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O/U System

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Prospect
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Joined: Apr, 2011
Posts: 425
Posted: #101
Good luck Dan and thanks for all you do! 
 
MVP
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Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 16266
Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

I am doing this O/U system and it's 16-0 since the start of May. Was thinking of posting these plays starting Monday. There are 2 C games today.

Traveling today but I will comment further later tonight.





can you mention the c games?


thanks.. might want to sprinkle on them today for action
 
Captain
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Joined: May, 2012
Posts: 5921
Posted: #103

I need to clarify. What I'm tracking is the split O/U % of teams home and away as described earlier. I don't even look at overall O/U for a team, just what they do while on the road and at home.

Those C games ended up being a win (Pitt/Mil) and a push Tex/Sea), so the system suffered it's first loss, but it was only a 2 game loss.

Starting Monday all teams play a 2 game series, then Wed another two game series against the same opponent, but change of home team. There won't be any that qualify for the system, so I'll take a look for any possible plays for Friday.

Please note: If anyone is going to follow these plays and lay down some hard earned cash, please tread lightly. This hasn't been tested by me other than last year and I'd hate to be the cause of anyone losing any money.

I will start a new thread for this for Friday plays and explain the system parameters.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2013
Posts: 1447
Posted: #104
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

I am doing this O/U system and it's 16-0 since the start of May. Was thinking of posting these plays starting Monday. There are 2 C games today.

Traveling today but I will comment further later tonight.


And another thread!!  I was looking at this earlier this season, but forgot about it.  Are you using CannedGoods percentages?  While you're on TeamRanking.com, I've been using the home/away power ranking.  Starting a 3g chase on the A game, any difference +1 or higher between the 2 numbers I play (the better team, of course).  Even better, you can back test this.  Since the end of April, it's 85-5, +53units
 
 
Captain
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Joined: May, 2012
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:


And another thread!!  I was looking at this earlier this season, but forgot about it.  Are you using CannedGoods percentages?  While you're on TeamRanking.com, I've been using the home/away power ranking.  Starting a 3g chase on the A game, any difference +1 or higher between the 2 numbers I play (the better team, of course).  Even better, you can back test this.  Since the end of April, it's 85-5, +53units

I'm using 54% right now, but would consider 53% if the opponent has strong numbers to match. I also need to have at least a 3 game spread difference. For example, Boston on the road is at 54.5% Over but their record is 12-10, this would not qualify since the difference is only 2 games.

 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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