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Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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greengiants

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Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 526

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 6:22 PM ET #9301

greengiants 27-29

ORL Magic +11

-Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games

-Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

-Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

-Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games

-Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win

-Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points

Over 194 IND Pacers - ORL Magic

-Over is 6-1 in Magic last 7 games following a S.U. loss

-Over is 12-3-1 in Magic last 16 vs. NBA Central

-Over is 10-3-1 in Magic last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game

-Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record

-Over is 8-2 in Pacers last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game

-Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 vs. NBA Southeast

-Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points

best of luck to everyone tonight!

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Turbovtk

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 1676

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 6:31 PM ET #9302

Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:

Hate to be against the consensus picks here, and especially JPaco who has been on fire recently (Anyone else notice he didn't play the Heat last night? Should have been a dead give away!)

I just see this game in Oklahoma City playing out differently....

Either way, best of luck tonight gentlemen and great handicapping!

He has been on fire no doubt but no one and I mean no one that picked the Celtics can say they knew that Green was going to get them much much Green

We should all analyze games before and after as phixer, mavin and I, as well as others have pointed out it is not just important to win the games but to see if you reasoning is why they won or if they won by unpredictable events. I had ML on most of my Picks for Heat and -2 so I did ok and It was because of what I said King James' world and we just live in it.

If I would have said they would win/cover because Battier was going to hit 10 3pt shoots and Allen 10 3pt shots I would be wrong and would need to reconsider my analysis and my system.

Same thing with Denver I stated they will lose or not cover only if they themselves or the Bulls slow the game down and intensity drops. I made my bet knowing this was a possibility and hoped it did not come to that. I learned a lot from the games last night and you can't put a price on that. I ended the day up so it was FREE schooling for me.

I learned looking forward that the Heat and Nuggets know how to close out games so it pays when they have low MLs. The Nuggets showed this against OKC and against Bulls. The Celtics showed they can't close games out. I know the Heat are playing like the Martians of the Michael Jordan movie but if you are up by 17 and later by 13 you should learn clock management and not think that because you shot like 68% in the 1H it will continue to go that way the whole game. This should have not even been a contest if the Heat had played better D against Green. I think that if Garnet would have played they would have lost by about 15 pts or more. Green will not have another game like he did last nite at least not against a top tier team.

As for the Lakers as stated before I am done with backing them and Really do hope they get into the playoffs as it should make for easy pickings with or without Kobe. Their problem last night was not Kobe it was poor clock management and play calling- everything was a 3pt attempt and they were wearing cements boots on the defensive board side just no hops. I picked them thinking momentum and the Jazz breathing down their necks would create intensity but it did not work that way now I know they can't just rely on motivation factor they need more time to get their act together, they have skills but no chemistry or a decent game plan that states their identity.