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Prospect
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Posted: #7801
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:

anyone else like nuggets-4.5 tomorrow? i know the nuggets are on a back to back and on the road.. but the kings are BAD.. nuggets have won 9 of last 10 vs the kings.. last 3 on the road, and they played on Jan 26th 2013 and Nuggets won by 28.. kings last 2 wins have come vs Charlotte and Orlando.. not sure if they are capable of hanging with the nuggets.. what's everyone else think? good bet or am i being trapped? 

Nuggets look like a solid play... Now that the playoff race is starting to develop, I believe teams like the Nuggets will win games they may have not won earlier in the season. In this case they did! The Over could be something to look at too.
 
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Posted: #7802

VyperATS 9-7-1

Boston -1

Den Nuggets -4.5

Bos Celtics -2

There's a different vibe running through the Boston Celtics practice facility nowadays. It truly feels like this team is gearing up to make their final push as the NBA Playoffs rapidly approach. Stretch Run is why Boston will beat 76sixers as they have nothing to play for and Celtics do!! When making picks this time of year..who has the most heart in the game!! Boston in this Game!! So,so, many reason why to win!! The Celtics, a fairly decent team are taking to the road to face the Sixers. The problem is the Sixers are a team with a losing record and one which may have trouble overcoming the onslaught of the Celtic’s! I see a run for playoffs spot and nothing for 76sixers! Boston has been playing very well!

Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. Win.

Betting Pick: Boston -1

Denver/Sac Kings

The Kings are going to be playing host to the Denver Nuggets, but with the records of these two teams and the scoring machine known as Denver, the Kings might as well be facing a boulder rolling down off of the mountains. Nuggets have been scoring a hundred and three plus per game, but the Kings defense may even allow them to score more then that as they have been poor defensively and give up a hundred and five a game. This is coming from an offense for the Kings who only score ninety eight a game. Nuggets are in back to back spot but with such a deep team it will not be a problem. Kings have been playing better but Denver has owned them winning both games by 20 plus points. Final Score Prediction, Nuggets win 112-97, nice ATS winner as Denver makes it 3-0 on the season.

Nuggets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Nuggets are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

 

Betting Pick Denver -4.5

 

 
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Posted: #7803
Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:


Nuggets look like a solid play... Now that the playoff race is starting to develop, I believe teams like the Nuggets will win games they may have not won earlier in the season. In this case they did! The Over could be something to look at too.
Love love Nuggets ! this is a strong play!!!
BOL to all!!
 
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Posted: #7804
“Casinos and prostitutes have the same thing in common; they are both trying to screw you out of your money and send you home with a smile on you face.”
 
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Posted: #7805
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:

just saw kings are 4-10 in last month, but 10 of those games were on the road, Kings were 3-1 at home during this span beating the Jazz, Rockets, Magic and Bobcats, only loss was to San Antonio by 6.. hmm tricky one after all i guess.. interested to hear what you guys think, with only 3 games, i'm sure we'll have opinions on all of them.


watch the line movement bro 4.5 is easy to cover for den but we all know how sac play at  home... (still bitter not knowing only 9 players will play on atl againts den and put $ on over lol) but yah see how the line movement first if theres any before you decide as den is easy to call as every one knows

 
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Posted: #7806
Quote Originally Posted by lrempel:

lrempel 2-2

Port trailblazers -12.5

Atl Hawks +10.5

Orl Magic +8.5


Char @ Port -13

 I don't think much needs being said on this one, Port should walk away with this one. Char won't be able to put up the points tonight to hang around. In recent history Port has Beat up Char by this amount at hm, and with Char recent losses of much greater than this, I can't see this game turning out any better for them.


+10.5Atl @ Den  / under 212 

I beleive this spread is too much. Atl has played some very close games in Den since their last win there. Den does not play well on nights with 2 days rest. Seeing a low scoring battle here, the total might be way too high. Atl on no rest scoring is low, only giving up 91 pts /gm on 14 games played with no rest. scoring an avg of 5 more on 0 rest for a total of 187, Den on 2 days rest avg 107 total. So If you can see atl keeping the score down here as they do without rest and meet these 2 totals in the middle, we could be looking at a game scoring aroung 195-197? totals @ 211? Seems way off to me. Looking at the total regarding days off numbers.


+8.5Orl@ NO / over 194.5

NO on 2 day rest give up an avg 10 pts more than scoring. NO 0-3 su/ats vs no rest teams, 1-5 su/ats on 2 days rest overall. I think this one might eclipse this total




 LMAO Somehow talked myself into taking Atlanta   when I even clearly wrote the best play down within that pick at taking the under in the game. :( Called it being way too high, even projected 195-197 and that was still too high :( One of those line I try to look for that you can sell pts on it and take it at better odds.
 However, it was a very profitable night in the end :) I must say there's a number of gents around this thread that I can enjoy conversing with. Not cutting down one's pick, simply asking for reasoning that we can all maybe profit together
I can say that I've been busy working, haven't had alot of time to play the sports, alway's paying attention though. :) Having only been on this thread chatting with you guys, getting the feeling of being on the right side of the card you could say, I've profitted fairly well the last 3 day's hanging aroung  claiming 15-1 on my investment so far :) Good bunch of guys in here I've integrated my own way of doing things, learning some from you boys in here And trust me the biggest thing I need is a restraint at times, that's what can kill me. And I'm adapting to only finding those certain play's, not every and any play. I may not alway's like your pick, and if I ask a question why, I'm not meaning any disrespect, just trying to cash in :)

Cudo's Mavin  Great job your doing here , I only hope I can continue to make my own posts legit :) LOL I don't know how I"m scre3ing garbage up :) somehow I do lol,  I look forward to hanging around in here :) and seeing if we can't all get on the same page :)
 
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Posted: #7807
Heat is at it's best and Minny's defense is shaky while under maned.  

CP74 14-12

Over 196 1/2 MIA Heat-MIN Twolves
 
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Posted: #7808
Hey Mavin just so your not thinking I'm crazy, the reasoning the Port line say's 12.5 in my pick, yet 13 in my analysis, well that was because the line had just changed and I took it where it was lol
 
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Posted: #7809

kjacobs2O3 (7-2)

BOS Celtics -1

Im going to start by saying that boston had 3 days rest before todays game while only traveling from boston to philly. Thats big for the performance of KG and Pierce. boston has already proven to be able to play without rondo. second philly has lost 8 of their last 9 games, and their only win involved rlm in that span just a few days ago . but its still the rest for the celtics which is my main reason for taking this bet.

Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest

Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

 
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Posted: #7810
Im actually surprised a lot of you pick so early. I prefer to see what vegas does with lines and public betting.
 
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Posted: #7811
Quote Originally Posted by VyperATS:

VyperATS 9-7-1

Boston -1

Den Nuggets -4.5

Bos Celtics -2

There's a different vibe running through the Boston Celtics practice facility nowadays. It truly feels like this team is gearing up to make their final push as the NBA Playoffs rapidly approach. Stretch Run is why Boston will beat 76sixers as they have nothing to play for and Celtics do!! When making picks this time of year..who has the most heart in the game!! Boston in this Game!! So,so, many reason why to win!! The Celtics, a fairly decent team are taking to the road to face the Sixers. The problem is the Sixers are a team with a losing record and one which may have trouble overcoming the onslaught of the Celtic’s! I see a run for playoffs spot and nothing for 76sixers! Boston has been playing very well!

Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. Win.

Betting Pick: Boston -1

Denver/Sac Kings

The Kings are going to be playing host to the Denver Nuggets, but with the records of these two teams and the scoring machine known as Denver, the Kings might as well be facing a boulder rolling down off of the mountains. Nuggets have been scoring a hundred and three plus per game, but the Kings defense may even allow them to score more then that as they have been poor defensively and give up a hundred and five a game. This is coming from an offense for the Kings who only score ninety eight a game. Nuggets are in back to back spot but with such a deep team it will not be a problem. Kings have been playing better but Denver has owned them winning both games by 20 plus points. Final Score Prediction, Nuggets win 112-97, nice ATS winner as Denver makes it 3-0 on the season.

Nuggets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Nuggets are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

 

Betting Pick Denver -4.5

 


I like both your plays sir. Celtics last game was on Friday and both Paul Pierce and KG were allowed to rest this weekend and came back energized and focused on Monday's practice. Jason Terry was also allowed to rest. For reasons you already mentioned I strongly believe the Celtics will deliver.
 
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Posted: #7812

12-6

Going with Nuggets.  5-1-1 last 7 meetings.  Favorite 5-1-1 last 7 meetings.  Nuggets 3-1-1 last 5 in Sarcamento.  Nuggets are in playoff race Kings are not.  Also going with the over as it has been 4-0 last 4 meetings and its Sacramento. 

DEN Nuggets -5

Over 221 DEN Nuggets-SAC Kings

BOL!

 
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Posted: #7813
Quote Originally Posted by muneemaker:



0.07 sec left useless foul pushed it over the cover. Irving hits the dam rim and theres no time for a foul. the most expensive airball i ever watched

Been there many times.
 
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Posted: #7814
Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:

Overtime... I wrote about that in my write-up. How should you look at totals if you think it will be a close game and possibly go in to overtime?

That is very tough I don't know what the pct of games that go to OT is but back to back (if you referring to the bucks game) now that is something you take and just move on-
 
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Posted: #7815
Quote Originally Posted by jpaco:

haha hawks looks so daym tired doens't even want to run anymore when they were down double digit that killed the over oh well tsk tsk tsk 

Thats what I stated before after the hard fought loss against the Lakers I didn't think they had the legs or the heart to keep up with the up down game the court game Denver is now known for.
 
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Posted: #7816
Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:

Im actually surprised a lot of you pick so early. I prefer to see what vegas does with lines and public betting.

Generally that is the idea but when you do your homework and pick your lines and it matches or the lines are in your favor once they come out it can make you feel confident on your pick.
 
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Posted: #7817
At work most of last night (a little break to come here and share info. on 1H/2H betting) so did not get to watch games and didn't really had a line that say go big money on. I did however did this entertainment pick as you know I do every day, probably should have posted it but did not want anyone thinking a lot of work went into this- it was simply the theory of the Under on Mondays combined with the recent hot teams or teams with passion. If I had done all the leg work and was able to watch the games (this allows for hedging at the half etc. I would have done this for $100-

 7 Team Teaser 6, 6½, 7 pts Football & 5½, 6,6½ pts Basketball

( Risking: 10.00 - To Win: 80.00 )

WIN

03/04/2013

07:15 PM NBA 

[701] NEW YORK +3-110 (B+5½)

Score: NEW YORK(102) - CLEVELAND(97)

WIN

03/04/2013

07:15 PM NBA 

[702] TOTAL u207-110 (B+5½) (NEW YORK vrs CLEVELAND)

Score: NEW YORK(102) - CLEVELAND(97)

WIN

03/04/2013

08:15 PM NBA 

[705] MIAMI -4½-110 (B+5½)

Score: MIAMI(97) - MINNESOTA(81)

WIN

03/04/2013

08:15 PM NBA 

[706] TOTAL u202-110 (B+5½) (MIAMI vrs MINNESOTA)

Score: MIAMI(97) - MINNESOTA(81)

WIN

03/04/2013

09:15 PM NBA 

[710] DENVER -4½-110 (B+5½)

Score: ATLANTA(88) - DENVER(104)

WIN

03/04/2013

09:15 PM NBA 

[710] TOTAL u217½-110 (B+5½) (ATLANTA vrs DENVER)

Score: ATLANTA(88) - DENVER(104)

WIN

03/04/2013

10:45 PM NBA 

[714] GOLDEN STATE -½-110 (B+5½)

Score: TORONTO(118) - GOLDEN STATE(125)

WIN

 
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Posted: #7818
That was my teaser and this is was my $1 Parlay- no one hated the bucks game more than I did.

REGULAR PARLAY CARD)**

( Risking: 1.00 - To Win: 600.00 )

LOSE

03/04/2013

07:15 PM NBA 

1. NEW YORK -3

Score: NEW YORK(102) - CLEVELAND(97)

WIN

03/04/2013

08:15 PM NBA 

3. ORLANDO +9

Score: ORLANDO(105) - NEW ORLEANS(102)

WIN

03/04/2013

08:15 PM NBA 

5. MIAMI -10

Score: MIAMI(97) - MINNESOTA(81)

WIN

03/04/2013

08:15 PM NBA 

8. MILWAUKEE -5

Score: UTAH(108) - MILWAUKEE(109)

LOSE

03/04/2013

09:15 PM NBA 

10. DENVER -11

Score: ATLANTA(88) - DENVER(104)

WIN

03/04/2013

10:15 PM NBA 

12. PORTLAND -13

Score: CHARLOTTE(105) - PORTLAND(122)

WIN

03/04/2013

10:45 PM NBA 

14. GOLDEN STATE -6

Score: TORONTO(118) - GOLDEN STATE(125)

WIN

03/04/2013

07:15 PM NHL 

16. TORONTO -1

Score: NEW JERSEY(2) - TORONTO(4)

WIN

03/04/2013

07:45 PM NHL 

18. PITTSBURGH -1

Score: TAMPA BAY(3) - PITTSBURGH(4)

PUSH

03/04/2013

10:45 PM NHL 

22. LOS ANGELES -1

Score: NASHVILLE(1) - LOS ANGELES(5)

WIN

 
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Posted: #7819
Quote Originally Posted by sarG:

sarG 3-1

MIA Heat -10

CLE Cavaliers +3.5

DEN Nuggets -9

The Miami Heat are going up against the injury plagued Timberwolves. There is a chance Lebron isn't 100%, but with the lack of an interior presence to shot block & rebound I'm betting Bosh and Wade will go off.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are my pick simply because of the old legs of NY coming off a B2B going against the rested young legs of Kyrie Irving and CO. I see this one coming down to the wire, with the Knicks possibly winning with a buzzer beater by Carmelo or J.R.

The Denver Nuggets are going up against another team coming off a B2B, which also happened to be a tough loss to L.A. There is a good chance the ATL players went out clubbing to get their mind off the game before traveling to Denver. I think the lack of energy, altitude, & playing against a Nuggets team that is Hyper up-tempo will be too much for ATL. I see a blow out win by the Nuggets.

Nicely done- if not by the late game comeback it would have been a hat trick- Not only did you get them right your rationale supports the outcome for your wins.
 
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Posted: #7820
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:

AshyLarryMP: (15-19)

CLE Cavilers +3

UNDER 204 CLE Cavilers NY Knicks

UNDER 196.5 MIA Heat - MIN Timberwolves

Cleveland has won the last 10 meetings between these 2 teams at home.. in the last 5 meetings post lebron.. Cavs have won both at home, lost by 1 to nyk and to other large losses in New York.. i feel with the return of Kyrie plus Knicks off a deflating loss, cavs have chance at ML.
i think this line has become inflated as this is the #1 bet game of the day and 72% and counting of bets coming in on over.. 4 of the last 5 between these 2 have come under the total of 203, line was at 201 at one point this morning, so i'll grab the extra value.
RLM as majority of bets are on the Over, and i agreed with Lopel's post supporting the average scores of these teams on road and at home..feel with lebron having his knee 'banged up.' heat could shutdown Minny's offense and win this one 100-89.

- no one should be tailing me, hence my record ha ha, and doubt they are, but i am learning from you guys! and am very upbeat about the opportunity of getting above .500 again practice makes perfect! BOL everyone and thanks for listening.

same deal as sarG - your wins turned out in line with your write up-
 
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Posted: #7821
Have not looked at the lines yet but early leans are the overs and playoff bound teams - I like OKC have not seen the line but if it's anything -3 or better I may be doing that- both teams coming off long tough wins on two days rest OKC revenge game, looking to put the Lakers into a tough spot, if the lakers to win this game it may be a start of a nice streak of 3 games which has occurred 3 times this year- along with a 5 game streak for a total of 4 of 3 or more.

The Kings I could never get right so I will do my homework and probably bet against them and then add them as a pick to a parlay-
 
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Posted: #7822

KrishBreezy 12-9

UNDER 184.5 BOS Celtics PHI 76ers
BOS Celtics -2
DEN Nuggets -5

Both teams rested, Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. (Though the refs are more for the over side) and Rest is good for boston -- Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Each win is important now with the playoff seeding coming into mind
Nuggets are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento
 
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Posted: #7823
hey guys can you provide me with a link for the public betting money? thanks
 
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Posted: #7824
https://www.scoresandodds.com/casinogrid.html
 
 
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Posted: #7825
MAVIN = u know we can all join wagerminds and let the cappers enter their own picks and it keeps up with record, win %, and units. Would just be a lot easier. It's a great site.

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