My one tip for you who think you can make money at tennis capping is this:
Learn to love the sport. People tend to do things well if they enjoy doing it . The more you like the sport, the more you'll get out of it, the more you'll understand it and the better your instincts will be in making your selections. There is a science and a statistics sheet to read but tennis isn't unlike capping any other sport. You make your picks with your head, but you bet on your gut.
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My one tip for you who think you can make money at tennis capping is this:
Learn to love the sport. People tend to do things well if they enjoy doing it . The more you like the sport, the more you'll get out of it, the more you'll understand it and the better your instincts will be in making your selections. There is a science and a statistics sheet to read but tennis isn't unlike capping any other sport. You make your picks with your head, but you bet on your gut.
A Heavy Favorite in Hockey/Baseball ML -235 A Heavy Favorite in Soccer ML -450 A Heavy Favorite in Basketball/Football ML -900 A Heavy Favorite in Tennis: -5000
There's no value in betting on Roger Federer to beat Daniel Brands in the 1st round of Wimboldeon since you'll win $20 on a $1000 bet and there is a slim chance you'll lose, (he lost to Mario Ancic at Wimboldeon in first round 2002 after beating Sampras the year before!)
A well know hard court player favored to win at -300 over a clay court player doggged at +225, in an indoor hard court contest is a good bet to parlay with another similar match. I started out parlaying these kinds of lines and still do well with them.
Send a personal Message to Professional 1. This guy knows shit but he keeps it a secret. See if you can buy it out of him.
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Reading the lines:
A Heavy Favorite in Hockey/Baseball ML -235 A Heavy Favorite in Soccer ML -450 A Heavy Favorite in Basketball/Football ML -900 A Heavy Favorite in Tennis: -5000
There's no value in betting on Roger Federer to beat Daniel Brands in the 1st round of Wimboldeon since you'll win $20 on a $1000 bet and there is a slim chance you'll lose, (he lost to Mario Ancic at Wimboldeon in first round 2002 after beating Sampras the year before!)
A well know hard court player favored to win at -300 over a clay court player doggged at +225, in an indoor hard court contest is a good bet to parlay with another similar match. I started out parlaying these kinds of lines and still do well with them.
Send a personal Message to Professional 1. This guy knows shit but he keeps it a secret. See if you can buy it out of him.
Send a personal Message to Professional 1. This guy knows shit but he keeps it a secret. See if you can buy it out of him.
I read this at first to basically mean that he has some kind of underground info the rest of us aren't privy to. I think you meant 'he knows HIS shit'. And yes, he knows his shit.
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Quote Originally Posted by AverageAllstar:
Send a personal Message to Professional 1. This guy knows shit but he keeps it a secret. See if you can buy it out of him.
I read this at first to basically mean that he has some kind of underground info the rest of us aren't privy to. I think you meant 'he knows HIS shit'. And yes, he knows his shit.
A line of 22.5 games total is the books way of telling you they think the match has a good probability to go three sets.
HOWEVER, betting grand slams are VERY VERY tricky because now all men's matches are 3/5 sets,,,so the numbers can be a bit confusing, seeing #'s in the 30's
I'll be referring to many of Professional1's posted lines for overs as a good reference as to whats the typical number a seasoned Grand slam over/under bettor is accustomed to.
I try to find 3 favs in early rounds in the -275/-300 range who I strongly feel the matchup favors and parlay them money line,,,usually giving me around +150 odds
I find betting spreads are truly too hard to beat long term in grand slams because you can't predict when a player gives up in one set and takes a 60 or 61 beating where he's being clearly dominated only to conserve energy for upcoming sets.
Biggest issues I see novice tennis bettors will have is to adjust to new sets of lines and #'s based on three out of five set format
Thanks for the information.
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Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
A line of 22.5 games total is the books way of telling you they think the match has a good probability to go three sets.
HOWEVER, betting grand slams are VERY VERY tricky because now all men's matches are 3/5 sets,,,so the numbers can be a bit confusing, seeing #'s in the 30's
I'll be referring to many of Professional1's posted lines for overs as a good reference as to whats the typical number a seasoned Grand slam over/under bettor is accustomed to.
I try to find 3 favs in early rounds in the -275/-300 range who I strongly feel the matchup favors and parlay them money line,,,usually giving me around +150 odds
I find betting spreads are truly too hard to beat long term in grand slams because you can't predict when a player gives up in one set and takes a 60 or 61 beating where he's being clearly dominated only to conserve energy for upcoming sets.
Biggest issues I see novice tennis bettors will have is to adjust to new sets of lines and #'s based on three out of five set format
I fades slumping players ! Its a lot easier than picking a winner from 2 good , hot players ! Always check for lines that are still up while a match has started, trust me its will worth your time. I ve won some hefty amount after the match has ended , no bullcrap here, smaller books cannot keep up with schedule changes and they paid me dearly dearly . Oh yeah sometimes i get my ass whooped
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I fades slumping players ! Its a lot easier than picking a winner from 2 good , hot players ! Always check for lines that are still up while a match has started, trust me its will worth your time. I ve won some hefty amount after the match has ended , no bullcrap here, smaller books cannot keep up with schedule changes and they paid me dearly dearly . Oh yeah sometimes i get my ass whooped
My last few days betting history: I always ride the hot hand until they reach the Final match. I never bet on the final match.
25/05/2012 18:38 ATP Open de Nice - B Baker WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000196/D
25/05/2012 16:00 ITF Brescia - A-K Schmiedlova WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000195/D
25/05/2012 03:26 ATP Open de Nice - B Baker WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000194/D
24/05/2012 19:01 ITF Brescia - A-K Schmiedlova WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000193/D
23/05/2012 23:49 ATP Open de Nice - B Baker WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000192/D
23/05/2012 16:03 ITF Brescia - A-K Schmiedlova WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000191/D
23/05/2012 00:20 WTA Strasbourg - A Cornet WON
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My last few days betting history: I always ride the hot hand until they reach the Final match. I never bet on the final match.
25/05/2012 18:38 ATP Open de Nice - B Baker WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000196/D
25/05/2012 16:00 ITF Brescia - A-K Schmiedlova WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000195/D
25/05/2012 03:26 ATP Open de Nice - B Baker WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000194/D
24/05/2012 19:01 ITF Brescia - A-K Schmiedlova WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000193/D
23/05/2012 23:49 ATP Open de Nice - B Baker WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000192/D
23/05/2012 16:03 ITF Brescia - A-K Schmiedlova WON
Receipt #: O/0984425/0000191/D
23/05/2012 00:20 WTA Strasbourg - A Cornet WON
Look into the numbers. Look HARD. By this, I don't mean to see a player has a 3-0 H2H against an opponent and is therefore a sure thing to make it 4-0. In many instances, these numbers can be skewed by;
a) Retirements
b) Old players having a good record over modern stars after they beat them as kids
c) Surfaces - Llodra on clay is a different prospect to Llodra on an indoor hardcourt
I also like to note how tight previous encounters have been. Did they go the maximum number of sets? Were the sets close? Did they play any tiebreaks? This is particularly useful when considering over/under betting. Have past matches been routs, or have they been grinds to the bitter end?
I echo the sentiment expressed earlier about fading players on a losing streak. Tennis is one of the most mentally exhausting sports there is. Unlike team sports, it's just you out there on court. Sure, you have a coach and a psychologist etc etc. but when push comes to shove, it's Player A vs Player B. It can be a lonely and unforgiving pursuit! Look for streaks - both hot and cold.
I also agree with the member who said never to play handicaps. These markets work for a number of people, but I've never gone near them and won't ever do so. Assume you back Player A +2.5 and they win the match 7-6 1-6 7-6. I've seen it happen! One bad set, and you're done. It's too much of a crapshoot.
Finally (and speaking of crapshoots), I generally avoid the WTA. That's a good way to kiss goodbye to your money over time.
Look into the numbers. Look HARD. By this, I don't mean to see a player has a 3-0 H2H against an opponent and is therefore a sure thing to make it 4-0. In many instances, these numbers can be skewed by;
a) Retirements
b) Old players having a good record over modern stars after they beat them as kids
c) Surfaces - Llodra on clay is a different prospect to Llodra on an indoor hardcourt
I also like to note how tight previous encounters have been. Did they go the maximum number of sets? Were the sets close? Did they play any tiebreaks? This is particularly useful when considering over/under betting. Have past matches been routs, or have they been grinds to the bitter end?
I echo the sentiment expressed earlier about fading players on a losing streak. Tennis is one of the most mentally exhausting sports there is. Unlike team sports, it's just you out there on court. Sure, you have a coach and a psychologist etc etc. but when push comes to shove, it's Player A vs Player B. It can be a lonely and unforgiving pursuit! Look for streaks - both hot and cold.
I also agree with the member who said never to play handicaps. These markets work for a number of people, but I've never gone near them and won't ever do so. Assume you back Player A +2.5 and they win the match 7-6 1-6 7-6. I've seen it happen! One bad set, and you're done. It's too much of a crapshoot.
Finally (and speaking of crapshoots), I generally avoid the WTA. That's a good way to kiss goodbye to your money over time.
If possible, bet In-play. It allows you to see the match and the way the players are motivated to win, especially in the smaller tournaments or matches before Grand Slams. For instance, Gulbis and Bolelli beat Murray and Del Potro last week, both at +500 because the matches were simply an exhibition and the two better players didn't care about winning.
Know which players are good in their home country. Some players, especially the French, are much better when playing in their own country.
Research junior stats for young players. I see a lot of people on betting boards taking a decent player ranked 100-200 over some unknown 18 year old ranked 350 because they assume the more established player will win. However, sometimes when you look at the stats, the 18 year old just turned pro, was the junior French Open Champion and has beaten several other good players in the past.
Check players records against big servers. Jurgen Melzer is the best example, the guy is great at returning big serves and just takes the advantage away from guys like Isner and Raonic.
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If possible, bet In-play. It allows you to see the match and the way the players are motivated to win, especially in the smaller tournaments or matches before Grand Slams. For instance, Gulbis and Bolelli beat Murray and Del Potro last week, both at +500 because the matches were simply an exhibition and the two better players didn't care about winning.
Know which players are good in their home country. Some players, especially the French, are much better when playing in their own country.
Research junior stats for young players. I see a lot of people on betting boards taking a decent player ranked 100-200 over some unknown 18 year old ranked 350 because they assume the more established player will win. However, sometimes when you look at the stats, the 18 year old just turned pro, was the junior French Open Champion and has beaten several other good players in the past.
Check players records against big servers. Jurgen Melzer is the best example, the guy is great at returning big serves and just takes the advantage away from guys like Isner and Raonic.
Look for stuff that most people won't know, use player twitter pages, google etc. The market is usually fairly accurate,the only way to beat it is to have information that most punters do not have.
Assume you know less than everyone else and go from there.
Keep notes on players and tournaments. Anyone can look at results. Know what really happened behind the results. For example recent Madrid clay court tournament suited big hitting stand and deliver players. Simply knowing this helps you vet results better.
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Look for stuff that most people won't know, use player twitter pages, google etc. The market is usually fairly accurate,the only way to beat it is to have information that most punters do not have.
Assume you know less than everyone else and go from there.
Keep notes on players and tournaments. Anyone can look at results. Know what really happened behind the results. For example recent Madrid clay court tournament suited big hitting stand and deliver players. Simply knowing this helps you vet results better.
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You're welcome to join !!! ;)
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Hi there, the Tips4bet team wants to offer to all of you an opportunity to win money while betting. You might be interested in predictions at https://www.tips4bet.eu/en.
The goal of our site is to help those, who are making the betting stakes and are willing not only to keep their money, but also, using one of our strategies and forecasts gain profit from the sport events.
There you will find the history of sport events' predictions, statistics, you can order a newsletter with a FREE prediction.
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