OOOUUU Chase System for the NFL Thread

There is a thread already made for college football based on this same system. Thank you to neilsy25 who started that thread and has had great success.

I plan on starting the NFL version of this chase in Week 4 of the season which begins Sunday Oct 3, 2010.

I went back and checked the numbers for every NFL team over the last 4 years beginning in week 4 and over all of that time there were only 3 teams that did not satisfy the chase:

Phi Eagles in 07-08 UUUOOO,U

Was Redskins in 09-10 UUUOOO,U

Ari Cardinals in 09-10 UUUOOO,U

Those were the only times in 4 years where the chase would not have worked. In 2009-2010 you had two teams that did not satisfy but as you can see once those teams played that 6 game pattern, all 3 played the next game Under the total.

The chase only went to the 6th game once, and to the 5th game twice.

Only the NFC East and NFC West had losers in this system. All teams in other Conferences satsified the system.

Any comments about how to make this profitable would be great. Also how you would raise your bets each week or how to avoid losing everything I've made if one team doesnt meet the system.

Questions are welcome and I am excited to start this project. I hope you will jump on board with me and see if we can make this thing really sharp.

I'm confused

based on the stats for the past years, this system wouldve been a loser.

and also, what signifigance does the 7th game have? betting that game after OOOUUU occurs doesnt seem to be part of the chase to begin with, yet you pointed out that the 7th game went under for 2 of the losers.

why would all teams be a play sunday? what about teams that didnt go OOO the first three games? how would they be a play

BW is starting the system this sunday. He is not looking at the teams previous 3 games totals

alright "bettor" let's do this.

Here is how it will work. For each game you will basically have two bets, one for each team. EX. Den-Ten o43. I will lay 11 to win 10 on Den and 11 to 10 on Ten to go over the game total of 43. If that game goes over then those 2 teams are done with the chase and I get returned $20, if I lose I am down $22 and I chase both of those teams next week.

Luckydan makes a good point about having bye weeks causing some problems but we will deal with that if/when we have to.

Along with BYE weeks PUSHES will be treated like that game never happened. If a PUSH happens in the first week then those two teams begin Week 1 with their next game.

If you want to follow then please do but lets just stay positive in the thread. I dont need any bashing or trash talk or saying how stupid I am. If you dont have anything good to say just write it in your journal so you feel better.

Here goes nothing.

Byes- DAL,KC,MIN,TB

Den-Ten o43  22/20

Bal-Pit o34.5  22/20

Cle-Cin o37.5  22/20

Det-GB o45.5  22/20

Car-NO o44.5  22/20

SF-Atl o42.5  22/20

NYJ-Buf o36.5  22/20

IND-Jac o46  22/20

Hou-Oak o43.5  22/20

Ari-SD o45.5  22/20

Was-Phi o42.5  22/20

Chi-NYG o44  22/20

NE-Mia o46.5  22/20

Wish me luck or wish me nothing at all! Hope I can put some cash in my pocket!

Missed one:

Sea-Stl o40  22/20

Recap so far with the Monday night game pending:

Den-Ten o43  22/20   (W)  +20

Bal-Pit o34.5  22/20  (L)  -22

Cle-Cin o37.5  22/20  (W)  +20

Det-GB o45.5  22/20  (W)  +20

Car-NO o44.5  22/20  (L)  -22

SF-Atl o42.5  22/20   (L)  -22

NYJ-Buf o36.5  22/20  (W)  +20

IND-Jac o46  22/20  (W)  +20

Hou-Oak o43.5  22/20  (W)  +20

Ari-SD o45.5  22/20  (W)  +20

Was-Phi o42.5  22/20  (L)  -22

Chi-NYG o44  22/20  (L)  -22

Sea-Stl o40  22/20  (L)  -22

NE-Mia o46.5  22/20  (pending)

(7-6) +$8

Teams that are done with the chase: DEN, TEN, CLE, CIN, DET, GB, NYJ, BUF, IND, JAC, HOU, OAK, ARI, SD

Teams that begin week 1 chase next week: DAL, MIN, KC, TB

Teams that begin week 2 chase next week: BAL, PIT, CAR, NO, SF, ATL, SEA, STL, WAS, PHI, CHI, NYG

This is how we will go into next week and of course the Monday game tonight with NE- MIA. When that game is over I will post where they will go.

Started just about the way I thought. Now next week we get to up the units and try to make some cash. Hope everyone did well with their bets this weekend.

NE-Mia o46.5  22/20  (W)  +20

Week 1 record (8-6) +28

Here is how we stand:

Teams that are done with the chase: DEN, TEN, CLE, CIN, DET, GB, NYJ, BUF, IND, JAC, HOU, OAK, ARI, SD, NE, MIA

Teams that begin week 1 chase this week: DAL, MIN, KC, TB

Teams that begin week 2 chase this week: BAL, PIT, CAR, NO, SF, ATL, SEA, STL, WAS, PHI, CHI, NYG

Lets get to work:

Teams with byes that will continue Week 2 chase next week: PIT, SEA

Week 1 Chase:

DAL-Ten  o42  11/10

MIN-Nyj  o37.5  11/10

KC-Ind  o44  11/10

TB-Cin  o38  11/10

Week 2 Chase:

BAL-Den  o38.5  28/25

CAR-CHI  o36  55/50

NO-Ari  o45.5  28/25

SF-PHI o38  55/50

ATL-Cle  o41  28/25

STL-Det  o42.5  28/25

WAS-Gb  o44  28/25

NYG-Hou  o47.5  28/25

BOL this week and next weekend with your bets!

Week 1 Record (8-6) +$28    NFL WEEK 4

Week 2 Record (6-5) -$5      NFL WEEK 5

Week 1 Chase:

DAL-Ten  o42  11/10  (W)  +$10

MIN-Nyj  o37.5  11/10 (pending)

KC-Ind  o44  11/10  (L)  -$11

TB-Cin  o38  11/10  (W)  +$10

Week 2 Chase:

BAL-Den  o38.5  28/25  (W)  +$25

CAR-CHI  o36  55/50  (L)  -$55

NO-Ari  o45.5  28/25  (W)  +$25

SF-PHI o38  55/50  (W)  +$50

ATL-Cle  o41  28/25  (L)  -$28

STL-Det  o42.5  28/25  (W)  +$25

WAS-Gb  o44  28/25  (L)  -$28

NYG-Hou  o47.5  28/25  (L)  -$28

Teams that are done with the chase: DEN, TEN, CLE, CIN, DET, GB, NYJ, BUF, IND, JAC, HOU, OAK, ARI, SD, NE, MIA, DAL, TB, BAL, NO, SF, PHI, STL

Teams that begin week 2 chase this week: KC, PIT, SEA

Teams that begin week 3 chase this week: CAR, CHI, ATL, WAS, NYG

We have a play tonight with MIN so after that game I will update the figures and will put up next weeks chase numbers. This is where we begin to sweat it out and have lots of units in play. Not near as much as if we make it to week 6! But we can do it!