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Many of you are playing for 2nd place

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Posted: #1
I am winning the Ultimate Race this year. 

April 19th 
KC Royals -137
TB Rays -138
Clippers -7
Colorado Avs -139
 
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Posted: #2
3-1 yesterday with the Clippers -7 putting up a dud after starting the game so well. Questionable calls throughout many of the Nba games yesterday.

April 20th
Was Nationals -148
Statement start by Strasburg. Inner turmoil not related to pitching is part of the reason he was being bombed on. The Harper benching has proven players will be held accountable which will put the pressure off Strasburg. We will see the old Strasburg from now on.

Mavs/Spurs U205.5
Game 1's are usually defensive games and I see no way Dallas puts up 100 today in San Antonio in an early game. Totals as far as unders split 2 for 2 yesterday but one can make the argument petty fouls by the refs were the reason a couple games actually went over.

Chicago Bulls -4.5
John Wall isn't superman. He can't do it all by himself on the road against one of the best defensive teams in the league. Bradley Beal is pretty young and will be a walk in the park to defend against compared to what Jimmy Butler had under his belt(D.Wade/Lebron James). To much experience, to much defense make the Bulls a serious play.

Kings/Sharks U5 
Picking NHL because we have to. Even though Montreal is favored over Tampa Bay by a lot -145 or so, I wouldn't walk up to the counter and lay that price with my real cash. That's more of a coin flip than the line suggests. Kings got destroyed in game 1 in San Jose and I expect a better defensive effort in front of Quick in game 2. It wasn't so much on Quick as it was the Sharks getting extremely lucky with the bounces. Those bounces can not be expected to go the Sharks way again. 
 
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Posted: #3
2-2 yesterday making my record in the ultimate race this year 5-3. Not good enough. More so than any, today looks like it's going to be your typical toss up day. 

Clippers -8
The spread seems kind of high in this game but desperate teams usually play above and beyond. Teams like the Clippers/Raptors/Pacers/Rockets/Bulls don't want to lose the first 2 games at home in the series. Although I'm not exactly sure if the Pacers qualify as a professional team right now. It's obvious and apparent something is wrong with that team whether it's the players or coaches or both? Something is very wrong. It makes you wonder was it the Granger trade, rumors are swirling Turner hates Indiana, is Lance Stephenson already out the door with nothing left to prove? As long as the refs stay out of the way, Clippers big men are going to control this game tonight. 

Grizzlies/Thunder O189.5
In game 1, Grizzlies still put up 86 points and hit only half their free throws while shooting 36% from the field. Thunder aren't that great of a defensive team. They just aren't. 

Orioles/Red Sox O8.5
Early start or not, Clay Buchholz and Wei-Yen Chen are not great starting pitchers. Wind is blowing out a tad bit.

Penguins -125
Expect a bunch of angry Penguins for this Game 3 and Columbus will be missing one of their key d-men Fedor Tyutin. This line should actually be a lot higher but it is hockey, who knows.
 
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Posted: #4
Good luck 
 
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Posted: #5
4-0 yesterday making my record 9-3 for this race. 

April 22nd
Detroit Tigers -141
It did open up at this price at some books but that was under the assumption Chris Sale was going to face off against Verlander. Sale is on the DL. White Sox will toss out Leesman, somebody that only has 1 mlb start under his belt. You have to take advantage of spots like this in contests such as this.

Indiana Pacers -7
I know I pretty much bombed on Indiana yesterday but this is the definition of do or die. You can't lose game 2 and history has proven, home teams rarely lose Game 1 AND Game 2 of the series. Pacer head coach Frank Vogel has spent the last 48 hours transforming his squad and for some reason I think we will see a different, confident Pacer squad.

Wizards/Bulls U181.5
Bulls head coach Tom Thibodeau is absolutely furious and steaming his team got into an up and down, uptempo type of game against the Wizards in game 1. Lock down defense, work for the best shot possible will be the name of the game tonight. No up and down tonight.

Boston Bruins -133
We have to pick hockey but the game 2 performance leads me to believe Boston isn't playing any more games. They're coming and being on the receiving end of their hits is like getting punched by Mike Tyson in his prime.
 
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Posted: #6
We are watching you 25. Keep it up!!

 
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Posted: #7
3-1 yesterday with the loss coming on the Bulls under and it's no surprise they ended up losing that game, Wizards dictated most of the game. Making my Ultimate Race record 12-4.

April 23rd
Atlanta Braves -145
Why should anybody bet against A.Harang and that 0.70 era? Obviously he can't keep it up like this for the entire season and the factor of a let down always comes into play but you'll go broke waiting for him to implode especially at a pitcher friendly ballpark such as Turner Field.

Seattle Mariners -137
8 straight losses is scary but they can't get swept at home by the Astros? Can they?

Mavs/Spurs O198.5
Spurs like to run and gun against weak defensive teams such as the Mavs. Mavs make things interesting but can't keep the Spurs from scoring 100 plus tonight. 

Penguins -137
Pittsburgh had a million power plays in game 3 and failed to score on all of them AND they still won the hockey game. That's scary.
 
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Posted: #8
Are you really going to post this everyday? You know this is a contest and if you really think you are something special ,why post your picks to people can tail you?
 
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Posted: #9
the_show made a good point so that's why I stopped posting my picks. As of Apr 29th, my Ultimate Race record is 28-12. This contest is harder than it seems especially since everybody has a tendency to pick the same teams. 
 
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Posted: #10
I don't think you are going to win.
 
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Posted: #11
37-15 currently in top 20 in the ultimate race. But I tell you, this contest is the type of contest where it's very difficult to gain ground since you have to make at least 1 pick from every sport. There's only 1 hockey game tonight between the Rangers/Penguins and 90% of people are going to pick the Penguins. It's just difficult to go with the majority but sometimes you have to.
 
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Posted: #12
Don't even look at how many games are behind... play everyday and avg 60% and you have a great chance of winning. its soooooooooooooo early 60% give or take 1-2 % will win this thing.
 
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Posted: #13
" play everyday and avg 60% and you have a great chance of winning. its soooooooooooooo early 60% give or take 1-2 % will win this thing."

This is not true.

I hit 62.5% in the last one and finished 8th. The % required to win this is usually about 65%.
 
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Posted: #14
yisman is right, you have to hit somewhere around that to win this thing. It's difficult to do. I'm going to lay an egg today(0-4) and probably drop way back. The one thing that makes this contest more difficult is the fact we have to pick a game from every sport so when something like arena football comes up, you HAVE TO PICK IT even though you don't want or know anything about it. It's frustrating.
 
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Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by Twenty5Straight:

yisman is right, you have to hit somewhere around that to win this thing. It's difficult to do. I'm going to lay an egg today(0-4) and probably drop way back. The one thing that makes this contest more difficult is the fact we have to pick a game from every sport so when something like arena football comes up, you HAVE TO PICK IT even though you don't want or know anything about it. It's frustrating.

You are both 100% wrong and clueless.

The last race was a 100 win race of course 60% isn't going to win a 100 win race... this is a 200 win race. Big difference. You 65% id a bogus number you just came up with.

100 win races winners were:

65%,68%,65%,65%,67%,

150 win races:

60%,62%,

200 win races:

59%,58%,57%,62%(with 2nd place 59%),

 So as you can see with a 200 win race 60% has a great chance of winning, only one person in 4 (200 win) races has ever posted a better than 60% win %.

 
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Posted: #16
I forgot to factor in the difference of the 100 wins. At least 60% will win this thing this year though.
 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by Twenty5Straight:

I forgot to factor in the difference of the 100 wins. At least 60% will win this thing this year though.

Yea well that is a pretty important stat to factor in... since out of the last 20,000 participants in a 200 game race only ONE Person have gone over 60% im betting against it and there's no indication this race will be any different. But you have been here 4 months and I have been here 12 years so I'm sure you're correct.

 
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Posted: #18
Twenty5, I hate this garbage with Arena football being sprung on you too, Saturday there were 5 games but yet no Arena football props but yet today they spring the one Arena football game on us.  It makes it difficult for those people who wait until the next day for a line to drop, eg. a baseball line which is just over -150.  However, I found out last week that you can play any games which start after the Arena football prop, so if you happen to like a late game more, than just wait for that. For example I knew nothing about the game today so I chose to wait for the St Louis game which started after the 7pm start of the Arena game tonight.  You might have known this already but wanted to share just in case, good luck.
 
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Posted: #19
THE SHOW is pretty much an fool.

Yes, I forgot the amount of picks was different. No need to be a jackass about it.
 
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Posted: #20

Quote Originally Posted by yisman:

THE SHOW is pretty much an fool.

Yes, I forgot the amount of picks was different. No need to be a jackass about it.

Well ,you called me wrong. So with FACTS I proved I was right and you were wrong. I know its sucks to be proven wrong like twentyfivestraight also was proven wrong.... but life goes and yes Im a Jackass.  Maybe next time you can make up crap and not be called out on it....being proved clueless sucks... it will be OK.

 
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Posted: #21
To much wasted energy. It's not that big of a deal. I originally started this thread to post my picks and to have fun. We play for the fun of it. Maybe I should start posting my picks again to eliminate the drama.
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by THE_SHOW:

Well ,you called me wrong. So with FACTS I proved I was right and you were wrong. I know its sucks to be proven wrong like twentyfivestraight also was proven wrong.... but life goes and yes Im a Jackass.  Maybe next time you can make up crap and not be called out on it....being proved clueless sucks... it will be OK.



You're the clueless one.

https://contests.covers.com/Handicapping/topHandicappers.aspx

https://contests.covers.com/SportsContests/UltimateRace/Records.aspx?userid=54103&contestid=21369&ubet money that the winner of this Ultimate Race will be over 60% in the end.

Maybe next time you can work on not being a jackass, but I doubt it. It's too ingrained in your personality.


 
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Posted: #23

Quote Originally Posted by yisman:



You're the clueless one.

https://contests.covers.com/Handicapping/topHandicappers.aspx

https://contests.covers.com/SportsContests/UltimateRace/Records.aspx?userid=54103&contestid=21369&ubet money that the winner of this Ultimate Race will be over 60% in the end.

Maybe next time you can work on not being a jackass, but I doubt it. It's too ingrained in your personality.


Im done with you because you are so cluless. When people go in and bet in league contest they mostly just bet every game, don't stuy, its not real money....who cares. NOBODY looks at those links and thinks anything special about who is leading the TOTAL capping numbers...hell, nobody even looks period.

And you posted a link to a 100 game race, do you not understand those numbers mean nothing in a 200 game race? You're not very smart... the more wins needed, the less of a winning % will be to the winner. 100 game races the winners  are in mid 65% range, 150 game races are just over 60%, and 200 game races are a 99.99999999% under 60% ( all except one person ).

But I regress, the reason the 200 iwn race will be under 60% like it has been all but one time in over 20,000+ participants is you the better CANT PICK THE GAMES YOU WANT.  Covers makes it tough because they make you choose games you normally wouldn't bet...unlike the other contest where you have the options in your hands.

 
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Posted: #24
You are the clueless one.

My whole point is that 60% will not be good enough to win this.

And many people look at the total capping numbers. You don't because as you've proven several times, you are 100% clueless.
 
 
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Posted: #25

Quote Originally Posted by yisman:

You are the clueless one.

My whole point is that 60% will not be good enough to win this.

And many people look at the total capping numbers. You don't because as you've proven several times, you are 100% clueless.

well genius there has been 35,638 people in the past participate in 200 win races... and guess how many people that played every day finished over 60% ......   ONE.  So, Im going to the odds that 60% will be good enough to win since it has 35,637 out of 35,638 times.  But you're so smart im sure you are correct....

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