Long break from gambling for me after I lost it all on a bad week last month... If I do not make at least 100u betting the French not only will I stop gambling for a long time. but I will also never post on this forum again... Hope that makes some happy...
but keep in mind this will likely involve a play upwards or 30u on the final... I have a record for this year somewhere... I will dig it up at some point but I have locked in some plays and I am sharing... Will give write ups on bigger plays/POD's
4u Fed to Win +1020
- looking at Novak's play coming in I just think there is value here... Nadal is on the other side of the draw which is confising given the seeding but I am sure we will see a Fed Joker Semi.. I would take Nadal to win as he is a lock to make the final but I dont see any value in laying the juice
Day 1
3u POD
Ormachea +6, +6.5 +100, -115
- just too many games her for me to pass up... Venus' serve is not anywhere near the mph it used to be and she has always needed it to be any type of force here... Ormachea is having a very good year and should see this tournament as a place where she can make a name for herself...
1u
Verdasco 3-0 -165
Delpo 3-0 -275
Mahut/Roddick Over 39 -120
Zhang +7, +7.5 +115, -125
C. Garcia -115
Errani -6.5 -125
Ormachea +680b
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Long break from gambling for me after I lost it all on a bad week last month... If I do not make at least 100u betting the French not only will I stop gambling for a long time. but I will also never post on this forum again... Hope that makes some happy...
but keep in mind this will likely involve a play upwards or 30u on the final... I have a record for this year somewhere... I will dig it up at some point but I have locked in some plays and I am sharing... Will give write ups on bigger plays/POD's
4u Fed to Win +1020
- looking at Novak's play coming in I just think there is value here... Nadal is on the other side of the draw which is confising given the seeding but I am sure we will see a Fed Joker Semi.. I would take Nadal to win as he is a lock to make the final but I dont see any value in laying the juice
Day 1
3u POD
Ormachea +6, +6.5 +100, -115
- just too many games her for me to pass up... Venus' serve is not anywhere near the mph it used to be and she has always needed it to be any type of force here... Ormachea is having a very good year and should see this tournament as a place where she can make a name for herself...
You're unwarranted attack on Troylex was your biggest downfall,,,(that hatorade seemed to come out of nowhere),,,,along with your need to bet every single match ever played on every single day whether it be singles doubles ATP WTA ITF or challenger when your card starts off on a losing foothold and then the need to chase back your losses just can't be denied,,,you'll be probably on a few mixed doubs here as well I'm guessing if you have to
I do genuinely wish you well,,, when you occasionally cap a match with actual insight, your posts can be an interesting read,,, but I doubt anyone here really thinks you wager with non monopoly money
0
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
You're unwarranted attack on Troylex was your biggest downfall,,,(that hatorade seemed to come out of nowhere),,,,along with your need to bet every single match ever played on every single day whether it be singles doubles ATP WTA ITF or challenger when your card starts off on a losing foothold and then the need to chase back your losses just can't be denied,,,you'll be probably on a few mixed doubs here as well I'm guessing if you have to
I do genuinely wish you well,,, when you occasionally cap a match with actual insight, your posts can be an interesting read,,, but I doubt anyone here really thinks you wager with non monopoly money
i will not be responding to non sense.... using words as dramatic as downfall when it comes to the bashing I have done on this forum is luducris.. Troyex lost time and time again and is likely an actual loser in his real life.. he enjoys the forum and has friends here that he feels are real friends to him... I say who cares.. I learned that people are here to have a good time and not to gamble, that was my mistake... Anyone can believe what they like, but when I lose here, trust me I am losing in real life too, and I think that I may be the only person on overs where this is true... It may not be exactly the percentage of bankroll I post here but it is close and it is just the way it is... If I am not helping anyone I stop... Packers... you watch so much tennis but know so little about it... reading your posts is like reading what i used to write I used to write in my journal when I was a kid about baseball... One day I loved Cal Ripken, then mark whitten hits 4 hr's in a game and then he's my favorite player, sanders gets in the leauge and i write about how hes gonna be the best ball player of all time... I was an idiot. You do not look at the game as a gambler but as a fan, which in my world is the thing that's makes it so I never have to gamble to make money, just give schmucks like you credit... I know if you posted picks you would lose heavily, not everyday but definitely in the aggregate... Is hard with tennis, lines arent great... good lies are often juiced and strange things happen all the time.... I found a way to bet tennis that works... I will never back down from my record whatever it ends up being in any sport.. but the point to me is to make money... not talk sports, not bash people needlessly, and not talk about players we like... its about finding lines that are value and making money period... I dont think I have approached it any other way, unless federer has been involved....
That will be it for my responding to comments...
Like I said 100u or gone forever... so you can actively root against me when you watch some matches.... what else can you ask for.. .I am giving you action without having to bet...
ADDED:
2u to Ormachea +6.5 at -125
2u Venus/Ormachea Over 18 -105
2u Kubot 3-0 -165
1u to C. Garcia at +100r
Now I am actively gonna try to watch some matches for a few hours and look at the court conditions... GL ALL
0
i will not be responding to non sense.... using words as dramatic as downfall when it comes to the bashing I have done on this forum is luducris.. Troyex lost time and time again and is likely an actual loser in his real life.. he enjoys the forum and has friends here that he feels are real friends to him... I say who cares.. I learned that people are here to have a good time and not to gamble, that was my mistake... Anyone can believe what they like, but when I lose here, trust me I am losing in real life too, and I think that I may be the only person on overs where this is true... It may not be exactly the percentage of bankroll I post here but it is close and it is just the way it is... If I am not helping anyone I stop... Packers... you watch so much tennis but know so little about it... reading your posts is like reading what i used to write I used to write in my journal when I was a kid about baseball... One day I loved Cal Ripken, then mark whitten hits 4 hr's in a game and then he's my favorite player, sanders gets in the leauge and i write about how hes gonna be the best ball player of all time... I was an idiot. You do not look at the game as a gambler but as a fan, which in my world is the thing that's makes it so I never have to gamble to make money, just give schmucks like you credit... I know if you posted picks you would lose heavily, not everyday but definitely in the aggregate... Is hard with tennis, lines arent great... good lies are often juiced and strange things happen all the time.... I found a way to bet tennis that works... I will never back down from my record whatever it ends up being in any sport.. but the point to me is to make money... not talk sports, not bash people needlessly, and not talk about players we like... its about finding lines that are value and making money period... I dont think I have approached it any other way, unless federer has been involved....
That will be it for my responding to comments...
Like I said 100u or gone forever... so you can actively root against me when you watch some matches.... what else can you ask for.. .I am giving you action without having to bet...
ADDED:
2u to Ormachea +6.5 at -125
2u Venus/Ormachea Over 18 -105
2u Kubot 3-0 -165
1u to C. Garcia at +100r
Now I am actively gonna try to watch some matches for a few hours and look at the court conditions... GL ALL
You're unwarranted attack on Troylex was your biggest downfall,,,(that hatorade seemed to come out of nowhere),,,,along with your need to bet every single match ever played on every single day whether it be singles doubles ATP WTA ITF or challenger when your card starts off on a losing foothold and then the need to chase back your losses just can't be denied,,,you'll be probably on a few mixed doubs here as well I'm guessing if you have to
I do genuinely wish you well,,, when you occasionally cap a match with actual insight, your posts can be an interesting read,,, but I doubt anyone here really thinks you wager with non monopoly money
Bingo
And sadly it wasn't just in tennis either.
0
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
You're unwarranted attack on Troylex was your biggest downfall,,,(that hatorade seemed to come out of nowhere),,,,along with your need to bet every single match ever played on every single day whether it be singles doubles ATP WTA ITF or challenger when your card starts off on a losing foothold and then the need to chase back your losses just can't be denied,,,you'll be probably on a few mixed doubs here as well I'm guessing if you have to
I do genuinely wish you well,,, when you occasionally cap a match with actual insight, your posts can be an interesting read,,, but I doubt anyone here really thinks you wager with non monopoly money
Pod was really a great play tht didnt work out as well as it hould have.. The same lesson time and time again... It takes time to learn how to win.. Venus played a very ineffetive gameplan for clay nad I imagine her road will not be easy... Ormaechea saved zero break points int he match... Same case in Garcia's match... had it in her hands but blew up at crucial moments... Very bad play in Delpo 3-0, but lesson learned... should hve hit but didnt... Kubot still pending..
hoping Day #2 is much better...
added and pending:
4u (POD)
Bogo Jr. -120
2u
Kubot 3-0 -165
Triocki/Belluci Over 38, 38.5 -115, -105
Berdych 3-0 + Fed 3-0 + Radwanska 2-0 -170
Babos +3.5, +4 +100, -120
Mayr +5.5 -105
1u
Bogo 3-0 +365
Giraldo/Falla Over 37.5 -110
Jaziri +2.5 -125
Malisse +2.5 -110
Volandri +5, +5.5 +100, -120
Volandri +225
Radwanska -7.5 -110
Babos +165b
Mayr +390
- i think we have very good value on Bogo here... I know what you are saying he is 1 for his last ten... but at least the man is losing to ATP level players.. Clement has becom a player that makes his living on the indoor season on the challenger tour.. he has been awful this year on lay and been awful on clay for sometime.. at least Bogo ha experience and has had success on this surface recently... Throw home field out the window and bogo would be a significant fave... I have no problem backing him here against an old timer...
ormaechea was looking sexy as shit...
3.5 hours is pretty fucking funny packers... i have a feeling if anyone took 3.5 hours to care about you a day your life would totally different... your comments make me feel lucky for what I have... thank you... its the 21st century... i think a majority of us can type at close to 45 wpm... if not just lie and put it on your resume... I think things will open up...
0
1-0 +3.5u POD's
3-5 -4.25 Action Plays
4-5 -.75u Overall
Recap of Day#1
Pod was really a great play tht didnt work out as well as it hould have.. The same lesson time and time again... It takes time to learn how to win.. Venus played a very ineffetive gameplan for clay nad I imagine her road will not be easy... Ormaechea saved zero break points int he match... Same case in Garcia's match... had it in her hands but blew up at crucial moments... Very bad play in Delpo 3-0, but lesson learned... should hve hit but didnt... Kubot still pending..
hoping Day #2 is much better...
added and pending:
4u (POD)
Bogo Jr. -120
2u
Kubot 3-0 -165
Triocki/Belluci Over 38, 38.5 -115, -105
Berdych 3-0 + Fed 3-0 + Radwanska 2-0 -170
Babos +3.5, +4 +100, -120
Mayr +5.5 -105
1u
Bogo 3-0 +365
Giraldo/Falla Over 37.5 -110
Jaziri +2.5 -125
Malisse +2.5 -110
Volandri +5, +5.5 +100, -120
Volandri +225
Radwanska -7.5 -110
Babos +165b
Mayr +390
- i think we have very good value on Bogo here... I know what you are saying he is 1 for his last ten... but at least the man is losing to ATP level players.. Clement has becom a player that makes his living on the indoor season on the challenger tour.. he has been awful this year on lay and been awful on clay for sometime.. at least Bogo ha experience and has had success on this surface recently... Throw home field out the window and bogo would be a significant fave... I have no problem backing him here against an old timer...
ormaechea was looking sexy as shit...
3.5 hours is pretty fucking funny packers... i have a feeling if anyone took 3.5 hours to care about you a day your life would totally different... your comments make me feel lucky for what I have... thank you... its the 21st century... i think a majority of us can type at close to 45 wpm... if not just lie and put it on your resume... I think things will open up...
from what i have seen the court is playing faster than normal today... I see Harrison with many chances to take a set and clean wins from Raonic and bartoli who will benefit from faster conditions... Just hoping the sun stays out
0
Added:
2u
Harrison +2.5 Sets +130, +135u
Raonic 3-0 +105
Bartoli 2-0 -165
from what i have seen the court is playing faster than normal today... I see Harrison with many chances to take a set and clean wins from Raonic and bartoli who will benefit from faster conditions... Just hoping the sun stays out
little bad luck there with bogo getting injured, but he had thjat match so many times... very frustrating to watch.. all in all he probably would have lost the last set....
last two additins for me... have a good holiday all...
Added:
2u to Radwanska -7.5 at +105
1u
Randwanska 2-0 -625
-another bad play but it is what it is...
0
little bad luck there with bogo getting injured, but he had thjat match so many times... very frustrating to watch.. all in all he probably would have lost the last set....
last two additins for me... have a good holiday all...
- Of course the only match I watch today was the most frustrating... Courts were plaing faster today which gave Cement a chance but Bogo had that match... inexplicably started piling up errors to end that match... Very sour taste... Clement is fade bait next round as quick strike tennis will not get you to the third on the redclay... All in all a good day... Finally hit a 3-0 parlay... solid overs... dumb play with malisse but I took the fatigue angle... good win from tomic after a shaky start... All Babos plays pushed as Bepa dropped out... surprising to see Babos get crushed by an alternate... another dog goes wanting in Mayr but I think it was still a good play...
- Nice fade!!
- Nalby loss makes absolutely no sense...
- Cant lay off the majors... Limits are better and tons of options... I would argue the clay is more preditable in terms of gambling... Good clay courted will cover handicaps as dog and the same oe boys will continue to dominate,,,
0
0-1 -4.8u POD TODAY
11-3 +17.75u Action Plays TODAY
11-4 +12.95u Overall TODAY
1-1 -1.3u POD's
14-8 +13.5u Action Plays
15-9 +12.2u Overall
Day #2 Recap:
- Of course the only match I watch today was the most frustrating... Courts were plaing faster today which gave Cement a chance but Bogo had that match... inexplicably started piling up errors to end that match... Very sour taste... Clement is fade bait next round as quick strike tennis will not get you to the third on the redclay... All in all a good day... Finally hit a 3-0 parlay... solid overs... dumb play with malisse but I took the fatigue angle... good win from tomic after a shaky start... All Babos plays pushed as Bepa dropped out... surprising to see Babos get crushed by an alternate... another dog goes wanting in Mayr but I think it was still a good play...
- Nice fade!!
- Nalby loss makes absolutely no sense...
- Cant lay off the majors... Limits are better and tons of options... I would argue the clay is more preditable in terms of gambling... Good clay courted will cover handicaps as dog and the same oe boys will continue to dominate,,,
Soeda ML + Berlocq ML + Gasquet ML + Kvitova ML + Ferrer ML + Murray ML + Woz ML +100, +105, +100, -115r, -125b
2u
Gasquet 3-0 -175
Bolleli +11.5 -125
Berlocq 3-0 +130
Ferrer -10.5, -11 -125, +115
Ferrer Under 25.5 -110
1u
Soeda -4.5 -125
Soeda 3-0 +195
Schwank/Karlovic Over 37.5 -120
Young/Dimitrov Over 33.5 -125
Hercog -120
Hercog 2-0 +195
Date-Krumm +1.5 Sets +295
Date Krumm +6.5 +100
Cirstea/Morita +325
Goerges/Stosur -120
Brianti/Mayr +850
.5u
Blake +865
Date Krumm +1150
Panova +500
Larriere +980
My POD today is a parlay... I hate parlays, but I think this one is solid... Turnsonov is in a career freefall... He looked terrible against Triocki last week and it was his first event since the Aussie open... I understand why he is here... Pick up a check... I dont think he believes he can win this match... Soeda has always been talented but has lived ont he challenger tour... He belongs right here, in majors with clean first round wins... He is playing well this season and I see a very neat and tidy win for him... Backing gasquet is always scary but he has been in great form and should win his match clean against Zopp who lives primarily on fasters courts... Identical siuation with Berlocq... He is a pure clay courter who is playing some great tennis... there is some concern that the court might be playing even faster tomorrow... but I still think Berlocq should be fine.... But overall this was a bad play and I would never recommend doing this but I feel confident... Hopefully there is no Nalbandian type situation on day #3
GL ALL, all plays are in but the parlay... wanted to cap and bet before I drank too much...
0
DAY #3
5u (POD)
Soeda ML + Berlocq ML + Gasquet ML + Kvitova ML + Ferrer ML + Murray ML + Woz ML +100, +105, +100, -115r, -125b
2u
Gasquet 3-0 -175
Bolleli +11.5 -125
Berlocq 3-0 +130
Ferrer -10.5, -11 -125, +115
Ferrer Under 25.5 -110
1u
Soeda -4.5 -125
Soeda 3-0 +195
Schwank/Karlovic Over 37.5 -120
Young/Dimitrov Over 33.5 -125
Hercog -120
Hercog 2-0 +195
Date-Krumm +1.5 Sets +295
Date Krumm +6.5 +100
Cirstea/Morita +325
Goerges/Stosur -120
Brianti/Mayr +850
.5u
Blake +865
Date Krumm +1150
Panova +500
Larriere +980
My POD today is a parlay... I hate parlays, but I think this one is solid... Turnsonov is in a career freefall... He looked terrible against Triocki last week and it was his first event since the Aussie open... I understand why he is here... Pick up a check... I dont think he believes he can win this match... Soeda has always been talented but has lived ont he challenger tour... He belongs right here, in majors with clean first round wins... He is playing well this season and I see a very neat and tidy win for him... Backing gasquet is always scary but he has been in great form and should win his match clean against Zopp who lives primarily on fasters courts... Identical siuation with Berlocq... He is a pure clay courter who is playing some great tennis... there is some concern that the court might be playing even faster tomorrow... but I still think Berlocq should be fine.... But overall this was a bad play and I would never recommend doing this but I feel confident... Hopefully there is no Nalbandian type situation on day #3
GL ALL, all plays are in but the parlay... wanted to cap and bet before I drank too much...
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GO SOEDA !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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