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Some of the best long term NFL systems are active today

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Legend
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Posted: #26
 
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Posted: #27
 Great Work...
 
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Posted: #28
Xcelent
 
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Posted: #29
You may be on to something, will tail
 
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Posted: #30
Thanks guys.

Here is a classic for next week. Winless NFL teams are 108-68 ATS after week 5. There are 3 teams in this situation but I will take Jaguars and Giants out of equation. Why ? Because this system is 1-7 SU/ATS against unbeaten teams (Jaguars @ Denver) and 1-7 SU 3-5 ATS if winless teams are playing on short rest (NY Giants @ Chicago). Not saying that Jaguars and Giants will not cover, I am just saying that I do not want to risk my money on them. The team I am backing this week is Tampa Bay. They are winless and they are also off of their bye week. Winless teams after week 5 with more than 7 days of rest are 25-5 ATS. My play is Tampa Bay +1.

More later this week. Good luck.
 
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Posted: #31
where do you take all those stats  bud

good work 
 
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Posted: #32
Nice work this past weekend!!!
 
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Posted: #33
Would the Steelers fit the equation? They're winless and coming off of a bye against a Jets team on short rest.
 
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Posted: #34
Good work. I think Tampa is a good play as well. What about Pittsburg?
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by thegamblino:

Thanks guys.

Here is a classic for next week. Winless NFL teams are 108-68 ATS after week 5. There are 3 teams in this situation but I will take Jaguars and Giants out of equation. Why ? Because this system is 1-7 SU/ATS against unbeaten teams (Jaguars @ Denver) and 1-7 SU 3-5 ATS if winless teams are playing on short rest (NY Giants @ Chicago). Not saying that Jaguars and Giants will not cover, I am just saying that I do not want to risk my money on them. The team I am backing this week is Tampa Bay. They are winless and they are also off of their bye week. Winless teams after week 5 with more than 7 days of rest are 25-5 ATS. My play is Tampa Bay +1.

More later this week. Good luck.

Hey Gamblino, 

Great work thus far. I am a situational bettor as well and actually have a binder full of situations/systems that I would like to potentially share and/or backtrack with your help if possible. 
 
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Posted: #36

Quote Originally Posted by kolespdp:

Would the Steelers fit the equation? They're winless and coming off of a bye against a Jets team on short rest.

 

 
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Posted: #37

Quote Originally Posted by thegamblino:

Thanks guys.

Here is a classic for next week. Winless NFL teams are 108-68 ATS after week 5. There are 3 teams in this situation but I will take Jaguars and Giants out of equation. Why ? Because this system is 1-7 SU/ATS against unbeaten teams (Jaguars @ Denver) and 1-7 SU 3-5 ATS if winless teams are playing on short rest (NY Giants @ Chicago). Not saying that Jaguars and Giants will not cover, I am just saying that I do not want to risk my money on them. The team I am backing this week is Tampa Bay. They are winless and they are also off of their bye week. Winless teams after week 5 with more than 7 days of rest are 25-5 ATS. My play is Tampa Bay +1.

More later this week. Good luck.

Gamblino, it does not worry you that TB is starting a rookie qb in his second ever start?

 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by lazylover:

Good work. I think Tampa is a good play as well. What about Pittsburg?

Tampa and Pittsbugh both coming off a bye too.

With Tampa, the extra week to prepare will help their offense under Glennon.  Eagles are on back to back roadies, and Vick is likely out too.  I think it's a good spot for the Bucs to get a win.  They've really only had one "bad" game this year losing by 20 vs the Pats.  All of their three other losses were by 3 or less.  

Pittsburgh could probably benefit from the bye too, as they have looked way out of sync this year.  It's possible they are getting the Jets on a good week considering they played on Monday on the road and got a pretty big win.  Maybe a let down spot.  

Of the two, I think Tampa is a better play though.  I think they'll be on my card for sure.
 
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Posted: #39
Good stuff. Will keeo n eye on this thread.
 
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Posted: #40
I like Eagles and Indy but Raiders no way they cover 4.5 I  see Kc eats them up. 
DM
 
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Posted: #41

Quote Originally Posted by sailorman1965:

I like Eagles and Indy but Raiders no way they cover 4.5 I  see Kc eats them up. 
   

 He liked those teams last week and look what happened ya silly sailor

 
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Posted: #42
Wish I would've seen this last week! Nice job
 
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Posted: #43

btw keep up the good work THEGAMBLINO

And SailorMAN I wasn't trying to be rude, sorry if it came off that way. But he took those 4 teams and won LAST week. Therefore Im waiting to see his future picks...GLTA

 
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Posted: #44
GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOD garbage
 
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Posted: #45
Right now Pittsburgh is out of equation even though they fit the system. Tampa is my only play so far.
 
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Posted: #46
" ...underdogs after losing by more than 30 as underdogs are great ATS bets: (103-57 ATS)"

Texans lost by 31 last week as underdogs. 
 
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Posted: #47
my bad, Texans are fav not underdog. it's late..
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by thegamblino:

Right now Pittsburgh is out of equation even though they fit the system. Tampa is my only play so far.


Could you explain why Pitt is out of the equation? 
 
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Posted: #49
Here is my play #2:

Road teams that won last game and covered the line by 5 or more points while out rushed and out passed by opponent are 65-100 ATS. This system is 2-18 ATS since 2010. This season alone we had two upset losses in this situation, as Buffalo beat Baltimore and Cleveland beat Cincinnati. So, can New England "upset" New Orleans ? I think they can, as they own the best home ATS record against teams with more wins in the NFL in last 15 years (21-9 ATS). Play: New England moneyline.

P.S. Baltimore fits one of the systems from last week (Arizona won last week) but I will stay away because they are the only team in the NFL that was never in that situation before. Hard to believe but easy to explain. Baltimore is almost never a home dog. So, no play.
 
 
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Posted: #50
Doesnt the niners fit under a system?
No gamble No future
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