdogs so instead of losing 7 on that, I lost a little under 5.

I'm very happy that we are still at a decent gain even with 4 losses. I'm not liking that 16% have gone to a C game.

Today's plays are Atlanta and STL.

Record: 71-4

A: 48-27

B: 15-12

C: 8-4

Wow, that is some fine work my man. Thanks for posting this. I will check out the spreadsheet tomorrow when all the rum from the Red Rock is out of my system.

Ok, 2 A game winner tonight.

ATL and STL both win on the A game. We'll pick this up Monday.

Record: 73-4

A: 50-27

B: 15-12

C: 8-4