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WIMBLEDON 2014 PICKS with short reasoning

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Posted: #126
Which I'm assuming he will do...need him to have him in a 2 teamer
 
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Posted: #127
I got absolutely destroyed. Took Gulbis. I missed Kvitova, of course, and doubled up in Azarenka at -635. Frickin unbelievable
 
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Posted: #128
Oh well
 
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Posted: #129
8 match parlay 
3 match parlay 
Kvitova 
Putting while balance on Kvitova live to make up for losses   (won't count that)

12-2 Record


 
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Posted: #130
Where is your alias army? 
 
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Posted: #131
LSU…i hope u r managing your bankroll properly… when laying the juice u can't let greed take control

Sparty..what is your problem with this guy?  he's no JT…he hasn't been past posting..hasn't been miscalculating…if laying chalk isn't your style then great.  no need to attack the guy
 
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Posted: #132
Wtf happened to Coco
 
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Posted: #133
Quote Originally Posted by johnnyrudeboy:

Wtf happened to Coco


too much tennis in one week can wear down the body.
 
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Posted: #134
Quote Originally Posted by lsu-saints4ever:

ROGER100....This Ferrer match is a good example of what I was talking about..Do u think he would've lost that 2nd set 6-0 if it was the 5th set? Of course not..He was purposely trying to tire his opponent out after being down 2-0, even if it meant losing the set...Only to come on strong and win the next 2 sets


Yeah, I've been thinking about this.  It seems to me that this kind of situation can be compared to football or basketball: Big fav gets up very big, begins resting starters, other team comes back late and gets backdoor cover.

And I think the market probably adjusts for this -- i.e., the possibility of the backdoor cover, or garbage-time shenanigans -- can keep the spread lower than the Power Ratings would suggest it ought to be.

It's similar with OT in basketball: when a game goes into OT, it usually screws under betters.  But if you look at long-term trends, Overs and Unders each cash 50% of the time.  So...the market's number would be too high if games were graded at the end of regulation (in other words, there's a preponderance of unders cashing in games ending in regulation, a preponderance of overs in games that go to OT).

So my suspicion is that the phenomenon you're talking about is accounted for in the market.  If it's not, then we should be able to exploit the mis-pricing by pounding the big dogs ATS...

At any rate, Kvitova covered the -5 with ease, so your picks were 1-0 ATS for the day.


 
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Posted: #135
COCO -550
Easy win

Lol @ the kool aid u got the covers clowns drinking

Omg too funny
 
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Posted: #136
Quote Originally Posted by lsu-saints4ever:

Which I'm assuming he will do...need him to have him in a 2 teamer


He sure did. This thread will win you money in the short term but could prove to be disasterous as you can see the favourites dropping like flies.
 
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Posted: #137

PARLAY +200:

Kohlschreiber

Istomin

Wawrinka




 
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Posted: #138
What u got for tomorrow ??!
 
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Posted: #139
My bankroll is chilling as u saw it only used a free play for that 8 teamer and lost the other parlay but got it all back and some with kvitova straight then kvitova live at 2-2 for my entire balance...sparty chimes in 30 minutes later when it's 5-2 and rushes back to my thread to try and discredit me lol...but anyway if have a huge rollover to meet therefore I'm going bttw tonite...picks in a few
 
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Posted: #140
Bttw=?
 
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Posted: #141
By the way xibeleli as you saw it only made that many bets with bets in was unsure about because it tried a couple parlays one was a longshot...As it mentioned the matches in was unsure about lost sure enough....coco was a surprise though and did f me in the assignment is will be the 1st to admit that...had she won today's thread would've been very profitable...but the past is the past
 
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Posted: #142
Also, please don't ask me if u like a match...then, cut I'm a nice guy, u force me to look at a match and make a pick that u otherwise wouldn't have made...coco f ed me in the assss which was a play in made cuz u got asked what u thought...from now on I'm only making my plays period 
 
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Posted: #143
going to tail u LSU!!! gimme some winners like u do!!
 
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Posted: #144
LSU 

YOU DONT HAVE TO EXPLAIN YOURSELF TO PEOPLE WHO DONT HAVE A BRAIN 
 
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Posted: #145
Bookie won't let me bet after 3am :( please try to get picks in before LSU. Thanks again !!!
 
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Posted: #146
Quote Originally Posted by Jailbait7127:

Bookie won't let me bet after 3am :( please try to get picks in before LSU. Thanks again !!!



take it easy ...winners dont come fast they take preparation
 
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Posted: #147
Sorry lol
 
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Posted: #148
lsu-saints4ever 
 
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Posted: #149
Quote Originally Posted by Jailbait7127:

Sorry lol



Dont be sorry .......just wait 
 
 
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Posted: #150
I know. But no point of waiting if after 3 bcuz bookie won't take bets. U feel me?
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