Stupid, stupid Yankees. Can't seem to hold a lead...AJ completely implodes in that inning. Gives up two of three singles on very, very good pitches and then just starts wild pitching the hell out of it. And suddenly the Yanks' hitters have gone quiet vs. a good, but not great pitcher. Not banking on the second RL comeback night in a row...
SF RL -1.5 for .88 units
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Stupid, stupid Yankees. Can't seem to hold a lead...AJ completely implodes in that inning. Gives up two of three singles on very, very good pitches and then just starts wild pitching the hell out of it. And suddenly the Yanks' hitters have gone quiet vs. a good, but not great pitcher. Not banking on the second RL comeback night in a row...
BOS RL -1.5 for 3.71u STL RL -1.5 for 2.64u ATL RL -1.5 for 2.64u
Will probably also touch on Colorado later...it's a later start so I might wait for the 7s to start before doing something. NYY loss obviously. Let's hope SF can win a bit of that back.
Also have 1.52u on another book for a reverse parlay basically. Didn't use the RL +1.5s...instead opted for MLs. Split the money between a round robin for those three (3 bets...2 teams each) plus a three team parlay, too. Potential win is like a monstrous 23 units if all three of the dogs win the game. Would be bad for the system, though.
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Locked and loaded:
BOS RL -1.5 for 3.71u STL RL -1.5 for 2.64u ATL RL -1.5 for 2.64u
Will probably also touch on Colorado later...it's a later start so I might wait for the 7s to start before doing something. NYY loss obviously. Let's hope SF can win a bit of that back.
Also have 1.52u on another book for a reverse parlay basically. Didn't use the RL +1.5s...instead opted for MLs. Split the money between a round robin for those three (3 bets...2 teams each) plus a three team parlay, too. Potential win is like a monstrous 23 units if all three of the dogs win the game. Would be bad for the system, though.
THis is just fucking laughable at this point. That's going to be TWO one run wins today when I'm on the 1.5. Well, that's why I like to be on the -1, but with the juice that would be laid now, it'd be ridiculous. LAD has had TWO guys reach base against Lincecum and SF has had 11 on base. 2-1 game. This is just too much.
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THis is just fucking laughable at this point. That's going to be TWO one run wins today when I'm on the 1.5. Well, that's why I like to be on the -1, but with the juice that would be laid now, it'd be ridiculous. LAD has had TWO guys reach base against Lincecum and SF has had 11 on base. 2-1 game. This is just too much.
RL -1.5 obviously. Freaking Yankees benching Teixeira today, who loves hitting lefties this year. Oh well...Romero's peripherals don't support his ERA, so let's hope for a bombing today.
Sorry andy, I was on the Jays +1.5 today
As a Canadian Jays fan who gets to see all the games, I have to say that Ricky Romero has been very solid. He was great to start the season then he got hurt. He was shaky the 1st few starts after the injury which inflated his numbers, but then settled back in the grove and has been great. He's basically in the Top 10 in every single category for Rookie Pitchers this season, which is impressive considering how many rookies have been on the mound this year. His #2 ranking in K's has really been a great weapon for him. He's given me quite a few wins this season and I will definitely be taking him some more down the stretch!
That blast by Cano in the 11th tho looked like it was gone, my heart skipped a beat, LoL
Good Luck tonight on the Cards and others. You're right, the juice on the -1 would be too ridiculous. The juice on the -1.5 is bordering insane on some on these games tonight..
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Quote Originally Posted by andy88c:
RL -1.5 obviously. Freaking Yankees benching Teixeira today, who loves hitting lefties this year. Oh well...Romero's peripherals don't support his ERA, so let's hope for a bombing today.
Sorry andy, I was on the Jays +1.5 today
As a Canadian Jays fan who gets to see all the games, I have to say that Ricky Romero has been very solid. He was great to start the season then he got hurt. He was shaky the 1st few starts after the injury which inflated his numbers, but then settled back in the grove and has been great. He's basically in the Top 10 in every single category for Rookie Pitchers this season, which is impressive considering how many rookies have been on the mound this year. His #2 ranking in K's has really been a great weapon for him. He's given me quite a few wins this season and I will definitely be taking him some more down the stretch!
That blast by Cano in the 11th tho looked like it was gone, my heart skipped a beat, LoL
Good Luck tonight on the Cards and others. You're right, the juice on the -1 would be too ridiculous. The juice on the -1.5 is bordering insane on some on these games tonight..
Romero is one I'm not too sure about. Minor league stats weren't that great...drafted high but most thought it was a signability pick rather than ability.
His peripherals are very good, though.
I've seen him a few times, not as much as you. He has a dominating changeup...fastball is good enough...locates pretty well. He actaully has a reverse split...meaning lefties hit better against him, because he seems to leave a lot of stuff inside, which lefties feast on. Hence...Cano HR...Damon HR. Yanks had the lefty bats in there to do damage but couldn't get enough.
I figured the Yanks had Burnett, who's pitching quite well, on the hill and he'd hold and they would scratch enough runs for that one...oh well. That one inning was brutal. Burnett made great pitches, but the Jays made great hits. Encarnacion turned on a fastball that was located quite well inside. Chavez's RBI single was on a great pitch outside that he poked into right...good job of going with the ball. And the wild pitches...well...Posada isn't the best defensive catcher and I honestly think he should've come up with at least one of them. Mauer for new Yanks catcher please lol.
BOL to you buddy.
Need a 2 run shot from SF obviously.
Put a bit on FLA RL -1 (yes -1) to continue their hot streak...ace is on the hill for them.
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What're you gonna do ya know?
Romero is one I'm not too sure about. Minor league stats weren't that great...drafted high but most thought it was a signability pick rather than ability.
His peripherals are very good, though.
I've seen him a few times, not as much as you. He has a dominating changeup...fastball is good enough...locates pretty well. He actaully has a reverse split...meaning lefties hit better against him, because he seems to leave a lot of stuff inside, which lefties feast on. Hence...Cano HR...Damon HR. Yanks had the lefty bats in there to do damage but couldn't get enough.
I figured the Yanks had Burnett, who's pitching quite well, on the hill and he'd hold and they would scratch enough runs for that one...oh well. That one inning was brutal. Burnett made great pitches, but the Jays made great hits. Encarnacion turned on a fastball that was located quite well inside. Chavez's RBI single was on a great pitch outside that he poked into right...good job of going with the ball. And the wild pitches...well...Posada isn't the best defensive catcher and I honestly think he should've come up with at least one of them. Mauer for new Yanks catcher please lol.
BOL to you buddy.
Need a 2 run shot from SF obviously.
Put a bit on FLA RL -1 (yes -1) to continue their hot streak...ace is on the hill for them.
My accounting seems to be way off. I don't know what the hell I did but it seems like I made everything up AND gained two units while I was at it yesterday. Odd. Need to run out now but will check on this later.
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My accounting seems to be way off. I don't know what the hell I did but it seems like I made everything up AND gained two units while I was at it yesterday. Odd. Need to run out now but will check on this later.
Accounting gaffe. I added a unit each day when I played split, even if some games won. So taht basically resulted in me winning three units from that huge chase. Good I guess. Still haven't cleared the TOR/DET mishap from 8/7 to 8/8, but only half a unit left to chase with that one.
Here is the updated spreadsheet i have now uploaded. Base unit is now $21. I play around $150-$200 of spot plays a day, too, which are not part of the spreadsheet. RL -1 Chase System Spreadsheet
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Okay, kids. Played COL for a unit today. Win.
Accounting gaffe. I added a unit each day when I played split, even if some games won. So taht basically resulted in me winning three units from that huge chase. Good I guess. Still haven't cleared the TOR/DET mishap from 8/7 to 8/8, but only half a unit left to chase with that one.
Here is the updated spreadsheet i have now uploaded. Base unit is now $21. I play around $150-$200 of spot plays a day, too, which are not part of the spreadsheet. RL -1 Chase System Spreadsheet
Starting the day off with finishing that TOR/DET mishap with a chase for 1.44 units...(.44 units lost plus one more to win)
Rolling with the Cubbies today. Aramis should be back. Morton has good
stuff but he's very inconsistent. Randy Wells has been $. Pirates
aren't the same away from home and are just leaving that thin air. I
would like to do a study on how teams do leaving Coors. Can't be good
for their bodies.
08/14:
CHC RL -1.5 @ -106 vs. PIT to win 1.44 units
System YTD: 41-0
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Starting the day off with finishing that TOR/DET mishap with a chase for 1.44 units...(.44 units lost plus one more to win)
Rolling with the Cubbies today. Aramis should be back. Morton has good
stuff but he's very inconsistent. Randy Wells has been $. Pirates
aren't the same away from home and are just leaving that thin air. I
would like to do a study on how teams do leaving Coors. Can't be good
for their bodies.
08/14:
CHC RL -1.5 @ -106 vs. PIT to win 1.44 units
System YTD: 41-0
Ugh. Played the Marlins last night too at RL -1. Well, JJ had a no-no deep and then up 6-1 going into the 9th, they give up a four spot...including a homer to Iannetta, that killed my RL and gave me a push. Well, at least I laid the juice for protection and it worked tonight. One positive was that it was 6-2 when the 3 run shot was hit and I had the Over 8 as a spot play, which thus won.
So it's another Game A today. Looking at either STL or DET.
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Ugh. Played the Marlins last night too at RL -1. Well, JJ had a no-no deep and then up 6-1 going into the 9th, they give up a four spot...including a homer to Iannetta, that killed my RL and gave me a push. Well, at least I laid the juice for protection and it worked tonight. One positive was that it was 6-2 when the 3 run shot was hit and I had the Over 8 as a spot play, which thus won.
So it's another Game A today. Looking at either STL or DET.
Actually ended up playing both STL and DET. Think I would've learned my lesson by now about concurrent plays. Worked today...clearing two Series at once. Like Tampa and NYY tomorrow.
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Actually ended up playing both STL and DET. Think I would've learned my lesson by now about concurrent plays. Worked today...clearing two Series at once. Like Tampa and NYY tomorrow.
Chasing three units added with all of these. Potentially terrible idea, but I love these plays. Price is money at home. Yanks should bounce back. Boggs is terrible.
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NYY RL -1.5 TB RL -1.5 LAD RL -1
Chasing three units added with all of these. Potentially terrible idea, but I love these plays. Price is money at home. Yanks should bounce back. Boggs is terrible.
Just to give a recap, played SF yesterday and then STL for partial chase. So was down around 2 units going into today. Today has been a full-on DISASTER. Bascially chased a unit each with ATL -1.5, CWS -1.5, and HOU -1.5. I played for more than the chase so I could go 2-1 and still make a profit. Also played COL -1 smaller.
Looks like 0-4. Will be close to a 9 unit chase on tomorrow.
Really shocked. Chasing is getting really old for me. I've said this in past posts but sitting on pins for these large plays really isn't my thing.
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Just to give a recap, played SF yesterday and then STL for partial chase. So was down around 2 units going into today. Today has been a full-on DISASTER. Bascially chased a unit each with ATL -1.5, CWS -1.5, and HOU -1.5. I played for more than the chase so I could go 2-1 and still make a profit. Also played COL -1 smaller.
Looks like 0-4. Will be close to a 9 unit chase on tomorrow.
Really shocked. Chasing is getting really old for me. I've said this in past posts but sitting on pins for these large plays really isn't my thing.
Laid some serious heat on ATL RL -1, CWS RL -1.5, COL RL -1.5, and PHI RL -1.5. Chasing about 3 units a pop with CWS slightly smaller and PHI slightly larger. Let's hope the rest of the day goes better.
STL possible play tonight.
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Laid some serious heat on ATL RL -1, CWS RL -1.5, COL RL -1.5, and PHI RL -1.5. Chasing about 3 units a pop with CWS slightly smaller and PHI slightly larger. Let's hope the rest of the day goes better.
Basically made it all back. Need a .34 units more to win a full unit. Very clutch night last night helped out a lot. Lots of the favorites won. Prescient play with ATL -1 as they ended up winning 4-3 for the push.
Split play between CWS -1.5 and SEA -1 today. Chasing the next unit along with .34...so 1.34 total.
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Basically made it all back. Need a .34 units more to win a full unit. Very clutch night last night helped out a lot. Lots of the favorites won. Prescient play with ATL -1 as they ended up winning 4-3 for the push.
Split play between CWS -1.5 and SEA -1 today. Chasing the next unit along with .34...so 1.34 total.
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