Tue

Nishikori -125 1 unit

Federer received a death threat i think he has enough security now

https://twitpic.com/b2hrx0

Hey pro, I saw the line... and man I dont like it. Nish should be - 170 up to - 210. He is in form, playing in his home country. I feel trap is happening here. GL though either way.   

Haha Great photo.  Well they did say they would chop his head off and use it for sushi! 

lol @ the Fed pic
like the Nishikori pick, GL

that pic is of Murray, not Fed. They dont look anything alike. I agree it is awesome.

I have three on the same play. I dont think he should be tired after last week. He is on fire. I saw part of his last match and he still has the same form from last week. He is defending semifinal points here as well, which in a Masters 1000 is huge for him, so he will be max motivated, last week was awesome but still only a 500 and this tournament is a step up for him.

I agree with jose that it looks like a ginat trap. BUT sometimes they set these traps and miss. It is onot like Nishi is gonna be giving anything less than 100% tonight and even with a 1-1 H2H and having gotten trounced by SQ in Canada this year I think Nishi at 100% wins this in two sets. I would say two easy sets but I respect Sam and that monster cannon serve of his. But Nishkoria is returning amazing right now and untouchable off the ground. How is poor returning Sam really going to break him? I think he would have to win in two breakers.

At this line I think the only sane play is Nishikoria. If someone has insider knowledge of an injury it would make sense, but as it is they are thinking he will be tired when he shouldn't be (blowout QFs and semis, 6-0 final set in finals) and giving that last match too much credit when it was in North America and this one in asia, and no doubt Kei is a much better player right now.

Risking 5 units at -120 here,  gl

(and pro i wish you'd look into the Baggy info... I watched Raonic with a parlay on him last night and the kid is dead tired, unlike Kei IMO. Those three 3 setters in a row really took something out of the big man IMO and Baggy is a bad matchup for him.... I think its free money on a +200, putting 5 units there too)

line movement Sam now -120

 Nicholas Meister +534 .25

becker just lost to Kosakowski so anything is possible.

thanks bp might have to look into marcos gl

meister down to +370 i know challenger lines are volatile and move all the time but the original line was too high. who is becker to be -1000 last i checked his first name was not boris.

down to +260 anyone else on meister

Got Meister at +253.

Love the Nishikori pick, on it too.

that pic is of Murray, not Fed. They dont look anything alike. I agree it is awesome.


that is not murray

lol that pic is definately not of Muray!It is Fed

Definitely Federer.

pro's avatar: murray
the pic in the link: federer

BP26 missed seeing the link and thought ppl were complimenting pro's avatar.

Pro, you think Raonic is gonna be in any trouble tonight vs Bag? and any thoughts on Kohl and Lopez???

glad to see you on nishikori as well.

You think Kohlschreiber is gonna get it done in straight sets?

think my parlay will be

Raonic/Haas/Gasquet/Wawrinka
Should pay like +250

Might throw caution to the wind and make them all -1.5 and triple the payout.

sportsfan i just watched the replay of the raonic match on the tennis channel and he did not look that great. i think it can go either way, good chance of a 3 setter would think over is the best play there.

eliminator thanks i do think kohl will win think the -2.5 games is a good bet. i like your parlay but raonic is risky to me.

going to do this chalk parlay tips, berdych and haas for .5

pro check out my writeup on the Baggy play in thread "Is Milos that good?", I think I made a good case and that it is a rock solid investment tonight. With that kind of bonus juice I can afford to be wrong.... but if you wanna watch Baggy win in two sets without breaking a sweat as a +185 or w/e without investing that is your call.

Thanks i want with nishikori and kohls straight up for a unit

Parlayed
Wawrinka ML/Gasquet ML/Berdych -1.5/Haas ML
Total payout is +250 1/2 a unit on it

BOL to you tonight as well. Nishikori should pull it out. Although querrey has been doing nicely. Hopefully espn 3 shows it

well its a badass avatar; thanks for pointing out; for a second there I thought I was in Crazytown when they all mocked it, even double checked the avatar

Nishi abusing Sam and calling for medical timeout

Nishi can't get away from Sam aces. Yikes.

Is Nishikori going to win this prof?