Wally's 'DOG CHASE' Series System

June 19th, 2018

 Cubs GM 1 (A)

*Stay tuned later for night slate

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Phillies 

Diamondbacks

June 19th, 2018

 Braves (A) posted on @WiseguyWally

 Tigers (A) posted on @WiseguyWally

 A's (A)

 Cubs GM 2  *1u (-1.5 +160)

*Rockies cancelled - Mets have jumped over the Rockies in system rankings. 0 value in today's play) 

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Phillies 

Diamondbacks

Week 12 Recap

5-0, +1.16u 

*Unfortunately, the system cancelled multiple series over the week. Profits weren't as big as wished but we still came out in the GREEN! That's all that matters!

OVERALL: 85-4, +66.46u 

Tracking: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fEmLVR-VMS9ABFtq0QyUalkrs7nnPVUQHWRsVEQOWMY/edit?usp=sharing

**I have been posting every play at @WiseguyWally (https://twitter.com/WiseguyWally). Follow here for picks 100% of the time. I'll also toss you a follow back! I try my best to post on covers everyday but I just can't guarantee it. 

Here comes Week 13!

Athletics (A)

***Stay tuned for night slate

June 25th, 2018

Athletics (A)

Pirates (A)*

Nationals (A)

Rangers (A)*

*Experimental implementation: When a team's** opening odds for GM 2 of series IS an underdog and team is ONLY a slight favorite in GM 1, said team will be activated as play

**A team identified by system rankings

Texas is -140... is that's still a slight favorite play? 

@JoeyIce that's about the right amount of juice that would be the absolute max!

June 26th, 2018

0 value in fresh series tonight; 0 plays

Nationals losing 0-1 today as a heavy -210 ML* fav is EXACTLY why we stay f a r, f a r away. You MUST find VALUE to find SUCCESS!

*This was why the play was not posted here on Covers - cancellation post was on @WiseguyWally 

Athletics

Pirates

Rangers 

June 27th, 2018

Indians (A)**

**Experimental implementation pt 2: when a team has lost GM 1 & GM 2 of a series AND is underdog in GM 3 AND is ranked higher in system rankings -> team is activated as a play

This situation is a GREEN light for our anti-sweep system!

Athletics

Pirates

Rangers

June 30th, 2018

Indians (A)

Mets (GM 2 cancelled --> too much juice = no value = no play)

Red Sox (GM 2 cancelled --> too much juice = no value = no play)

Follow @WiseguyWally for all picks every day - I will toss you a follow back!

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Brewers

Indians

Braves

Pirates

Nationals (canc. --> too much juice)

Rangers

Braves posted on @WiseguyWally

Pirates posted on @WiseguyWally

Hello Wally!

thanx for your inspiring thread. I'm betting selected away dogs with kind of success but I like your system...so many times I've pushed my luck too far and lost units won in game 1 or 2 of a serie!

To be honest, I can't tail you because I'm sleeping while you're posting your bets on twitter (yeah, I'm french...) 

But i will post here sometimes to discuss our picks, if it's not a problem to you. I'm still learning baseball betting so I don't want to open my own thread on a US Forum (have one on french forum but nobody cares about baseball and MLB, with all these games at 2AM...)

Good luck! 

Week 13 Recap

7-0, +6.32u 

OVERALL: 92-4, +72.78u 

Tracking: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fEmLVR-VMS9ABFtq0QyUalkrs7nnPVUQHWRsVEQOWMY/edit?usp=sharing

**I have been posting every play at @WiseguyWally (https://twitter.com/WiseguyWally). Follow here for picks 100% of the time. I'll also toss you a follow back! I try my best to post on covers everyday but I just can't guarantee it. 

@funding when a team has a green cash bag  that means that the team has won and the series is closed! this means these teams will not be played again. teams w/o the cash bag mean that these are plays!

@dimegoat hey, man! i'm pumped to hear that you're finding success from this! what do you mean by pushing your luck too far? what's your system? just curious! also yeah for sure, feel free to discuss on here and/or ask if you want the system's opinion on plays you're looking at! i'll try to be on here as much as i can!

In fact, I'm a newcomer in MLB betting so I tried a lot of strategies for weeks with fake money. Then, I tried to analyze games and bet real money but it took soooo much time (which I have not).

Then, in June, I tried with real money, betting on ALL away dogs to get nice odds and cover losses. But it was not so smart because of teams like Orioles or Tigers with very high odds but very low victory rates. After that, within few days, being more selective, I made 6u of profits (with Rockies, Braves and such).

The more I play, the less it pay: that's the idea of pushing luck too far. I win gm 1 and 2 of a serie and then lose 3 and 4...it happens so many times, losing money you've just won. When you sweep, it's gold (like the Reds vs Dodgers) but it's rare.

So I think your way of betting is quite smart, not too greedy. So I'm trying it with my own bets (can't see yours at the right time... it's 1AM right now and I'm awake, which is very rare...)

Won with the Cards yesterday. I nearly bet Braves and Red Sox but I've been, maybe, too cautious. Nevermind...

I opened a thread, you'll see my results over there, and wish great success for both of us!

@dimegoat your first two points; i did the EXACT same. For 3+ years I have tracked pretend bets through systems to determine whether or not I would find success before I go ahead and risk my money. I have been determined to work until I break through and find a system that brings reliable, consistent positive results; something extremely hard to find in our sports betting world. 

that's interesting that you tried to bet in favor of sweeps. have you ever visited & read this information? https://mlbsweeps.com/statistics/ <-- this right here is what became the magical light bulb in my head, making me realize i need to create a system that takes advantage of how difficult it truly is to sweep a series. 

^^^ and that is exactly how i came up with this ANTI-sweep system

cheers bud!

Week 14 Recap

7-1, +0.07u 

OVERALL: 99-5, +72.85u 

Tracking: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fEmLVR-VMS9ABFtq0QyUalkrs7nnPVUQHWRsVEQOWMY/edit?usp=sharing

**Week 14 was a holiday week so it was too difficult to post here on Covers

***I have been posting every play at @WiseguyWally (https://twitter.com/WiseguyWally). Follow here for picks 100% of the time. I'll also toss you a follow back! I try my best to post on covers everyday.

Join us!!!

Yep I know this mlbsweeps... sure it's difficult to sweep a serie but 25% for 3gm series is quite a high number. And this 2018 season is hard for anti-sweep (20% for 4gm so far!). Ideally I'd like to cover ALL losses but it's definitely risky.

And I was thinking about playing only 4gm series. I don't know...

Too bad I can't compare my picks with yours before games are played, but it's very inspiring to study our different point of views. 

I'm also looking for a NHL system involving dogs...stats are nice, better than NBA in my opinion,  but I got to find a good pattern 

July 9th, 2018

 Cubs (A)

July 13th, 2018

Brewers (B)

Rays (B)

Rangers (A)

White Sox (A)

Mariners (A)

Athletics (A)

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Cubs

Nationals posted on @WiseguyWally

Diamondbacks posted on @WiseguyWally

Marinersposted on @WiseguyWally

Yankees posted on @WiseguyWally

Phillies posted on @WiseguyWally

Has this system ever lost for the season?

You did well cancelling the chase. Brewers and Mariners  Wisely, I didn't chase MIL all the way but it killed all my profit of july. Too bad.

July 26th, 2018

I hope everyone has been following ALL of our momentum on twitter @Notwitterlinks !!!!!!!!!

PHILLIES (A)

BREWERS (A)

Let’s do this!!

July 27th, 2018

Cubs (A)

A's (A)

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Phillies

Brewers

 So even with the cancel, I believe we record a small loss for this week ??  I read your info on twitter but I don’t have an account there. Excellent work !!  I try to follow without betting anything else now. If this can get me out of the hole by the end of the season, I will gladly make a donation. Ty