How can anyone possibly bet against Nadal at this point?

Question

I&#x27;m new to betting on tennis but am 5-0 so far in the Aussie (not to brag)!Nadal is playing at the top of his game right now.  Many (myself not included) were concerned about his big bad blister when he played Federer.  Clearly, it had zero affect.  Unless Rafa is forced to retire or just gives up, I can&#x27;t see him losing.  Rafa is -565 at my book and I&#x27;m looking for better options that laying that hefty price.  Keep in mind that:- Nadal is a perfect 12-0 in head-to-head meetings with Wawrinka.- Nadal has yet to drop a set (26-0) in those 12 matchups.No way you look at it, it&#x27;s hard to bet against Rafa based on those stats alone.  Your thoughts please....Good Luck

EricLinny · Answer

I&#x27;m new to betting on tennis but am 5-0 so far in the Aussie (not to brag)!Nadal is playing at the top of his game right now.  Many (myself not included) were concerned about his big bad blister when he played Federer.  Clearly, it had zero affect.  Unless Rafa is forced to retire or just gives up, I can&#x27;t see him losing.  Rafa is -565 at my book and I&#x27;m looking for better options that laying that hefty price.  Keep in mind that:- Nadal is a perfect 12-0 in head-to-head meetings with Wawrinka.- Nadal has yet to drop a set (26-0) in those 12 matchups.No way you look at it, it&#x27;s hard to bet against Rafa based on those stats alone.  Your thoughts please....Good Luck

Howdoiplayxx · Answer

not arguing nadal is 12-0 against him, but lets be real here....the STANimal that we see now is NOTHING compared to what he used to be....

rafa vs stan last year rafa won 7-6 7-6....if you lay -565 on someone who won in 2 close tiebreaking sets you are nuts

Jailbait7127 · Answer

no way in hell he will lose, but not sure if he ll 3-0 stan i think itll be 3-1 TOPS.. hes at another level than stan.... hefty price to pay in order to win some $ tho....

examine · Answer

do it!!&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;put 5k to win 1, its like finding money in the street!!&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;lol

xibeleli · Answer

its a lock but federer was more of a lock with much more better odds...................

Mack05 · Answer

The Li Na rafa double before the semis was &#x2B;300. I unloaded on it. That was simply a license to print money. Betting on Nadal now is pointless. No value..he WILL win but to 565 to make 100? Come on..

Coverdeeznutz · Answer

why doesnt anyone bet on rafa 3-0&#x2B;115or 3-1 &#x2B;260seems like nice bets here

DanksyMouse · Answer

because those are bad bets... Everyone is well aware of the H2H stats between these two. But Wawrinka is MUCH improved compared to years past. Nadal is playing well, but nowhere near 100% healthy.. Those bets are plus money for a reason. Books are begging for action on those. Don&#x27;t give it to them.

Coverdeeznutz · Answer

has to go 5 sets or lose SU to lose money with thosenever won a set and its the finals hmm

rangerz2478 · Answer

You realize by doing both bets and equaling payouts you are essentially laying -300 one of them happen? Right?

rzagza · Answer

Wouldnt expect anything less than ignorance from you.  Wawa has not been imported from Mars since the 2013 season.  He&#x27;s the same guy he was last yr.  Plays the same game.  So he finally beats Novak in 5 after losing to him twice in 5 last yr and now he&#x27;s some machine?  Errm no.  He played Nadal 4 times last yr.  He lost all 9 sets contested.People are acting like Nadal hasnt played Stan in 3 yrs or something.  Stop the nonsense.  There&#x27;s only 1 winner here.

Coverdeeznutz · Answer

well thats why its gambling and better to just pick one or the other at &#x2B;&#x2B;&#x2B;oddswhen both outcomes are the most extremely likely

rzagza · Answer

Nadal played his BEST match of the tournament, by far, in his last match.  I&#x27;d say he appeared healthier than he has the whole tournament.  Wawa may have a better serve than Fed now, but Fed has more variety and they both have that one handed backhand that Nadal just feasts on with those high top spin balls deep into the corners that routinely put him into position to take control of points.

DanksyMouse · Answer

He&#x27;s coming off a great match, which is why I suspect we are seeing an inflated line. Did you watch the earlier matches? He wasn&#x27;t looking so hot then...Fed&#x27;s "variety" doesn&#x27;t work nearly as well against mobile players like Nadal. We saw what happened. A declining Fed isn&#x27;t a very good barometer considering Wawrinka is playing the tennis of his life..

Rostos · Answer

This bettor agrees with the OP&#xD;&#xA;Tennis: One punter thinks @RafaelNadal will win his 2nd #AusOpen with $300,000 at $1.22 @tabcomau

rzagza · Answer

I dont think the line is inflated. I think it should be even larger. Wawrinka is a good player but he likes PACE. He likes the ball flat and hard. Nadal knows what Wawrinka doesnt like, which is why he's 26-26 in sets contested. He throws him intermittent junk and high balls with lots of spin mixed in with hard stuff. Thats not Novak's game. Novak is great but he plays into Stan's wheelhouse hitting everything flat.

FYI, Nadal was -750 in both matches vs Stan last yr on hards. And those were best of 3! So no, the line is not inflated at all.

Professional1 · Answer

Stanimal with the break

kmoney85 · Answer

yup... same old Stan..

rod_steel · Answer

Wawrinka feeding off the crowd support. Impressive start!!

PeterTheBeaver · Answer

Stan on fire

Professional1 · Answer

Stanimal backhand so much better than federror

DanksyMouse · Answer

Think it is the age showing. Fed is only 32, but considering how much faster and stronger players are these days, even the slightest declines in physical ability are exposed. Stanimal is enjoying his prime at 28.

Professional1 · Answer

This ain&#39;t fair call the police

How can anyone possibly bet against Nadal at this point?

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