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AussieCapper NBA (Box Score System)

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Posts: 1096
Posted: #276

San Antonio vs Milwaukee

 

San Antonio 22 26 22 23 93

Milwaukee   34 29 16 22 101

 

My Lines

Milwaukee -8

Over/Under 194

 

Real Lines

San Antonio -2.5

Over/Under 188.5

 

Bet: Over 188.5

 

 
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Posts: 1096
Posted: #277

Oklahoma vs Memphis

 

Oklahoma 22 28 22 25 97

Memphis  27 26 29 25 107

 

My Line

Memphis -10

Over/Under 204

 

Real Line

OKC -3

Over/Under 193.5

 

Bet: Over 193.5 3 units

 

 

 
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Posts: 332
Posted: #278
bucks  ML  
 
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Posted: #279
That's basically all home team my man, il follow it all again today, hoping for big wins!

Went 3-3 last night with your plays....
 
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Posted: #280
Quote Originally Posted by babyboy_23:

That's basically all home team my man, il follow it all again today, hoping for big wins!

Went 3-3 last night with your plays....

hopefully we can go better than 3-3 tomorrow bud 
 
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Posts: 4302
Posted: #281
Hey man. Keep up the great work bud. I was just wondering what your thoughts were on the Portland/LAC game tomorrow? On the ML/Spread.

BOL tomorrow.

 
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Posted: #282
Quote Originally Posted by Nilshu:

Hey man. Keep up the great work bud. I was just wondering what your thoughts were on the Portland/LAC game tomorrow? On the ML/Spread.

BOL tomorrow.


it'll be up in about 30 minutes if thats alright 
 
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Posted: #283

Chicago vs Minnesota

 

Chicago      20 21 24 26 91

Minnesota  24 26 24 24 99

 

My Lines

Minnesota -8

Over/Under 190

 

Real Lines

Chicago -6.5

Over/Under 186.5

 

Bets: Minnesota +6.5

 
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Posted: #284

Cleveland vs Utah

 

Cleveland 25 23 29 26 103

Utah         21 19 18 28  86

 

My Lines

Cleveland -17

Over/Under 189

 

Real Lines

Utah -5.5

Over/Under 187.5

 

Bets: Cleveland +5.5 and ML

 
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Posted: #285

La Clippers vs Portland

 

Clippers 22 26 26 24 98

Portland 25 24 29 27 105

 

My Lines

Portland -7

Over/Under 203

 

Real Lines

Portland -5.5

Over/Under 195.5

 

Bets: Over 195.5 3 units 

 
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Posted: #286

Phoenix vs La Lakers

 

Phoenix 23 23 23 24 93

Lakers   25 24 24 23 96

 

My Lines

Lakers -3

Over/Under 189

 

Real Lines

Lakers -7.5

Over/Under 189.5

 

Bets: NO PLAY

 

 

 
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Posts: 60
Posted: #287
are you sure aussie i like your picks except the MIN pick awhile ago i was frustrated at MIN for losing to TOR , maybe it was because of MIN and TORs PGs are both spaniards and calderon is a veteran , i might follow your bets , but i'm curious with the TOR@WAS game looks like a trap, TOR gets the +???
 
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Posted: #288
Charlotte vs Houston and Miami vs Golden state will be up tomorrow 
 
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Posted: #289
Quote Originally Posted by MPandrew:

are you sure aussie i like your picks except the MIN pick awhile ago i was frustrated at MIN for losing to TOR , maybe it was because of MIN and TORs PGs are both spaniards and calderon is a veteran , i might follow your bets , but i'm curious with the TOR@WAS game looks like a trap, TOR gets the +???

both teams are very bad under for me 
 
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Posted: #290

Philadelphia -10.5 3 units

Washington vs Toronto Under 185.5 3 units

Dallas vs Detroit under 182.5 3 units

San Antonio vs Milwaukee Over 188.5 3 units

Oklahoma vs Memphis Over 193.5 3 units

Chicago vs Minnesota Minnesota +6.5 3 units

Cleveland vs Utah +5.5 3 units

La Clippers vs Portland Over 195.5 3 units

 

Good Luck guys 

 
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Posted: #291

YTD 14-6   arent you?

Totals you posted 6-2

Sides you posted 8-4

Still interesting, keep it going!

 
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Posts: 72
Posted: #292
I like the spurs, mavs and grizz on ML, and the cavs +5.5 in a nice 4 game parlay. OKC is destined for a loss, their due just like the nuggest last night, mavs and spurs both due for 1st road wins vs terrible teams, and cleveland albeit young has enough veterans to keep it close againt a weak jazz team. Sac- phi game is a trap, phi is playing fantastic D with collins, and sac roster is full of unknowns who lack consistency
 
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Posted: #293
Quote Originally Posted by AussieCapper:

Philadelphia -10.5 3 units

Washington vs Toronto Under 185.5 3 units

Dallas vs Detroit under 182.5 3 units

San Antonio vs Milwaukee Over 188.5 3 units

Oklahoma vs Memphis Over 193.5 3 units

Chicago vs Minnesota Minnesota +6.5 3 units

Cleveland vs Utah +5.5 3 units

La Clippers vs Portland Over 195.5 3 units

 

Good Luck guys 


Nice set there, mate! I see you are sticking to same units on each one too which is a good move. You should rake in some profit each night if you keep it up! 
 
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Posts: 25
Posted: #294
Quote Originally Posted by AussieCapper:

Sacramento  20 25 20 20 85

Philadelphia 20 22 27 27 96

 

My Lines

Philadelphia -11

Over/Under 181

 

Real Lines

Philadelphia -10.5

Over/Under 197.5

 

Note: Sacramento Average biggest lead

Of the game when playing away from home

Is 6.3 and the average biggest lead for philly

When playing at home is 26

 

Bet: Philladelphia -10.5 3 units 


I am having a problem with some of your lines . . . i also am using the same strategy to make picks but our numbers dont seem to be lining up.  This pick for example our numbers are WAY off.  I will go back and double check my numbers to make sure i have them right but they are far off.

the numbers i have for total averages are

sac 93.8
phili 100.3

i will go back and double check these numbers but if my numbers are correct i would like to know what you have added to make ur numbers so far off of mine.
 
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Posted: #295
and these are the numbers for quarters i have

sacramento 21.2, 23.3, 25.4, 23.7
philadelphia 21, 24.3, 26.5, 28.5
 
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Posted: #296

bol aussie!!

i am leaning timberwolves as well..i'll see how i feel before tip off..

 
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Posted: #297
ya comparing my picks for today and urs we have a couple that line up but we have a ton that are different.  I have a bunch of picks you dont have and you have a bunch of picks that i deem not good according to my numbers .  . . . . can you please tell me where your numbers are coming from because you seem to be adding numbers somewhere or subtracting and im very confused on how and why you are doing this.
 
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Posted: #298
ok i think i know how your coming up with your numbers now . . . slightly different then me for the time being.

You are only taking the averages for road or home games depending on if the team is playing on the road or at home.  I like this approach and dont like this approach.  The only reason i dont like the approach is because teams have not yet played enough games at home and on the road to get a good estimate.  For example your stat for sacramento only takes into account 3 games because they have only played 3 games on the road thus far.

I was planning on holding off on only using stats from home and road games until prolly sometime around February.

I guess i can compare my picks to yours over the next week or two to see if your stats are running better than mine.  For the time being i am not distinguishing between home and road games until teams get more of each. 
 
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Posted: #299
Also another thing worth looking into is quarter betting.  I dont have a large enough sample size to really decide if im just running hot or if i am indeed making the better picks bc of the stats.  Certain teams score more in certain quarters than others and i believe this can be taken advantage of, as i said i will need to continue tracking this for some time to be positive.

One huge quarter stat that has jumped out to be so far is Utahs 4th quarter scoring.  They have out scored every opponent thus far in the 4th quarter, except for their first game against the lakers where both teams scored 25 points in the 4th.  This is a quarter bet that i am sure can be taken advantage of.
 
 
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Posts: 448
Posted: #300

AC,

great lookin card !!! here's to continued success

Trigg - that avatar is hilarious

Hooroo

anna31204

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