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The Falcon's 10% Project

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Posted: #26
on the other side.. but  will watch this project.. good luck sir..
 
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Posted: #27
GL  Falcon   
                    
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by scotth69:

 

DJ - you said yourself in one of your active threads your goal was to hit 60% in all sports. How is this different than Thinkers goal? Nobody went in your thread and told you it was IMPOSSIBLE. Best of luck to BOTH of you with winners for all of us.



The difference is that DJ is betting primarily on moneylines.  Hitting 60% on moneylines is doable.  Thinker has stated he won't be laying any juice higher than -110, and while I'll admit that hitting 60% isn't IMPOSSIBLE, it is certainly very, very unlikely. 

But regardless, I wish you the BOL Thinker...or Falcon...or whatever your name is.
 
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Posted: #29

Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

The plays will be selected by a wide varitey of ways... In other words, ill use everything available to me to make this project a success...

Does this mean you will be handicapping games yourself, or will everything still be computer based?

 
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Posted: #30
This is the 700th thread that you started from scratch like this...bol though
 
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Posted: #31
I didn't find where I said that I would hit 60% because I'm pretty sure I didn't; and if I did, jimmy is right because I don't limit myself to -110 or better. I play whatever offers value which often includes heavy favourites so hitting 60% isn't impossible but rather necessary. 
 
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Posted: #32
If he fails, who cares?  How do you know if something will work/not work until you try it?

You guys are really brutal.  Just because some of you are good at capping does not mean that you're the only ones. 

Let people do as they wish.  Just because they may not share the same capping strategy that you do does not mean they cannot cap games successfully

I'm starting to hate it here, honestly.
 
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Posted: #33
Good luck Thinker...following both of your threads now bro...
 
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Posted: #34

Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

I kicked those two statements around and both are hog-wash...

Hitting at a 60% clip over 1000 'pick em' plays has never been done... EVER! It's just not possible... BUT if you somehow are the second coming and make it possible, 1000 selective plays will take you well over 5 years to complete...

The second statement is even worst because although it may seem cute on the surface with the idea of not losing your bankroll no matter how bad it goes, you could easily run into wager minimums and that would technically constitute as losing your bankroll as you wouldn't be able to make any more plays.

For example, at Pinny, the minimum wager is two dollars; if my bankroll falls below $20, I suddenly can't make any plays put out by thinker due to this minimum, but because our bankroll is not completely lost, Thinker gets to claim that you'll never lose your bankroll. This examples trickles down to any number so even if your bankroll was a penny, you could bet half a penny, and then a quarter penny, etc.

Just because the possible bets are infinite does not mean that our usable bankroll is!

Some people look at the World through rose-coloured glasses.. coupled with their level of insecurity = many, many people unable to deal with the Reality which is Life.

60% at -110 or better.. never been done before, but there's always a first for everything, right?

I remember seeing Thinker come into this forum many times over the past couple years and post a new thread with some sort of system or another, run it for about a week, fail, and leave. But people can get better at things with practice and time. He's doing well in his other thread (I'll leave my personal thoughts out of it) so let him try to do this here, as well.

It's a free forum, and there are A LOT worse threads currently going on here right now. Everyone has their right to start whatever kind of thread they want and organize it however they see fit. On the flip side, everyone has their right to post whatever comments they want and provide criticism where they see fit. With the good, comes the bad.

Create your own website if you don't want to deal with the crap which comes with the territory..

GL Thinker 

 
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Posted: #35
Good Luck in the new challenge Thinkler!

I will try follow you daily.

I send you a Friend Request.

 
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Posted: #36

Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

Well good thing you don't run the forums and this isn't a popularity contest... I will do what I please. 

Besides, you're the one who is the one spouting off guarantees that people won't lose their bankroll; I'm simply informing them that no such guarantees can possibly exist in the world of sports betting. Someone has to be the voice of reason around here. 

Sorry DJ, I took the weekend off.. Thanks for filling in for me!

   LoL

 

 
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Posted: #37
Let's get one thing straight, I would sincerely LOVE if Thinker could do what he says he's going to do, BELIEVE ME. All of our problems would be solved... but has it ever been that easy?

I'm not suggesting either that Thinker is trying to make it seem easy but when you post guarantees like "you will never-ever, lose your intital $1000 stake completely, no matter how badly we do", it comes off as misleading to people who don't understand what he means like I do. All I did was lay out the facts.

As for smdio (since your post sounds like it was directed at me), I do not make these comments because I think I'm a better capper, nor do I think my way is the ONLY way but it is certainly the most proven. Basic mathematics tells us that any bet is a losing one unless you can find errors in the line which provide positive expected value. This is basic probability theory which is fundamental to making money.

Now nothing Thinker has done has gone against this so I have no problem with any of his plays or systems. I do have a problem with guarantees, 'locks', misleading information, deceit, etc. and I do have a problem with fatalistic systems (chases, parlays, teasers, martys, labbys, etc.).

Anyways, I'm done with clogging this thread. I stand by what I said 100% about the two statements being hog-wash and so far, no one has come close to refuting that.
 
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Posted: #38

Thinker your thread is basically the same.  No need to apologize to me.  I actually would consider this a small challenge for the both of us.  Even though I know I will win lol.  Anyways good luck.  One tip for anyone who want to question someone.  You are wasting your time finding edges in a game by criticizing this guy.  Regardless of the opinions stick to your business and hopefullly everyone will make money and get to the point of beating the books.  Because thats what its about.

GO BLUE!!!

 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

Some people look at the World through rose-coloured glasses.. coupled with their level of insecurity = many, many people unable to deal with the Reality which is Life.

That comment was in agreement with what you stated DJ, in case it was misinterpreted. Sorry if it seemed like I was defending the 2 "hog-wash" comments.

Cheers 

 
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Posted: #40
I hope we all continue to discuss our thoughts and feelings on more arbitrary issues that have no bearing on the fact that Thinker will continue to post his system and some of us will tail while others don't.


Thinker:
 
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Posted: #41
For example, at Pinny, the minimum wager is two dollars;

it's $1, but for canadians you have to add the exchange... the other day !.03 canadian would get it done.
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by James T:

For example, at Pinny, the minimum wager is two dollars;

it's $1, but for canadians you have to add the exchange... the other day !.03 canadian would get it done.


Doesn't detract from the point of the argument at all... Even if you can get down a $0.03 wager, you can't bet a quarter penny or even half a penny at any books. 
 
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Posted: #43
should read 1.03 lol... it varies daily with the exchange rate, presently 1.01 will do it.
 
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Posted: #44
Hang in there!
 
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Posted: #45

starting project bankroll on dec 5: $1000

current project bankroll on dec 7: $810

 

10% Project: 0-2 (-$190)

 

play for tuesday dec 7

3. Colorado Av's Over 5.5 (+1.00) $81 to win $81

 

back on wednesday

 

Falcon

 
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Posted: #46

starting project bankroll on dec 5: $1000

currenrt project bankroll on dec 8: $891

 

10% Project: 1-2 (-$109)

play for wednesday dec 8

 

4. Arkansas +2.5 (-1.10) $89 to win $81

 

college bb

 

Falcon

 
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Posted: #47
I have Arkansas +3.5 with my local provincial sports lottery but I think Seton Hall is the much better team... Good luck to us!
 
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Posted: #48

Good luck Go Arkansas

 
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Posted: #49

update for dec 9

 

starting project bankroll on dec 5: $1000

current project bankroll on dec 9: $972

 

10% Project: 2-2 (-$28)

 

play for thursday dec 9

 

5. NY Rangers (+1.00) $97 to win $97

 

back on friday

 

Falcon

 

 
 
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