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François Open 2014 w/ short reasoning

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Posted: #101
Quote Originally Posted by lsu-saints4ever:

Easterbunny Thanks man. .. honestly no I didn't know. .I do my best on instinct based on a variety of factors... One of which is not checking to see if she had a stomach virus... I've heard stuff like that so many times and lost $ by backing out that I don't let that affect my decision..an injury? Sure..A virus? Nah..A book that cancels if match isn't complete usually covers that type of incident as well

I read this here on covers
QUOTE Originally Posted by sparty444:

I will bet the line movement in the Petkovic match... if a large one occurs.  She is struggling with a stomach virus and if something is not right I would expect this to move towards evens. And if she is fine I think you could see -200
 
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Posted: #102
That's the only match for tomorrow I feel really really good about. .. Now for fun Here's A Parlay That I'm NOT guaranteeing or including in my record ...
 
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by easterbunny2014:


I read this here on covers
QUOTE Originally Posted by sparty444:

I will bet the line movement in the Petkovic match... if a large one occurs.  She is struggling with a stomach virus and if something is not right I would expect this to move towards evens. And if she is fine I think you could see -200

That's a smart observation actually let's hope it moves to -200 though sit and wait
 
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Posted: #104
I came on to look for hot tennis picks but u just convinced me to cash out I started off in late March with $25 and have reached a little over $5K.

I do cash out every month to reward myself but have notice I've been betting much more often and bigger with a bigger bankroll ....as for today it started with a 6 team tennis parlay... berdych, bouchard, raonic, navarro , joker and shrapova turned $100 ish Into a $120 winning and went to what I know best which is baseball and turned it into a grand in bases today after hitting over 15+ bets ...long story short I also bet props like will there be score in the first, TT....Will it go OT etc..... (and here I am trying to start with tennis all over again ) but after reading your post I will tread lightly as it's another reminder to slow my roll and enjoy my winnings

Will play small till the 6th till my next cash out (w/o fees)
 
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Posted: #105
With less selection on the board today I will try to pick out the dogs with a few favs ....first 2 dog that jumps at me is S.Stephens line open at +330 is now down to +295....thoughts on this dog?

Other 2 are Errani and Safarova.... As errani opened at even odds now is -110 and Safarova open at +120 it's now +135.....they did the same thing last night with sum heavy favs which threw me off a little which resulted me to hedge a little but final results were no different then what I predicted, the o my difference today is they are happening to the dogs and not the favs.....hum....what to do,?
 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by BayAreaBeast:

I came on to look for hot tennis picks but u just convinced me to cash out I started off in late March with $25 and have reached a little over $5K.

I do cash out every month to reward myself but have notice I've been betting much more often and bigger with a bigger bankroll ....as for today it started with a 6 team tennis parlay... berdych, bouchard, raonic, navarro , joker and shrapova turned $100 ish Into a $120 winning and went to what I know best which is baseball and turned it into a grand in bases today after hitting over 15+ bets ...long story short I also bet props like will there be score in the first, TT....Will it go OT etc..... (and here I am trying to start with tennis all over again ) but after reading your post I will tread lightly as it's another reminder to slow my roll and enjoy my winnings

Will play small till the 6th till my next cash out (w/o fees)

Good thinking my man easier said than done especially when it comes fast and easy. .u feel invincible right? I know I do..just pick your plays wisely I wish I could I would be rich

Don't let that line movement sway you. .. More time than not you will make more cuz remember the books always win right? +130 instead of +110? Perfect!
 
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Posted: #107
Yes my best dog pick is Stephens for sure... Also on instinct (which is usually right) I liked safarova...erranii is tough Honestly I am thinking about making the over an official pick they are due for a 3 setter
 
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Posted: #108
Any early plays that you like for tomorrow Isu-saint?
 
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Posted: #109
1st instinct GGL but the way my mind works I'm gonna go opposite on this parlay to say 'we'll if I would've won in hockey today I would've taken GGL' SO if he loses I will feel better about losing hockey. .I know it's f ed up thinking but it's the only way I can feel Better about my bs Loses today!!
 
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Posted: #110
And over in the errani Match

 
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Posted: #111
But my only official pick is. Petkovic sorry.. Like a few tomorrow
 
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Posted: #112
Hey Isu-Saint and BayAreaBeast, I tried to send each of you a private message but I was required to send a "friend request" first.  Just a heads-up...  
 
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Posted: #113
FUKKK U PETOVIC......!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #114
Looks like you didn't give the nail biter alert
 
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Posted: #115
Looks like you didn't give the nail biter alert
 
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Posted: #116
YEEESSS

GOD SAKE

Almost had a heart-attack but its done!

Another win fuuuck yeah!
 
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Posted: #117
PETKOVIC
 
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Posted: #118
Keep it up! You're on fire
 
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Posted: #119
GOOD NITE
 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by TooHigh2WonderWhy:

Keep it up! You're on fire
 
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Posted: #121
Wow, I have to say...I was sweating that match from beginning to end.  Thanks for sharing the pick Isu-saint!
 
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Posted: #122
Since you were talking about money management I thought I would chime in. If you bet 2.2% of your roll every time you mathematically will have to go on a historical bad beat run to lie your roll
 
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Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by TooHigh2WonderWhy:

Since you were talking about money management I thought I would chime in. If you bet 2.2% of your roll every time you mathematically will have to go on a historical bad beat run to lie your roll

The problem with only betting 2.2% of your roll is that it's not as exciting! LOL
 
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Posted: #124

The problem with only betting 2.2% of your roll is that it's not as exciting! LOL
[/Quote]
 
 
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Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by Jarmann:


The problem with only betting 2.2% of your roll is that it's not as exciting! LOL

Like a Heroin addict taking half a vicodin
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