Anyone else think zverev odds are ridiculous?

I’ll preface by saying: i actually bombed nadal to win over joker, but in fairness I didn’t post, so there is that  

Zverev is playing extremely well. I mean so wasn’t Alcaraz, and he couldn’t top Zverev. Zverev hits the ball to the opposite side of the court every time dictating most points. If Alcaraz had huge trouble running side to side, how will Nadal do better? Zverev has a deadly first serve, and he has been attacking the net a lot lately after his serve and picking a lot of points up on the next volley.

The only main counterguements against zverev are these: 1- Nadal’s top spin, power, and accuracy will give zverev trouble and won’t let zverev dictate points because he will just have to hit it any way he can. The other is 2- that zverev has mentality issues and will break down. Given his extreme composure against Alcaraz, I don’t see either counter argument coming to fruition.

This should easily be high pressure early for Nadal who has been showing better stamina, but he is going to run out of gas soon. I think the odds are way inflated like prime mayweather or Roy Jones boxing fights because the overwhelming majority of bets Is coming in on them, granted it worked for mayweather who never had stamina issues, but guess what? Nadal does have stamina issues  

if nadal doesn’t win the 1st set, he is in major trouble, because clawing out of a hole will be VERY difficult for him.

Could be wrong, but let’s see.
as always, good luck both sides

Great analysis. Best of luck on whatever you play.

Probably others thinking the same because the odds have certainly moved in Zverev’s direction. Zverev winning last 3/4 vs Nadal too may have swayed that as well. I like Nadal today he will be ready, 

Nice first break. Nadal looks off. I could really see it at the end of the joker match, even though joker was breaking down too. If you’ve watched nadal lately, likely vs shapapvlov you know he completely breaks down. That’s what happens with heavier guys / bigger servers. Look what happened to jiri Vesely a few weeks ago after completely outclassing joker. When he got to the finals against rublev he was just off

Wow what a 1st set.

Nadal didn’t look too off to me I think it’s just the humid conditions. Zverev came out playing like a rocket especially those first two games. 

I almost mentioned this earlier but Zverev has been double faulting quite a bit this past month and that may end up biting him in the ass today. Three double faults so far in first set I think. 

Do you think this goes over 3 sets after the zverev meltdown? Zverev has a weak mind. I took the over 3 sets but after that collapse I don't see how he can recover.

@The_Closer

 i have that too, Nadal gonna cruise now

Already down a break, I would say Sasha is toast.. 

3 doublefaults in a game...

Wow such a long set, they must be playing at a high level.

Or equally shit. Idk how you make a case to go live on either