US OPEN

Hingis/Hantuchova to beat Errani/Vinci @3.50 (Bet365)   4/10

Two reasons to try this one. First, Italian Fed Cup captain has confirmed rumours about conflicts between Vinci and Errani, who have always been very close friends, so it looks like that friendship is struggling and this might explain their poor results lately and second, Errani´s words in her press conference after his loss against Pennetta. She looked devastated and drained emotionally, red eyes after being crying and she stated that pressure has got the better of her at the moment, it was quite a sad sight. I don´t think she can recover in less than 24 hours.

Ram to beat Granollers @3.38 (Pinnacle)   3/10

I didn´t watch their R1 matches, but according to what I´ve read, Marcel struggled a lot and got very lucky to defeat Zopp, who is a good player himself, but he´s been out first half of the year and he should be very far from top form while Ram, despite I´m pretty sure Fognini didn´t put too much of an effort, played a pretty good game. Enough for me to try him with small stakes here.

Zheng to beat Suárez @3 (Ladbrokes)   3/10

I feel this one will be a very close battle, Carla has defeated easily two players she should win, but the real tests start here. Jie has the consistency to cope with Carla´s great baseline game and the flat shots to make her struggle. I only see a little advantage for Suárez here and certainly not enough to justify this lower than 1.50 price

GL folks

Three tips for today, all in WTA:

Cornet +7 games over Azarenka @2.11 (Pinnacle)  4/10

Alize is playing the best tennis of her life, even though I hate going against Azarenka in these kind of props, I feel this line is too high, I would settle it at +6 games

McHale +1.5 sets against Ivanovic  @3.05  3/10

Looks like McHale has come into life again at home soil after a very tough year with mono. She played well against young talent Svitolina, feeded off the crowd support and got a tight win there. She has enough game and a forehand good enough to dictate points and make Ivanovic run, so I like her chances of nicking a set at least.

Knapp to beat Vinci @3 (Betfair)   3/10

Simple, Knapp is in great form, back at her best and Vinci has left some doubts to me lately after her win in Palermo. I have the feeling Karin has a great chance at winning today.

Thanks all, GL folks

Three tips for today in Flushing Meadows (weather permitting, because forecast is not good at all):

Baghdatis to beat Wawrinka @3.36 (Pinnacle)  3/10

Marcos came out of nowhere to give a masterclass against Anderson in R2, one of the most impressive performances if not the best this year at USO. Can´t help but riding that momentum, even though I know it won´t be easy to repeat.

Benneteau +2.5 sets against Berdych @2.08 (Pinnacle)  3/10

Berdych was average against Kudla and Benneteau disposed easily Chardy, I expected an offer below evens for this bet as I think it´s more likely than not TB drops a set here, therefore I´d gladly take this +108

Stephens +6.5 games against S.Williams (Pinnacle) @1.88  3/10

SW will want to have revenge and she will win, I have little doubt about that, but Sloane is playing impressively and should keep it within this spread imo, I would have settle this line in +6.

GL folks

Two advices for today´s WTA QF and another one for tomorrow´s doubles, because I´m not sure I will be available tomorrow during the morning:

Pennetta to win 1st set against Vinci @1.98 (Pinnacle)  4/10

As I always say, I love trends and Vinci has been a slow starter in all her matches:

She was down 2-4 and 3-4 30-40* against Babos.

She lost the first set against Safarova.

Up until 3-3 against Knapp she made too many errors and didn´t mover her feet properly

She was down 1-4 against Giorgi as well.

Pennetta is playing better than her, and she has traditionally started very strong in her previous matches, so I´d rather trust her when she´s fresh, because I fear that if match goes to the distance, Roby will have an advantage there.

Azarenka to win 2-1 against Hantuchova @5.54 (Pinnacle)  2/10

After her struggles against Cornet and Ivanovic, why not a threepeat? Azarenka with doubts in her game and Daniela played a great match against Riske, she´s playing well enough to make Vika sweat, but I´d be surprised if she manages to knock her out, so this 2-1 prop sounds quite tempting in my opinion

Stepanek/Paes to beat Bryan/Bryan @3.86 (Pinnacle)  3/10

Match will be played tomorrow, but Radek/Leander is one of the few couples which are not intimidated by the Twins and they are good enough to bust them out in a Slam imo. Bryans showed being vulnerables as they were very lucky to get past Pospisil/Nestor, they were down 7-6 4-2 if my memory is correct

GL folks