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íWeek #5

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Posted: #51
Barzo/Robinson to beat Madcur/Rossi (Pereira 10k WD)@2.00, bet365, 5/10

We have an extremely focused Barzo and a good athletic junior in Robinson, who I check ed had some very nice wins in doubles in juniors. The line was 2.37 so we lost some value but we will take this even at pick'em. Better form and the inflated ranking of Rossi and Madcur made them a favorite but in reality its the younger team that has a better chance here. Match starts in 35 mins. GL!
 
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Posted: #52
actually it starts in 10 mins
 
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Posted: #53
what about goffin next match has a dog?
 
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Posted: #54
yesterday"s recap: 2 losses and 1 win
pending bet is Goffin to win the QF match, for 2.8, lets get this!

updated bankroll: 167.85

Lilla Barzo to beat Andrea Koch-Benvenuto (Pereira 10k)@2.00, bet365, 5/10

Barzo is on her way to get her first title. She has blanked Lucero in the 2nd set, which is noticable. Koch-Benvenuto is an experienced player, but it seems like Barzo has a good chance. I like the bet the most b/c her coach is with her and that rarely happens. Usually her coach stays at home, with his academy and never travels with her. Now this time different and also that can result in a better showing. After her doubles loss Lilla is only focused on singles now, where she has a chance to make the small upset. Koch lost to players like Giangreco-Campiz, Blanco, Brito and I rate this week's Barzo just as good as these players. GL!
 
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Posted: #55
goffin def a good bet whatever Raonic, I dont believe in him. I have him to win the QF but I did place another bet on him as well. Also Coric will rally with Nadal, imo. Somuch talent for this guy, this is the match of his life and he will be in top10 for sure one day. Could be a close one for a good handicap betting. 
 
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Posted: #56
Goffin to win 3rd quarter in ATP Basel for 2.8, 5/10, WON, a thriller from teh beginning til the end, but a very nice future bet with lotsa value
Lilla Barzo to beat Andrea Koch-Benvenuto (Pereira 10k)@2.00, bet365, 5/10, LOST 16 16... huh. tough loss and I cant believe Barzo was healthy here.... whatever moving on.

updated bankroll: +171,85

Riko Sawayanagi to beat Shuko Aoyama (Hamamatsu 25k)@2.25, bet365, 5/10


Riko playing very nice here beating 3 opponents straight sets, including Hibino who I rate very high. She was on fire last week as well, only losing to Maria who won the tournament later. She also beat De Vroome, easily. Aoyama, on the other hand won against De Vroome yesterday but how? De Vroome totaled 25 double faults. She played 16 service games, so thats like 1.5 df a game, on carpet, where your serve is extra important. In other words, Aoyama got away with a win yesterdayI think, while she was broken 9 times all match, compared to Riko's 2 breaks of her serve. I give all small angles to Riko here, who also has a big potential, so her ranking not quite show how good she is. Aoyama more of a soubles specialist, wont be this lucky today, as she was against De Vroome. GL!

Monique Adamczak to beat Rebecca Peterson (Perth 25k)@2.5, bet365, 4/10

Adamczak suzrprised me with a very focused and easy effort against Allgurin. She also is playing better and better since Sept. She has beaten Sawayanagi (who is in an upbeat right now) Kan, Soylu, Lu. Mrdeza and now playing i front of home fans, she is playing peterson who is as good as the players I listed. I dont see why Adamczak could not come with another solid effort here. At this price especially! GL!
 
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Posted: #57

goffin vs coric ? not much value on goffin but there his on coric who delivered a sick 1st set ( and great match ) against nadal. But I will admit nadal didn't seem his usual self, who do you think takes it and his there value in coric? I put money on both to win the tourney earlier this week so either way I have a shot in the finals but coric gave me a way better odds I got @62,72 but only @16 on goffin.. so I am hoping coric but I doubt it. what do you think?

 
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Posted: #58
I actual had Coric today ML & +1.5 sets so I watched the whole match & while Coric did play good, Nadal was awful. 14 winners to 37 errors & a bunch of just complete mis hits from him. 
I was a bit surprised at how much of a fav Goffin opened at. I was hoping to get  -3 games or so -120 or less, but that's not going to happen so its a no play for me. Just my 2 cents anyway. 
 
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Posted: #59
When is that Monique match scheduled for? I cant find it on the schedule nor do i see odds for it. 
 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by MMAwizard:

goffin vs coric ? not much value on goffin but there his on coric who delivered a sick 1st set ( and great match ) against nadal. But I will admit nadal didn't seem his usual self, who do you think takes it and his there value in coric? I put money on both to win the tourney earlier this week so either way I have a shot in the finals but coric gave me a way better odds I got @62,72 but only @16 on goffin.. so I am hoping coric but I doubt it. what do you think?


MMA! I believe Nadal was playing his worst tennis before a surgery, mentally totally disoriented, we never see Rafa like this. Even on this surface he hates, from experience and speed, he should have beaten Coric. Its another story how Coric kept composure and served Rafa out when he needed. Aces and greatly picked wide serves to his backhand. Trust me I was on Coric, I know and the stupid it sounds, I was not even worried. THis shows he is ready. But not as ready as GOffin. Come on, Goffin will beat him in almost every category here. I dont think Coric has a chance. And especially there must be a letdown spot after beating Rafa, you cannot walk around with the same thoughts, he must be feeling what the darn. Goffin was overpowered by Raonic but Milos made far too many mistakes and at the end Goffin was able to return some of his serves and it was all done. SHould have been a 2 setter if there is no 20 mins lights out break in the first set. So I backed both yesterday, but I think Coric does not have the weapons yet to overcome Goffin. It should be Goffin - Federer and the belgian will have his chance, trust me.
 
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Posted: #61

ERIC!!! GOod man, I will post my winning ticket below, at this time Coric was up 30 or something in the first. Winning against Rafa is a special feeling, does not happen often!!! I used GOffin for some parlay. 

Bet Confirmation  - QF9973124810F  - Flash   Time of bet:  24/10/2014 19:07:21Print
1Borna CoricBorna Coric v Rafael Nadal
(Match Winner)		24/10/2014None2.75Won
Stake:  59,000.00   Returns:  162,250.00  


[/Quote]

 
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Posted: #62
Eric I did as well at 2.75 when he was leading 3-0. Good man!!! Its tough to win against Rafa and its always a special one!!! 
Monique lost hope you did not find it, too tired at the end I guess. Sawayanagi was spot on, small plus....
 
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Posted: #63
Thanks to you both for your thoughts, I was more hoping because of the bigger odds implied, than think he had a realistic good shot.Either way Ufc 179 his this weekend so my bankroll sould increase anyway. gl
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by Shambata:

Eric I did as well at 2.75 when he was leading 3-0. Good man!!! Its tough to win against Rafa and its always a special one!!! 
Monique lost hope you did not find it, too tired at the end I guess. Sawayanagi was spot on, small plus....
 

It finally appeared about 15 mins before the match was scheduled to start lol. No biggie your still up good for the week despite some tough losses.  

Im more upset about my Woz loss this morning. Maybe the best WTA match ive ever seen. That was a brutal loss for Woz, dont she could have played much better & still couldn't get by Serena 
 
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Posted: #65
Goffin vs Federer. I think Federer his too good even for an''on form'' goffin, but please convince me otherwise.
 
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Posted: #66
Riko Sawayanagi to beat Shuko Aoyama (Hamamatsu 25k)@2.25, bet365, 5/10 WON
Monique Adamczak to beat Rebecca Peterson (Perth 25k)@2.5, bet365, 4/10 LOST

updated bankroll: +174,1u

Sunday's card:

David Goffin +4.5 games vs Roger Federer (ATP Basel final)@1.8, bet365, 5/10

I really think this is gonna be an epic match. I think Goffin has showed during this 3 months period (I had bet on him every single week, singles, but mostly parlays) that he is capable. Now pressure is off of him really and he can play the genius way he can against Roger. I believe this is a very close match for obvious reasons, as Roger is not playing the best Roger this tournament that I have ever seen. I believe Goffin can win this as well and also that it can go to 3 sets. For the sake of the win here, I go with the hc option where 46 46 is also a winner! GL!

Jil Belen Teichmann to beat Polina Leykina (Sharm 10k final)@1.83, bet365, 5/10

Teichmann top10 junior lefty hard court player. She dismissed Zakaryuk in the semis, and I rate her quite high, sd well as she has dismissed every opponent with ease, only 3setter against Cadar, who is undoubtably a tough opponent. Leykina on the other hand was not that improessive for me, when she played a 3 setter against Dubska even, so i dont think her form is that high either. Give me the hungry junior in better form with less pressure to play in a final. Also Teichmann did have many wins similar or better players than Leykina. GL!

Sherazad Reix to beat Jesika Maleckova (Antalya 10k final)@1.83, bet365, 5/10

Reix appears to be the hotter player here, she is also more of a hard court specialist than Maleckova, who grew up on clay. She is on a roll this tournament as well, just like her opponent, but raelly she had some tougher opponents, like Von Deichmann(336 wta) winner of last week's tournament, who she dismissed 62 60 yesterday. I believe her form is perfect to back her here in a final against a good talented young player, who will give her a fight but thats all. GL!

 
 
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Posted: #67
Gotta go with Goff in too
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