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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    The Falcon's 10% Project

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    TheThinker
    dufresne
    Gator11
    XLR8
    infinity8
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    TheThinker
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 1:20 PM ET #1

    Project Guidelines...

    1. $1000 starting project bankroll

    2. risk 10% of PROJECT bankroll on each play

    3. wager 1 play at a time...

    4. no juice over (-1.10) will ever be layed

    5. sides, totals, moneylines can be used

    Longterm Goal of the project will be to hit 60% winners...

    Ill let you do the math but the numbers will absolutely blow your mind..

     

    The plays will be selected by a wide varitey of ways... In other words, ill use everything available to me to make this project a success...

    For those wanting to follow, ill do my very best to provide winners and give you the plays in plenty time to play them.. Most days it will be one play only but on weekends, we could have multiple plays... Remember its going to be 1 play at a time and not just 1 play per day...

     

    Project Bankroll: $1000

    Play #1 will be posted before 1PM CST today...

     

    any questions, PM me or email me... we can keep the thread clutter to a minimum...

    Falcon

     

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Project Guidelines...

    1. $1000 starting project bankroll

    2. risk 10% of PROJECT bankroll on each play

    3. wager 1 play at a time...

    4. no juice over (-1.10) will ever be layed

    5. sides, totals, moneylines can be used

    Longterm Goal of the project will be to hit 60% winners...

    Ill let you do the math but the numbers will absolutely blow your mind..

     

    The plays will be selected by a wide varitey of ways... In other words, ill use everything available to me to make this project a success...

    For those wanting to follow, ill do my very best to provide winners and give you the plays in plenty time to play them.. Most days it will be one play only but on weekends, we could have multiple plays... Remember its going to be 1 play at a time and not just 1 play per day...

     

    Project Bankroll: $1000

    Play #1 will be posted before 1PM CST today...

     

    any questions, PM me or email me... we can keep the thread clutter to a minimum...

    Falcon

     

     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 1:38 PM ET #2

    update for sunday dec 5

    Starting Project Bankroll: $1000

    play for sunday dec 5

    1. Baltimore Ravens -3 (-1.10) $100 to win $91

     

    since today was my opening day for this project, i decided to simply go with the SNF game..

    this should give everyone time to decide whether to follow this new adventure or not..

    i can assure you this.... 60% over 1000 plays, playing 10% of bankroll on each selection, is more money than you can ever imagine...

    can i do it......... i have no idea but you will get my best effort...

    give me a few days to get going, dont read too much into this too quickly..

    any PUSHES that occur, will not count in any record keeping and i will be rounding to the nearest dollar, i am not counting change in the thread..

     

    good luck and see you guys on monday

     

     

    Falcon

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    update for sunday dec 5

    Starting Project Bankroll: $1000

    play for sunday dec 5

    1. Baltimore Ravens -3 (-1.10) $100 to win $91

     

    since today was my opening day for this project, i decided to simply go with the SNF game..

    this should give everyone time to decide whether to follow this new adventure or not..

    i can assure you this.... 60% over 1000 plays, playing 10% of bankroll on each selection, is more money than you can ever imagine...

    can i do it......... i have no idea but you will get my best effort...

    give me a few days to get going, dont read too much into this too quickly..

    any PUSHES that occur, will not count in any record keeping and i will be rounding to the nearest dollar, i am not counting change in the thread..

     

    good luck and see you guys on monday

     

     

    Falcon

     
    dufresne
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 1:49 PM ET #3

    BOL with the new thread
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    BOL with the new thread
     
    Gator11
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 2:12 PM ET #4

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    XLR8
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 2:20 PM ET #5

    Had the ravens as one of my top plays for the day. Good Luck.

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    Had the ravens as one of my top plays for the day. Good Luck.

     
    infinity8
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 2:22 PM ET #6

    good thing you also chose the ravens thinker.. 

    btw, whats your goal in this new system? $1000 to $? in how many months.. 

    wish you the best of luck!
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    good thing you also chose the ravens thinker.. 

    btw, whats your goal in this new system? $1000 to $? in how many months.. 

    wish you the best of luck!
     
    Jokeheads
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 2:28 PM ET #7

    Should be interesting.
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    Should be interesting.
     
    smdio
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 2:45 PM ET #8

    Sounds like fun 
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    Sounds like fun 
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 2:50 PM ET #9

    smdio, this sounds very similar to my thread featuring selective large wagers... Did Thinker steal it? Add in the fact that his $1000 into $100,000 thread is also a lot like my first one and I think we have a legitimate criminal here. 

     GL Thinker
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    smdio, this sounds very similar to my thread featuring selective large wagers... Did Thinker steal it? Add in the fact that his $1000 into $100,000 thread is also a lot like my first one and I think we have a legitimate criminal here. 

     GL Thinker
     
    smdio
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 2:59 PM ET #10

    The difference is that Thinker didn't come into your thread and bash it, only to start one of his own a few days later based on the same criteria

    I have no problem with RC's thread, but I do have a problem with his childish bashing of Thinker on Monday, and his copy-catting thread on Thursday
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    The difference is that Thinker didn't come into your thread and bash it, only to start one of his own a few days later based on the same criteria

    I have no problem with RC's thread, but I do have a problem with his childish bashing of Thinker on Monday, and his copy-catting thread on Thursday
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 4:18 PM ET #11

    hey guys, i didnt copy anyone with the (1k to 100k) but this one looks alot like the one mtp has going with the (kelly criterion) put to the test..

    and to him, i apologize...

     

    seriously, ive been wanting to do a project like this for some time..

     

     

    couple of things, ill say and then ill let you chew on them..

    1. if i can keep this thread going for 1000 wagers and i can hit 60% correctly... all of us combined could never spend the money that will be made... this is a fact.. you wont have to worry about 1k to 100k...

    2. if you choose to follow this thread, you will never-ever, lose your intital $1000 stake completely, no matter how badly we do... this i can guarantee you..

     

    ill let you kick those 2 things around...

    yes Go Ravens..

     

    Falcon

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    hey guys, i didnt copy anyone with the (1k to 100k) but this one looks alot like the one mtp has going with the (kelly criterion) put to the test..

    and to him, i apologize...

     

    seriously, ive been wanting to do a project like this for some time..

     

     

    couple of things, ill say and then ill let you chew on them..

    1. if i can keep this thread going for 1000 wagers and i can hit 60% correctly... all of us combined could never spend the money that will be made... this is a fact.. you wont have to worry about 1k to 100k...

    2. if you choose to follow this thread, you will never-ever, lose your intital $1000 stake completely, no matter how badly we do... this i can guarantee you..

     

    ill let you kick those 2 things around...

    yes Go Ravens..

     

    Falcon

     
    bwcareer
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 6:39 PM ET #12

    bol Falcon!
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    bol Falcon!
     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 6:58 PM ET #13

    I kicked those two statements around and both are hog-wash...

    Hitting at a 60% clip over 1000 'pick em' plays has never been done... EVER! It's just not possible... BUT if you somehow are the second coming and make it possible, 1000 selective plays will take you well over 5 years to complete...

    The second statement is even worst because although it may seem cute on the surface with the idea of not losing your bankroll no matter how bad it goes, you could easily run into wager minimums and that would technically constitute as losing your bankroll as you wouldn't be able to make any more plays.

    For example, at Pinny, the minimum wager is two dollars; if my bankroll falls below $20, I suddenly can't make any plays put out by thinker due to this minimum, but because our bankroll is not completely lost, Thinker gets to claim that you'll never lose your bankroll. This examples trickles down to any number so even if your bankroll was a penny, you could bet half a penny, and then a quarter penny, etc.

    Just because the possible bets are infinite does not mean that our usable bankroll is!
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    I kicked those two statements around and both are hog-wash...

    Hitting at a 60% clip over 1000 'pick em' plays has never been done... EVER! It's just not possible... BUT if you somehow are the second coming and make it possible, 1000 selective plays will take you well over 5 years to complete...

    The second statement is even worst because although it may seem cute on the surface with the idea of not losing your bankroll no matter how bad it goes, you could easily run into wager minimums and that would technically constitute as losing your bankroll as you wouldn't be able to make any more plays.

    For example, at Pinny, the minimum wager is two dollars; if my bankroll falls below $20, I suddenly can't make any plays put out by thinker due to this minimum, but because our bankroll is not completely lost, Thinker gets to claim that you'll never lose your bankroll. This examples trickles down to any number so even if your bankroll was a penny, you could bet half a penny, and then a quarter penny, etc.

    Just because the possible bets are infinite does not mean that our usable bankroll is!
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 7:07 PM ET #14

    dj: do me a favor pal and dont come back into my thread... you my friend, i dont care for..

    Falcon

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    dj: do me a favor pal and dont come back into my thread... you my friend, i dont care for..

    Falcon

     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 10:34 PM ET #15

    Well good thing you don't run the forums and this isn't a popularity contest... I will do what I please. 

    Besides, you're the one who is the one spouting off guarantees that people won't lose their bankroll; I'm simply informing them that no such guarantees can possibly exist in the world of sports betting. Someone has to be the voice of reason around here. 
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    Well good thing you don't run the forums and this isn't a popularity contest... I will do what I please. 

    Besides, you're the one who is the one spouting off guarantees that people won't lose their bankroll; I'm simply informing them that no such guarantees can possibly exist in the world of sports betting. Someone has to be the voice of reason around here. 
     
    K4ngur13
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 11:15 PM ET #16

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    tombrady
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 11:18 PM ET #17

    Thinker.....just ignore Dj ....I think he is just a forum junkie...and is hooked!!....He has been floating in my thread as well.....So how do you plan to have this 60% record....Is there some kind of system or are you just going to be cappingyour games and hoping for the best?
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    Thinker.....just ignore Dj ....I think he is just a forum junkie...and is hooked!!....He has been floating in my thread as well.....So how do you plan to have this 60% record....Is there some kind of system or are you just going to be cappingyour games and hoping for the best?
     
    bwcareer
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2010 - 11:38 PM ET #18

    Ravens =

    On to tomorrow...Let's get it going Falcon.


    I, unlike DJ, think you can hit 60% if you work just as hard on this as you did setting up your other program!! Stick with it!

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    Ravens =

    On to tomorrow...Let's get it going Falcon.


    I, unlike DJ, think you can hit 60% if you work just as hard on this as you did setting up your other program!! Stick with it!

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 12:06 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:

    Thinker.....just ignore Dj ....I think he is just a forum junkie...and is hooked!!....He has been floating in my thread as well.....So how do you plan to have this 60% record....Is there some kind of system or are you just going to be cappingyour games and hoping for the best?

     

    who the hell are you ?...another perfect example of how sad this forum has become, and why i rarely post here anymore. But really, you come here with a parlay system ...a parlay system ??? .biggest sucker bet there is, and then you bash DJ who has been posting winners month after month here.....gtfo

     

    and oh...gl thinker.

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    Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:

    Thinker.....just ignore Dj ....I think he is just a forum junkie...and is hooked!!....He has been floating in my thread as well.....So how do you plan to have this 60% record....Is there some kind of system or are you just going to be cappingyour games and hoping for the best?

     

    who the hell are you ?...another perfect example of how sad this forum has become, and why i rarely post here anymore. But really, you come here with a parlay system ...a parlay system ??? .biggest sucker bet there is, and then you bash DJ who has been posting winners month after month here.....gtfo

     

    and oh...gl thinker.

     
    tombrady
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 12:44 AM ET #20

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    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 12:45 AM ET #21

    tombrady, you parlay therefore you fail... 

    bwcareer; I would love for Thinker (or anyone) to hit 60% because we could all get rich... but the fact of the matter is that 'hard work' can't make you foresee the future. 57% is a more reasonable goal IMO but hey, let's shoot for the moon and land among stars right? Despite Thinker's preemptive negativity towards me, I sincerely hope he can do it but I will always maintain that it's just not possible.
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    tombrady, you parlay therefore you fail... 

    bwcareer; I would love for Thinker (or anyone) to hit 60% because we could all get rich... but the fact of the matter is that 'hard work' can't make you foresee the future. 57% is a more reasonable goal IMO but hey, let's shoot for the moon and land among stars right? Despite Thinker's preemptive negativity towards me, I sincerely hope he can do it but I will always maintain that it's just not possible.
     
    like2betmore
    like2betmore
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 1:21 AM ET #22

    If we all had a bunch of yes man or sheeps then none of us would improve.  Whats wrong with a little constructive criticizism?

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    If we all had a bunch of yes man or sheeps then none of us would improve.  Whats wrong with a little constructive criticizism?

     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 6:07 AM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by like2betmore:

    If we all had a bunch of yes man or sheeps then none of us would improve.  Whats wrong with a little constructive criticizism?

    Totally agree. The level to which nobody can be called-out on this site is unreal.

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    Quote Originally Posted by like2betmore:

    If we all had a bunch of yes man or sheeps then none of us would improve.  Whats wrong with a little constructive criticizism?

    Totally agree. The level to which nobody can be called-out on this site is unreal.

     
    scotth69
    scotth69
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 7:28 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

    tombrady, you parlay therefore you fail... 

    bwcareer; I would love for Thinker (or anyone) to hit 60% because we could all get rich... but the fact of the matter is that 'hard work' can't make you foresee the future. 57% is a more reasonable goal IMO but hey, let's shoot for the moon and land among stars right? Despite Thinker's preemptive negativity towards me, I sincerely hope he can do it but I will always maintain that it's just not possible.

     

    DJ - you said yourself in one of your active threads your goal was to hit 60% in all sports. How is this different than Thinkers goal? Nobody went in your thread and told you it was IMPOSSIBLE. Best of luck to BOTH of you with winners for all of us.

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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

    tombrady, you parlay therefore you fail... 

    bwcareer; I would love for Thinker (or anyone) to hit 60% because we could all get rich... but the fact of the matter is that 'hard work' can't make you foresee the future. 57% is a more reasonable goal IMO but hey, let's shoot for the moon and land among stars right? Despite Thinker's preemptive negativity towards me, I sincerely hope he can do it but I will always maintain that it's just not possible.

     

    DJ - you said yourself in one of your active threads your goal was to hit 60% in all sports. How is this different than Thinkers goal? Nobody went in your thread and told you it was IMPOSSIBLE. Best of luck to BOTH of you with winners for all of us.

     
     
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 8:51 AM ET #25

    ill make my post and move on from now on.. im available by PM or email but i dont have time for the childish crap that goes on in the forums...

    so have at it, say what you want, i probably wont be reading the posts... so if you want to bring something to my attention.. do it by PM or email..

    thanks Falcon

     

    Beginning Project Balance on dec 5: $1000

    Current Project Balance on dec 6: $900

     

    10% Project: 0-1 (-$100)

    1 play for monday dec 6

     

    2. Indiana Pacers Under 208 (-1.10) $90 to win $82

     

    there will be no additions, line is available at the Greek as i type this...

     

    Falcon

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    ill make my post and move on from now on.. im available by PM or email but i dont have time for the childish crap that goes on in the forums...

    so have at it, say what you want, i probably wont be reading the posts... so if you want to bring something to my attention.. do it by PM or email..

    thanks Falcon

     

    Beginning Project Balance on dec 5: $1000

    Current Project Balance on dec 6: $900

     

    10% Project: 0-1 (-$100)

    1 play for monday dec 6

     

    2. Indiana Pacers Under 208 (-1.10) $90 to win $82

     

    there will be no additions, line is available at the Greek as i type this...

     

    Falcon

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