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Power Rating System ($1000 to $100,000 in 36 months)

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Posted: #1376

yes: i agree with you.... i play 1% on each play now and adjust daily.... i believe this to be the best long term method...

i just have a separate bankroll for this Project that im treating a little differently...

 

Falcon

 
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Posted: #1377
Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

Take a step back and compare your rant, ncsutodd, compared to HECTAR's obviously stupid comparison between bankroll and wins/losses.

To me, you're the one that looks much more like a "fucking bonehead" than HECTAR.  Rants like that mean you need anger management and almost certainly shouldn't be gambling


Some more stellar logic... because it disgusts me that I co-exist in a world of morons..I certainly shouldn't be gambling...that really goes hand in hand.  You're surely a bright one 
 
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Posted: #1378

Bump

Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

X: dont worry about it, continued success..

update for tuesday dec 7

 

Beginning balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

Current balance on dec 7 2010: $1846

 

Computer Program Plays: 202-222 (+$846)

 

plays for tuesday dec 7

 

425. buffalo (+1.30) $45 to win $59

426. TB (+1.10) $45 to win $50

427. anaheim (+1.05) $45 to win $47

428. Charolette (+1.10) $45 to win $50

429. Phoenix Suns (+1.30) $45 to win $59

 

there is a chance there could be 1 more play... if the colorado avalanche move to an underdog, they would be a play... if i catch them and make them part of the project, they will be posted before the game starts... if i do not post them, they will not count in any project record... currently all i see is (-1.04) or (-1.05)...

 

Falcon

 
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Posted: #1379
Quote Originally Posted by ncsutodd1193:



Some more stellar logic... because it disgusts me that I co-exist in a world of morons..I certainly shouldn't be gambling...that really goes hand in hand.  You're surely a bright one 

Hey fuchface, if you knew english, I said to reduce his wagers, so even if the losing streak continued he would lose LESS, oh and have $500 cashed out instead of trying to make back that money again!!!  What a dumbass, must be nole's brother...

 
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Posted: #1380

I dont quite agree with the suggestion by a few people of betting 1-2% daily of your BR.  cause its just prolonging the inevitable.  If the system is not a winning system then the end result will be the same, just longer by prolonging it.  what would happen is you bet bigger after winning days and lose bigger right away if you lose.  But if its a winning system, your winnings will recover back the losses.  but if your lowering your bet cause BR went down night before, you have to win a higher % to get the money back.  and your just gonna be breaking even when you should be up.

 
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Posted: #1381
wth?! how did i miss the ana bet? shit! i've missed every winning play in the last week, including the wins over the weekend. and i just so happened to join you guys during the losing streak. maybe im bad luck for this system.

i'm definitely not blaming the op. the results speak for themselves. just letting off a little steam. holy shit 12 losses in a row!  this is totally nullifying the wins from my nba system. here's hoping for a winning streak cuz im sticking with this system until at least the end of the season.

sorry if this counts as clutter. let me know and i'll just stick to questions and input on the system itself.
 
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Posted: #1382
BOL Thinker 
 
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Posted: #1383
Found you via XLR8.  Funny to see aggressivity vis a vis wager size.  Like there's a debate on how it should be done correctly.  There is, I suppose.  People who stay in the long run follow a 2% or therein rule.  People who don't crash and burn. I found this anecdote to use as an example. 

"This guy I knew started on the first week of September by putting $100 on ten different NFL games. He ended up going 9-1, and turned his $1k into $1800. (we are ignoring juice for the sake of simple calculations) Week Two he bet $200 on nine different NFL games and totals. He got hot again, went 7-2, and his $1k had now grown to $2800 in just two weeks. In week three, he came in with 7 more 'locks' and put $400 on each game, only to go 1-6, losing three of the games in the last minute. Frustrated with his bad luck, he put all of his remaining $800 on the Monday Night Under, which busted when the Broncos scored a meaningless touchdown in the final minute. Three weeks after he started, he was broke. 17-10 record, 63%.  No money left.

It's worth reading through the Kelly Criterion to understand the importance of determining your bet size and staying with it.  2% is an easy and maintainable number.

That being said, it's a free country.  Bet your gramma's dentures if you want.  Just don't cry afterwards.
 
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Posted: #1384
Quote Originally Posted by bobbie18:

I dont quite agree with the suggestion by a few people of betting 1-2% daily of your BR.  cause its just prolonging the inevitable.  If the system is not a winning system then the end result will be the same, just longer by prolonging it.  what would happen is you bet bigger after winning days and lose bigger right away if you lose.  But if its a winning system, your winnings will recover back the losses.  but if your lowering your bet cause BR went down night before, you have to win a higher % to get the money back.  and your just gonna be breaking even when you should be up.


          Your comments have some truth in them.  But Kelly Criterion and similar mon. mgmt. systems are focused on the long run, making sure you weather those inevitable long losing streaks, smoothing out the bumpy gambling road.  You will win a smaller amount sometimes, but you will stay in the game.  And for me, staying in the game is all-important.
 
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Posted: #1385
Soon you'll be at $1000 and you can start all over and new peeps can join in.  Also enough about the MLB 75-75 record, since you didn't cover the whole season, for all we know it could of went     75-500 for the year.
 
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Posted: #1386

Quote Originally Posted by outsidelookingn:

Soon you'll be at $1000 and you can start all over and new peeps can join in.  Also enough about the MLB 75-75 record, since you didn't cover the whole season, for all we know it could of went     75-500 for the year.

Quality first post. Thanks for coming out.

 
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Posted: #1387

update for wednesday dec 8

Beginning balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

Current balance on dec 8 2010: $1808

 

Computer Program Plays: 204-225 (+$808)

 

MLB: 75-75 (+$437)

NHL: 80-89 (+$61)

NBA: 34-37 (+$424)

FB: 15-24 (-$114)

 

plays for wednesday dec 8

 

430. SJ (+1.25) $45 to win $56

431. Denver (+2.15) $45 to win $97

432. Toronto Raptors (+2.50) $45 to win $113

433. Wash Wizards (+1.65) $45 to win $74

 

Outsidelookingin: i got news for you... if i drop to $1000 i wont be posting the daily upate and plays, in fact the first time i miss a monthly goal, i am probably finished posting this...

today is the 95th consecutive day this thread has ran, i dont know how we are going to get to 1000... im very sick of it, right now...

ill be back tomorrow..

 

Falcon

 
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Posted: #1388
Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

Outsidelookingin: i got news for you... if i drop to $1000 i wont be posting the daily upate and plays, in fact the first time i miss a monthly goal, i am probably finished posting this...

today is the 95th consecutive day this thread has ran, i dont know how we are going to get to 1000... im very sick of it, right now...

ill be back tomorrow..

 

Falcon

Come on Thinker, you have to ride this thing out until you lose your initial $1000....we'll get it back...stick to the system...remember its a grind so grind it out!

 
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Posted: #1389

Thanx for the plays 2dayThinker I've been following your plays daily, keepem coming

 
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Posted: #1390
Hey thinker, I was just wondering if you got my email bro?
 
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Posted: #1391
I promised to post some MMA picks here a couple cards ago. I've been up like five cards running. Anyways, I'm all over TJ Grant as an underdog this weekend. I'm also on-board McCorkle as a dog, too. Grant is +145 and McCorkle is +125. Worst case scenario, one loses. I like both to win, and I'm hella smart. Good luck guys. <3 you Thinker.
 
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Posted: #1392
Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

0. SJ (+1.25) $45 to win $56

431. Denver (+2.15) $45 to win $97

 

Outsidelookingin: i got news for you... if i drop to $1000 i wont be posting the daily upate and plays, in fact the first time i miss a monthly goal, i am probably finished posting this...

today is the 95th consecutive day this thread has ran, i dont know how we are going to get to 1000... im very sick of it, right now...

ill be back tomorrow..

 

Falcon

 

Falcon    can't say that I blame you  getting sick of the haters  

there is always going to be haters looking to put you down and waste thier time

 Stay the course, you have a whole lot of lovers that understand its a grind,   

  Vegas wouldn't be Vegas if the favs always won

here is to slow and steady     

 
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Posted: #1393
wow just got denver at +2.90 amazing value  dont even need 50% hits with this stuff
 
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Posted: #1394
i dont usually play any of these systems but i do read about them and do look into them and for all of you people who thought this character the thinker or the falcon or ss or watever name he currently uses was going to stay and post this nonsense are only kidding themselves . I know its his perrogative to do what he likes but this pattern of giving up and starting over with another far fetched system is nothing new for him .He is actually following his known protocol lol . To each his own tho   gl thinker   
 
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Posted: #1395

December has been tough so far. Here are the stats that I have as of December 7th:

NHL: 6-12

NBA: 5-9

Staying for the ride though. I wish I would have joined at the beginning instead of beginning December 1st. With the good money management techniques that I have learned, I'm down less than $200. Not bad considering our records for the month.

 
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Posted: #1396
Thinker,

 I do not follow along because my NHL lines suck and I understand a system is a system so I do not play. I do check the site and wish all success.
 You will always have doubters along the way to success. For your sake just ignore and do not respond to them. If they were that successful then they would not be looking at your SUCCESS.

 
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Posted: #1397
Thinker,

 I do not follow along because my NHL lines suck and I understand a system is a system so I do not play. I do check the site and wish all success.
 You will always have doubters along the way to success. For your sake just ignore and do not respond to them. If they were that successful then they would not be looking at your SUCCESS.

 
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Posted: #1398

Away dogs which most of your NBA plays are, are hitting at 32% ouch!!!

Away dogs ATS are hitting at 56%

 
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Posted: #1399
So im going to stop today, will take my profits and find some other ways to build on it....Thinker i really don't blame you for feeling this way, This forum is full of haters with their negativity...if you are up they bash if you are down they do the same...

if you decide to take a break then i will start playing again if you decide come backs,but for now im off the train.....

Appreciate your work.Thanks...
 
 
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Posted: #1400
Quote Originally Posted by paul_scholes:

I promised to post some MMA picks here a couple cards ago. I've been up like five cards running. Anyways, I'm all over TJ Grant as an underdog this weekend. I'm also on-board McCorkle as a dog, too. Grant is +145 and McCorkle is +125. Worst case scenario, one loses. I like both to win, and I'm hella smart. Good luck guys. <3 you Thinker.


Thanks Homie!!!
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