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Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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Posted: #6401
ill enter your competition mavin once the first set of games in the nba start
 
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Posted: #6402
On a serious note, I want ya all's advice on what I'm thinking about doing. Since the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results, I'm going to do a test on two different methods.

1st method I'll call the no line approach.
It consists of looking at all the games without the lines. If you have two shit ty teams playing each other you throw the game out. Look at the rest of the teams and pick the team you know is better and has more talent, regardless f whether they are at home or not. Then look at the line, if your giving up more than 4 points, throw it out, if you're getting points, great, play the sh it out of
it. Pure talent advantage has got to win out eventually! Screw home court (didn't help the Lakers or the Thunder a bit tonight) screw giving up 5 or more points. I got sick and tired of giving up a big number and hoping my team would have a blow out win or getting a big number and hoping my shit ty team stays within it. The NBA is just to volatile to expect to be able to win consistently, so you have to figure out a way to make it less volatile. It's like cooling off a gas fire, or it's like having too many items on a menu, narrow it down with a team that you know has more talent!
2nd method is called just a f king hobby method.
This method will not work for the action addicted person. Every so offen we see games that look like pure locks. They may show up 2 games a week, there may only be 1 in a two week period, but then again there maybe 4 in a week, but when they show up you hammer the sh
it out of it. Maybe a better name for the method would be the cream of the crop!
Think about it, why do we spread our selves so thin. We don't do saturation bombings any more, we use persision lazor guided bombs.
 
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Posted: #6403
Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

On a serious note, I want ya all's advice on what I'm thinking about doing. Since the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results, I'm going to do a test on two different methods.

1st method I'll call the no line approach.
It consists of looking at all the games without the lines. If you have two garbage ty teams playing each other you throw the game out. Look at the rest of the teams and pick the team you know is better and has more talent, regardless f whether they are at home or not. Then look at the line, if your giving up more than 4 points, throw it out, if you're getting points, great, play the sh it out of
it. Pure talent advantage has got to win out eventually! Screw home court (didn't help the Lakers or the Thunder a bit tonight) screw giving up 5 or more points. I got sick and tired of giving up a big number and hoping my team would have a blow out win or getting a big number and hoping my garbage ty team stays within it. The NBA is just to volatile to expect to be able to win consistently, so you have to figure out a way to make it less volatile. It's like cooling off a gas fire, or it's like having too many items on a menu, narrow it down with a team that you know has more talent!
2nd method is called just a f king hobby method.
This method will not work for the action addicted person. Every so offen we see games that look like pure locks. They may show up 2 games a week, there may only be 1 in a two week period, but then again there maybe 4 in a week, but when they show up you hammer the sh
it out of it. Maybe a better name for the method would be the cream of the crop!
Think about it, why do we spread our selves so thin. We don't do saturation bombings any more, we use persision lazor guided bombs.

Hmmm interesting 
 
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Posted: #6404

Finally got some break -> 3-0 yesterday

Miami +5,5 - i though OKC would win, but within the 3-5 points - but it looks like Heat are the best team right now and they show up when they want and need to.

OVER 204. MIAM-OKC - i believed it would be a battle between the stars of both teams and it was hitting over easily

LA Clippers -3,5 - well the new sheriff is in town, and I just couldn't bare the thought of putting money on Lakers, they don't deserve it right now. It is a rivalry and manytimes these type of games end opposite as we think who is better at that moment. It happend with OKC and IT COULDNT HAPPEND with Lakers cuz they are just not good enough right now. They need to win every game and if they can't win or barley win some under 0.500 teams they sure won't beat Clippers. On the other hand Miami can afford a break or two and just come out and show when they want and need.

Thats all from me - enough of phyloshophing and lets have a nice vacations and check it out on wednesday.

Hopefully I'll finally have some time and check out the full background and learn everything there is to know about Binaries.

Have fun, enjoy the NBA Vacations and don't forget - we all have a bad streak, but it sure will end - so as the Good streak ends ;)

 
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Posted: #6405

Finally got some break -> 3-0 yesterday

Miami +5,5 - i though OKC would win, but within the 3-5 points - but it looks like Heat are the best team right now and they show up when they want and need to.

OVER 204. MIAM-OKC - i believed it would be a battle between the stars of both teams and it was hitting over easily

LA Clippers -3,5 - well the new sheriff is in town, and I just couldn't bare the thought of putting money on Lakers, they don't deserve it right now. It is a rivalry and manytimes these type of games end opposite as we think who is better at that moment. It happend with OKC and IT COULDNT HAPPEND with Lakers cuz they are just not good enough right now. They need to win every game and if they can't win or barley win some under 0.500 teams they sure won't beat Clippers. On the other hand Miami can afford a break or two and just come out and show when they want and need.

Thats all from me - enough of phyloshophing and lets have a nice vacations and check it out on wednesday.

Hopefully I'll finally have some time and check out the full background and learn everything there is to know about Binaries.

Have fun, enjoy the NBA Vacations and don't forget - we all have a bad streak, but it sure will end - so as the Good streak ends ;)

 
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Posted: #6406
Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

On a serious note, I want ya all's advice on what I'm thinking about doing. Since the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results, I'm going to do a test on two different methods.

1st method I'll call the no line approach.
It consists of looking at all the games without the lines. If you have two garbage ty teams playing each other you throw the game out. Look at the rest of the teams and pick the team you know is better and has more talent, regardless f whether they are at home or not. Then look at the line, if your giving up more than 4 points, throw it out, if you're getting points, great, play the sh it out of
it. Pure talent advantage has got to win out eventually! Screw home court (didn't help the Lakers or the Thunder a bit tonight) screw giving up 5 or more points. I got sick and tired of giving up a big number and hoping my team would have a blow out win or getting a big number and hoping my garbage ty team stays within it. The NBA is just to volatile to expect to be able to win consistently, so you have to figure out a way to make it less volatile. It's like cooling off a gas fire, or it's like having too many items on a menu, narrow it down with a team that you know has more talent!
2nd method is called just a f king hobby method.
This method will not work for the action addicted person. Every so offen we see games that look like pure locks. They may show up 2 games a week, there may only be 1 in a two week period, but then again there maybe 4 in a week, but when they show up you hammer the sh
it out of it. Maybe a better name for the method would be the cream of the crop!
Think about it, why do we spread our selves so thin. We don't do saturation bombings any more, we use persision lazor guided bombs.

This is very similar to my method from the get go-

I parlay for $1 10 teams/outcomes- then pick my top three games- I pick my top three games- I do this before looking at the lines- then when the lines come is when I start the process of harnessing volatility and focus not on who can score but on who can play defense- if the teams involved don't play defense I go with the over regardless of the number- it could be 180 or 215- these non defensive teams are Denver, Kings, Rockets, Bucks, Pistons, Raptors, Wizards, Magic, Mavs, Nets, Lakers, Twolves, Hornets, Bobcats, Warriors- in no particular order- when any of these teams match up I expect overs specially in the 1Q-

Then you have your defensive teams, Jazz, Spurs, Pacers, Heat, Knicks, Clips, OKC, Bulls, Celtics, Grizz, Hawks, 76ers when these teams match up the points are usually close to the lines- sure you have your blowout games etc but in general.

The above is not based on actual defense or offensive stats but rather on those teams that seem to turn it on or not play defense on most nights.

NBA is very hard to cap and it has a lot to do with the amount of attempts and low score of each attempt- meaning it's very hard for the public to predict scores when there are so many baskets involved. Instead of looking at the points I look at the basket totals and eliminate the 3s- so for without 3s for a team to get to 100 they need 50 baskets- I usually take the stance that you get two god possessions a minute which means the :24 shot clock being used to the max gives two baskets per minute that is 24 baskets a quarter- at 2pts per basket that is 48 pts a quarter (most lines are at this level)  thats 192pts a game- if you take this approach then look at the teams you ask yourself can each team get 12 baskets per quarter- if so you go with the over and let the 3s and the and 1s carry the gravy- If you have teams like the clips and heat that like to look for the shots in the second half they usually hit under- because james and paul (celtics have the same with Rondo) hold the ball until the good look is there-

Just the way I see things.

Then you factor in the media the hype and the meaning of the game- that is what led me to see that yesterday both games were going over and both away teams were going to win- if you look at last thursday with a small boar of two games also you had to overs and both home teams winning- when you have a small board for me as mentioned in other posts is much easier to pick because the lines become more accurate as the money has less places to flow to and lines seem to be better spaced- Home court seems to be more of a factor in the NCAA than in the NBA-
 
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Posted: #6407

Well guys I learned yesterday that if Dan Crawford is reffing a game ther's a good chance that the over hits, so make notes everyone!

Anyways let's all have a good all-star weekend guy's and come back refocused and refreshed!Cheers!

 
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Posted: #6408
Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

On a serious note, I want ya all's advice on what I'm thinking about doing. Since the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results, I'm going to do a test on two different methods.

1st method I'll call the no line approach.
It consists of looking at all the games without the lines. If you have two garbage ty teams playing each other you throw the game out. Look at the rest of the teams and pick the team you know is better and has more talent, regardless f whether they are at home or not. Then look at the line, if your giving up more than 4 points, throw it out, if you're getting points, great, play the sh it out of
it. Pure talent advantage has got to win out eventually! Screw home court (didn't help the Lakers or the Thunder a bit tonight) screw giving up 5 or more points. I got sick and tired of giving up a big number and hoping my team would have a blow out win or getting a big number and hoping my garbage ty team stays within it. The NBA is just to volatile to expect to be able to win consistently, so you have to figure out a way to make it less volatile. It's like cooling off a gas fire, or it's like having too many items on a menu, narrow it down with a team that you know has more talent!
2nd method is called just a f king hobby method.
This method will not work for the action addicted person. Every so offen we see games that look like pure locks. They may show up 2 games a week, there may only be 1 in a two week period, but then again there maybe 4 in a week, but when they show up you hammer the sh
it out of it. Maybe a better name for the method would be the cream of the crop!
Think about it, why do we spread our selves so thin. We don't do saturation bombings any more, we use persision lazor guided bombs.


Stick with option #2 man... It doesn't have to be considered a hobby if you're hitting the games hard when you see a game that you feel can't miss... If you like the action, maybe just bet small amounts when you don't have any strong picks... That way it helps you still have your finger on the pulse of whats going on in the NBA... That alone is important... And for many it takes gambling to really be determined on giving your total attention to the league.

Like yesterday I thought the Clippers line was an ultimate gift and put up a solid amount... And it paid dividends... Thankfully, because like many, NBA has been killing me as of late haha.

So like you I'm going to take the same sorta approach... Bet chump change daily and then when I see a juicy line I'll hit that sucker hard.

Best of luck to ya man.
 
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Posted: #6409
Quote Originally Posted by Fuzzrod:



Stick with option #2 man... It doesn't have to be considered a hobby if you're hitting the games hard when you see a game that you feel can't miss... If you like the action, maybe just bet small amounts when you don't have any strong picks... That way it helps you still have your finger on the pulse of whats going on in the NBA... That alone is important... And for many it takes gambling to really be determined on giving your total attention to the league.

Like yesterday I thought the Clippers line was an ultimate gift and put up a solid amount... And it paid dividends... Thankfully, because like many, NBA has been killing me as of late haha.

So like you I'm going to take the same sorta approach... Bet chump change daily and then when I see a juicy line I'll hit that sucker hard.

Best of luck to ya man.

Hey stop stealing my method fuzz 

Just kidding- but it is what I do- if you miss a week a day or a game you feel left out like you don't know what is going on but having some skin in the game in my case mostly $1 keeps you interested to follow the scores injuries trends etc.

I do a $1 parlay every day when it hits great when it doesn't cost of doing business- after that I select my top 3-

Yesterday I selected top four because I just saw it happening that way even before the lines came out and then I saw miami a dog and could not resist and added MLs and totals to other bets-

Still need two strong picks for my open spots on my 6 teamer-

 
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Posted: #6410

Wow, that's a tough stretch....Brutal...

 
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Posted: #6411
I like the spirit and have no problem with bad stretch as it happens. Now with the second half of NBA season always being more predictable and the balance taking on - I hope to materialize on experience and discipline combined with info and overall help this great community offers. GL to everyone and see you on the other side of NBA break
I am looking forward for our competition with 3 picks at most for person.
 
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Posted: #6412
AshyLarrymp:

YNG ST Penguins -10

i placed my bet last night at -10 as spread is now -11, but id still take -11 as Youngstown St faces Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers tonight. -11 is a lot of points! but this UW Milwaukee team is HISTORICALLY bad as they are 0-11 on the road this year and have lost 9 of them by double digits.. Youngstown st isn't a great team, but they hold home court well and will be looking to bounce back after a loss last outing.. if you're itching for a play tonight, id take Youngstown St over Milwaukee.. i expect closer to a 20 pt victory.

 but if not, relax enjoy the break people! BOL
 
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Posted: #6413
Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

On a serious note, I want ya all's advice on what I'm thinking about doing. Since the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results, I'm going to do a test on two different methods.

1st method I'll call the no line approach.
It consists of looking at all the games without the lines. If you have two garbage ty teams playing each other you throw the game out. Look at the rest of the teams and pick the team you know is better and has more talent, regardless f whether they are at home or not. Then look at the line, if your giving up more than 4 points, throw it out, if you're getting points, great, play the sh it out of
it. Pure talent advantage has got to win out eventually! Screw home court (didn't help the Lakers or the Thunder a bit tonight) screw giving up 5 or more points. I got sick and tired of giving up a big number and hoping my team would have a blow out win or getting a big number and hoping my garbage ty team stays within it. The NBA is just to volatile to expect to be able to win consistently, so you have to figure out a way to make it less volatile. It's like cooling off a gas fire, or it's like having too many items on a menu, narrow it down with a team that you know has more talent!
2nd method is called just a f king hobby method.
This method will not work for the action addicted person. Every so offen we see games that look like pure locks. They may show up 2 games a week, there may only be 1 in a two week period, but then again there maybe 4 in a week, but when they show up you hammer the sh
it out of it. Maybe a better name for the method would be the cream of the crop!
Think about it, why do we spread our selves so thin. We don't do saturation bombings any more, we use persision lazor guided bombs.


I am going to comment on one team the Los Angeles Lakers.
Your methodology for looking at a team with far more talent than the opposing team may run in to trouble here. Your going to look at this team and your going to get the line your looking for hammer it and lose. This team has talent oozing everywhere, BUT they cannot play together , have no defense, and they do not cover spreads. In fact they lose a lot to teams they should be beating. Careful with the Lakers! I am fading them and winning. 
 
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Posted: #6414
Well, There's a guy, who is making his life by betting on sports. He makes 20k euro/month now. His bankroll is over 150k. Amazing but true. I witnessed it with my eyes. Some people do it but very rare.
 
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Posted: #6415
Quote Originally Posted by MrMath:

Well, There's a guy, who is making his life by betting on sports. He makes 20k euro/month now. His bankroll is over 150k. Amazing but true. I witnessed it with my eyes. Some people do it but very rare.
What about our own Phixer? Take a look at his documented record before rising a curiosity:
24-23-1
+21,760 $

14-9  solid big plays +22430 $
2-4-1 medium plays -290 $       
8-10 small plays -380 $

Well, we too MrMath, we too witnessed it with our own eyes
 
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Posted: #6416
And that constitutes for his record in 2013
 
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Posted: #6417
Good point Eagle, but I think you'll see a different Laker team after the break. They are on the verge of missing the playoffs and I don't think the NBA wants to lose that big of a market! So until they are mathematically out of it, I think you'll see them play their as ses off!
 
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Posted: #6418
Ive taken a couple days off and I must say it actually feels great. I'll jump on the wagon again tomorrow though. Whats the longest hiatus you guys have taken from all sports handicapping? Just curious
 
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Posted: #6419
Not me...in the hole 20k
 
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Posted: #6420
Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

Good point Eagle, but I think you'll see a different Laker team after the break. They are on the verge of missing the playoffs and I don't think the NBA wants to lose that big of a market! So until they are mathematically out of it, I think you'll see them play their as ses off!


I really do not think the Lakers can put it together. The chemistry is bad. Miami took a year and a half before they were able to get the chemistry right between Bosh, LeBron, and Wade. That first year they couldnt play well together consistently. I do not think you are able to just decide to play your a s s off and turn your season around. Kobe, Nash, and Howard have no chemistry. It is not going to just magically appear after the all star break. It takes many games and a desire to work together. Howard and Kobe are too busy Jockeying for the Best Player on the Lakers. Fighting in the press. Kobe wants to prove to the whole world he can do everything on the basketball court and wants to be labeled King. Howard can't be satisfied being second fiddle. Kobe wants to be Mr. assist one night and then scorer the next. This does not allow the team to form a consistency and develop the chemistry. The other players are too busy trying to understand what their role is from game to game. "Do we feed Kobe tonight because he is going to be a scorer? " or " Do we get ready to score ourselves because Kobe is going to be driving and pass the ball"? This type of indecision causes turnovers, and turnovers spell break out baskets for the other teams. Which translates in to quick spread killers if the Lakers are covering at the time. This happened in the Phoenix game a few nights ago. Lakers up by 15 in third and then a run by the Suns due to the turnovers and quick break outs. The spread was done (-8.5) and the Lakers win by six. The Lakers do not have that stopping defense necessary to keep spreads intact. It is not going to be something that miraculously changes after the break. I am saying it now. Lakers do not make the playoffs this year and fading them in spots where they are favored by 4 or more points will be my bet the rest of the season.
 
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Posted: #6421
Quote Originally Posted by eaglequill:



I really do not think the Lakers can put it together. The chemistry is bad. Miami took a year and a half before they were able to get the chemistry right between Bosh, LeBron, and Wade. That first year they couldnt play well together consistently. I do not think you are able to just decide to play your a s s off and turn your season around. Kobe, Nash, and Howard have no chemistry. It is not going to just magically appear after the all star break. It takes many games and a desire to work together. Howard and Kobe are too busy Jockeying for the Best Player on the Lakers. Fighting in the press. Kobe wants to prove to the whole world he can do everything on the basketball court and wants to be labeled King. Howard can't be satisfied being second fiddle. Kobe wants to be Mr. assist one night and then scorer the next. This does not allow the team to form a consistency and develop the chemistry. The other players are too busy trying to understand what their role is from game to game. "Do we feed Kobe tonight because he is going to be a scorer? " or " Do we get ready to score ourselves because Kobe is going to be driving and pass the ball"? This type of indecision causes turnovers, and turnovers spell break out baskets for the other teams. Which translates in to quick spread killers if the Lakers are covering at the time. This happened in the Phoenix game a few nights ago. Lakers up by 15 in third and then a run by the Suns due to the turnovers and quick break outs. The spread was done (-8.5) and the Lakers win by six. The Lakers do not have that stopping defense necessary to keep spreads intact. It is not going to be something that miraculously changes after the break. I am saying it now. Lakers do not make the playoffs this year and fading them in spots where they are favored by 4 or more points will be my bet the rest of the season.
Spot on
 
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Posted: #6422
I guess we will find out soon enough. I'm not saying the Lakers are going to make the playoffs, it's obvious to any that has halfway decent that they are out of sink, but I would be careful about betting against them until they are mathematically eliminated. Your right when you say it takes more than just effort right their ship, it takes the many years of experience that Nash and Bryant have under their belt. I personally am not a fan of the Lakers, they've always been a bit ch of a team for me too get on the right side of, but now their running out of time and I think that minimizes the risk. Who knows, we all may get hit by a bunch of meteors tomorrow and it won't make a sh it!
 
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Posted: #6423
Correction: obvious to anyone that has halfway decent vision that they are out of sink.
I'll stick my neck out and say that after the all star game there will be a window of opportunity of making money betting on the Lakers. Just my opinion! The second half of every season whether it's
football, basketball or especially baseball the teams that have been there before tend to make a run. In baseball it's more the pitchers #'s tend to get closer to his career #'s. Anyway let's all have a great second half and make some damn money. Zuzzy, I think I'll take you and Turbomans advice and just play heavy on the cream if I can figure out which ones they are! Good luck everyone and thanks Mavin for putting this deal together!
 
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Posted: #6424
Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:

Correction: obvious to anyone that has halfway decent vision that they are out of sink.
I'll stick my neck out and say that after the all star game there will be a window of opportunity of making money betting on the Lakers. Just my opinion! The second half of every season whether it's
football, basketball or especially baseball the teams that have been there before tend to make a run. In baseball it's more the pitchers #'s tend to get closer to his career #'s. Anyway let's all have a great second half and make some damn money. Zuzzy, I think I'll take you and Turbomans advice and just play heavy on the cream if I can figure out which ones they are! Good luck everyone and thanks Mavin for putting this deal together!


Oreo I respect your opinion and you have helped me look at a different perspective. That I appreciate! 
 
 
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Posted: #6425
As have you eagle, I always enjoy your write up's!
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