Tennis(Wimbledon)

2-1 +3

(YTD 102-118 +19.83)

Big Kahunas Friday
3* Djokovic 3-0 -154
3* Murray -109

Gl

The line, to me, is practically begging for action on the 7 time Wimbledon champ simply due to him being named Federer and being at plus money. How could you not right?

Is Federer really in very good form though? Sure he's won 10 in a row but the list of players...not a lot of quality grass courters there. Murray's last 10? Much more impressive to me and he's handed out some vicious beatdown sets on similar opponents. Some will argue that's sports math and you can't compare A vs B vs C but I've seen a majority of those matches from both and there was another gear in Murray's game.
He's also only lost to 1 player this season since February!
I would call that very good form.

The tv pundits can talk about Edberg's impact and what he's added to help Federer's game but the Swiss maestro just doesn't have the stamina like he used to and he's lost some pop on his groundies which is especially noticeable in longer rallies against the top guns on tour.
I'm also weary of his cupcake draw and being so untested coming into this one. There's the expression about working your work through the draw and raising your level as the tournament progresses; Federer's still in low gear due to his opposition while Murray's already ramped up thanks to Karlovic and a feisty performance from Pospisil. This is not the type of match you want to play catch up in.
The only saving grace for Federer would be if he has an immaculate serving day. That's his main weapon now and it's a very determining factor into how successful he'll be against top flight opponents. He could get away with a mediocre serving day before due to his outstanding groundstrokes but those have slowly eroded with time and aren't as dangerous as they once were. They're still potent but he's losing more and more baseline rallies to weaker opponents than in the past. Murray's the 2nd best returner on the planet right now so he'll be applying plenty of pressure to start the rallies and will be pouncing on any serves he can.

Will this be tight? Most likely. Murray's second serve is still his weak link and he's still prone to a lack of aggression but Federer's chances at a slam are long gone and he'll wilt the deeper this match goes.

Murray's physicality to prevail in 4 or 5 sets

have to agree on Murray. 

Agree with Tuco on joker and with Neg on Murray so only the latter play for me. Great insight from all....

Hey N3g,

Great job that last few days. Let's hope Andy can come through for us.

Just out of curiosity what other sports do you like to wager on? Do you post your plays on Covers for different sports?

I do NFL , NHL, and MMA as well Coach. Rarely post those anywhere though. Tennis is my first passion so I focus on that most of the year and share what I can.



Damn, how good was Roger? Immaculate serving day happened and he backed it up with unreal groundstrokes.
Fed shut me up good.

Passive Murray just couldn't help but show up against that display and he played well for about 80% of the match too. Really high quality from both but Federer was pure dynamite today.

1-1 -0.27

(YTD 103-119 +19.56)

Going over the ladies final now. Will post a mens final pick and maybe a bonus doubles play.

As much as a love roger, I'm torn a bit here... With roger demolishing Murray, the odds on djoker will be a lot less.  Might be a good spot with everyone soon to be riding roger. I already have a bet on djoker (before jus match with Gasquet) to win title so I either leave it or add $$ on roger.  I could even add more on djoker who I feel will obviously challenge Feds more. Fed is an unbelievable front runner, if djoker can even get in Rogers head a bit by breaking his serve then total different match. Andy only had 1 break point the whole match 

Sat
2* Mirza/Hingis + Serena/Muguruza over 20 +177

odds on Djokovic someone?  -300 range i guess?

that would be -135 at my book!!!

lol i was waaaaay offf....-140 NOLE WTF?

Pound NOLE IMHO guys....Nole is in ROgers head, he will break him mentally....just watch and see.

crazy line begging Nole action. I think Roger's performance today got the line inflated abit

roger hasnt faced many b.p. entire tourney and only broken once entire tourney....

nice comeback from the ladies

1-0 +0.89

(YTD 104-119 +20.45)

Sunday
2* Federer/Djokovic over 44 -105

Want to see No1e use the backhand up the line and come to net off that if he's willing to get up there. Serve as always will be huge here on grass and Fed will be tested finally I'm thinking.

Respect Fed Express to the nth degree, but if he wins this tomorrow, it might be most amazing thing I have seen in tennis since Krajicek beat Pete (Strictly due to Fed's age). 

Couple of things to factor tomorrow with the potential rain delays and the probability of the roof eventually closing. Not sure if they'll close it right away based on the weather reports or let them get in 30-40 mins of play in 2-3 hours before doing it.

I think Fed has to get it done in 4 sets or less cause I can't see him winning in that 5th set. Hope he continues the same level he brought against Murray just to see how Djokovic responds.

hi guys...my thoughts are if fed plays and serves like he did vs murray, then he will win..his best chance of winning a major comes on the grass at wimbledon..murray played well and federer made him look very average..joker is having a sick year but isn't playing as offensive as fed..should be a great match, hopefully it matches last year's 5 set epic

i see total aces first set 7.5 @-110 i think the Over is a good bet, huh? They will start with those high speed serves when they are rested imo.

i see a 7-6 first set so in 13 games only 7 aces is a bit low.

Almost a push in that 4th set

1-0 +2

20-19 +14.99 for the tourney 

(YTD 105-119 +22.45)

nice tour n3, great bounce back from RG

let's not mention clay again until next year