Night Cap
1-0 +6.2u POD
3-2 +2.1u Action Plays
Day #5 Recap
- Goffin finishes it off, as he should have and I was releived... Shevedova dominated as predicted and I am really upset because if I was up for the week like I should be I would have hit the paly for alot more... But at the same time I would have likely bet tomic fairly large too... Looking like that big parlay is just gonna lose by one poor first set from Gasquet... but I feel like its not gonna hurt me to keep giving them a shot.. Mchale and Lepchenko are looking pretty good... Kvitova is looking much better than usual on this urface and might take her to win this thing... The clay courters are emerging on the men's side...
Where I am know:
2-3 -6.5u POD's
25-44 -6.05u Action Plays
27-47 -12.55u Overall
DAY #6
4u
Radwanska 2-0 -150
2u
Berdych 3-0 -160
Fognini +2.5 Sets -145
Verdasco 3-0 +230
Stosur 2-0 +100
Fed 3-0 + Joker 3-0 + Vika 2-0 + Dulko/Suarez + Buturac/Soares + Cabal/Farah +315r*, +260b
1u
Errani +205
Errani 2-0 +465
Johansson +150
Johansson 2-0 +325
Cermak/Polasek -140, -140b
Sela/Volandri +120, +110b
Berlocq/Marrero +190, +190b*
Cibulkova/Zheng +250r, +220b
Shvedova/Marrero +130, +130b
Dulko/Schwank +380, +305b
*estimates not in yet
POD DAY #6
-FED SPREAD
-I am already in at -9 for around -145 but most available line is -9.5 and will likely be a majority of the play
-Good for Mahut he is in the third round of the french for the first time ever... But the wins can be explained... first he played Roddick who has never done anything here and then took out Klizan that had no bearing on this court as he had played all of 20 minutes on it coming into the match... Point being the two wins are fairly insignificant
-Mahut's Career record on clay before this match 6-24, not including a myriad of challenger and qualifying losses on the surface... that is fairly hard to do... Furthering the point that this week is an abberation
-He is serving well I will give him that but I highly doubt he will get many free points on Fed who always does his homework and rarely fails to read the serve well
-The play comes down to motivation for me... Fed can obviously win easily if he wants too, but what will keep him from just going through the motions?... I think if you ask any of the big three, they would all prefer to play early in the day... So far every day has had matches suspended due to darkness... This is the last thing Fed wants and he will want to get this one in quickly and I think it will be his mentality
- I also may play Fed 3-0... sitting at around -390 right now but I want to see how the day goes... The idea is that if all works out Fed 3-0 will also be the last leg of the parlay and I will just be tacking on to an existing play
- Fed Spread play is gonna be a big 6-10u play... The idea is for everywinner that comes in through the day I will add a unit of the Fed spread bet...
GL ALL
this guys nuts
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