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Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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Posted: #1151
Quote Originally Posted by ThinkTwice:

SportsMavin, i know you are good at what you do, but i have never see a 60% capper in the long run (200 games min) the way you are picking right now, it does look like you will hit that 200 in a month or two. be prepared to get a losing streak and a lot of bad stuff from those people tailed you in the past. MGM has a good start, but after he got cold, that was really cold, he is on his 3rd week of losing and i saw a lot of followers swear at him on here and twitter. Just get ready. BOL on what you do.
Thanks.
This thread is not about SportsMavin and his philosophies of betting or his methodologies - it is about the best betting philosophies and methodologies. Once I feel my job is done and there are handicappers who are capping with no ego  - and thus are not afraid of any trolls/haters - I'll be gone from here in a second... Just like that... I am not in competition with anyone. I am trying to treat sports handicapping at the very least like the books and their odds makers do. And then that would be a fair game. I know they have better tools and professional man power. But they also have to deal with much more games and changes every second than I do, since I can make my own choice what I bet on. They have no choice - they have to handicap everything... If I can materialize that small/great advantage called choice - I'll be OK. And I am OK. Sometimes I deviate from my route - but I'm back on it soon as I have spikes set up all along the route to prevent me from deviation and constantly remind me to stay on course. One of those spikes are all of you towards whom I carry responsibility the minute I hit the keyboard on my PC/tablet/laptop/iphone/ipad
 
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Posted: #1152
SportsMavin,

I've been enjoying the discussions and your picks, so thanks.  I'm relatively new to the endeavor, and find that I have trouble balancing between various different inputs as I try to come up with lines.  It seems like there's a long term talent component (Heat > Wizards), a short term component (Clippers on a 17 game win streak), and a situational component (road trips, injuries, coming off a streak, etc).  I have no doubt that balancing between all these factors is an art, not a science. But if you had any insight into how you break these factors down and combine them (or if you do!?), that would be super helpful!
 
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Posted: #1153
Is it just me Mavin/MelosJumper, or are the books telling us that the MIN vs. DEN game will most likely be UNDER 202.5(or current line dropping) and also that Denver will blow out MIN by more than 8(or current line that is increasing)
 
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Posted: #1154
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

Thanks.
This thread is not about SportsMavin and his philosophies of betting or his methodologies - it is about the best betting philosophies and methodologies. Once I feel my job is done and there are handicappers who are capping with no ego  - and thus are not afraid of any trolls/haters - I'll be gone from here in a second... Just like that... I am not in competition with anyone. I am trying to treat sports handicapping at the very least like the books and their odds makers do. And then that would be a fair game. I know they have better tools and professional man power. But they also have to deal with much more games and changes every second than I do, since I can make my own choice what I bet on. They have no choice - they have to handicap everything... If I can materialize that small/great advantage called choice - I'll be OK. And I am OK. Sometimes I deviate from my route - but I'm back on it soon as I have spikes set up all along the route to prevent me from deviation and constantly remind me to stay on course. One of those spikes are all of you towards whom I carry responsibility the minute I hit the keyboard on my PC/tablet/laptop/iphone/ipad


I don´t participate a lot on this thread, but I read it everyday. I really wish this forum has more than 1 thread like this. People here should fight againts the books and not each other. Mavin, even if you pick wrong bets, you have created a great thread and that is what this forum should be.


Mavin for president!!!
 
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Posted: #1155
Quote Originally Posted by delman:

SportsMavin,

I've been enjoying the discussions and your picks, so thanks.  I'm relatively new to the endeavor, and find that I have trouble balancing between various different inputs as I try to come up with lines.  It seems like there's a long term talent component (Heat > Wizards), a short term component (Clippers on a 17 game win streak), and a situational component (road trips, injuries, coming off a streak, etc).  I have no doubt that balancing between all these factors is an art, not a science. But if you had any insight into how you break these factors down and combine them (or if you do!?), that would be super helpful!
The formula to apply to the raw data that you just described in short and very skillfully () is ATS records that always find their way to balance themselves out. 
You have to read the thread in whole to get more than a short answer which contains of "day of the week" factor, "code" factor that helps to balance the ATS factor not necessarily in Strong beats a Weak fashion. 
You call it art and you can call it science. For me it is a Sports Handicapping "par excellance"....
I think you know more than you're saying if you could put your hands right at the junction.... And I'm sure you'll do just fine as long as you won't let yourself to be downgraded to just another degenerate who works hard for his money only to surrender it to the books. GL 
 
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Posted: #1156
Quote Originally Posted by Guaji:



I don´t participate a lot on this thread, but I read it everyday. I really wish this forum has more than 1 thread like this. People here should fight againts the books and not each other. Mavin, even if you pick wrong bets, you have created a great thread and that is what this forum should be.


Mavin for president!!!
Thanks. I don't really see or feel any trolling here or "haters" or people against each other. I also do not really mind if people have opposing opinions. Once people realize they reflect their own personalities by responding positively, or negatively, and those who are in my position realize that the ego is an obstacle in this business - EVERYTHING GETS A OK!
 
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Posted: #1157
I enjo your write ups and appreciate your time and effort Mavin,  THANKS!
 
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Posted: #1158
Quote Originally Posted by Prettyboy909:

Marvin do you bet on sports for a living or do you have a side job as well?
I addressed that question earlier. I handicap  full time. Sports and Options
 
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Posted: #1159
Mavin, i am sure you answer this already..i try to read through but i coudnt find anything. 
my question is about options. do you have a website or maybe a way of getting in touch with you about options. i am looking for a good options consultant. thank you 
 
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Posted: #1160
great to see a thread  like this with real handicapping advice n not just b.s shout out to marvin on SA n GS yesterday what are you thinking for 2night?
 
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Posted: #1161
Sorry guys. there is 2 plays for thursday.

min +8
Min over 202
 
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Posted: #1162
my bad about ^^^^ wrong place. sorry mavin
 
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Posted: #1163

Mavin,

Forgive me for I have sinned.

I am one of the silent majority who has been quietly following this thread and tailed some of your NBA picks. I have really learned a lot and have been pretty good at keeping the bets small and not chasing.  I started this fall with an $1100 bankroll and had recently gotten it up to $2020 through my own plays on NFL, College FBall,esp. Bowl Games and your help in NBA.

Last night I STUUUUUUPIDLY lost $700 on the online casino portion of my sportsbook. Now I basically have to start over but I am so tempted to get it all back in one or two bets this week to get "even".  Any thoughts out there from all how I can recover from this dumb mistake? 

 
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Posted: #1164
Yo Marvin, If you leave I'll be BROKE!!!!!
 
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Posted: #1165

Quote Originally Posted by Kalven:

Yo Marvin, If you leave I'll be BROKE!!!!!

 

Ditto! release your picks! if u go with knicks tonight ima drop 4 units on them!

 
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Posted: #1166
Denver seems a good pick tonight, even with this -8, Line is falling but massive betting on denver, going -6,5 to -8 

Indeed Minesota played yesterday and lose by 20+ points on the road Vs jazz 

Denver broke the streak of lac so ...
And Timberwolves lost 20 of its 23 Meetings with the nuggets


(sry for my bad english, im so far, from Europe)


 
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Posted: #1167
i'm relatively new here, lurking around for new intel from you vets. I really wanted to thanks Marvin and everyone else that's contributed.
 
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Posted: #1168
Quote Originally Posted by austintx11:

this is all garbage

nice copy and paste lmao


This was post #14 in this thread. We haven't really heard from austintx11 recently, huh? Mavin, nice work calmly subduing the negativity of this poster and keeping an eye on the ball.

Love keeping up with this thread. I learn something new every day. Thanks!
 
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Posted: #1169
My leans for today are
over Knicks 208
Wolves +8

Thursday this a dog day so far, the wolves played awful yesterday and I'm expecting a bounce back today, and the Nuggets winning against the Clippers without Lawson, don't know if they will be motivated enough to win this game.
I think Denver wins but close.
I'm going to study this games and see who will play and who will not play in order to take a final pick.
 
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Posted: #1170
Quote Originally Posted by Kohler:

Mavin,

Forgive me for I have sinned.

I am one of the silent majority who has been quietly following this thread and tailed some of your NBA picks. I have really learned a lot and have been pretty good at keeping the bets small and not chasing.  I started this fall with an $1100 bankroll and had recently gotten it up to $2020 through my own plays on NFL, College FBall,esp. Bowl Games and your help in NBA.

Last night I STUUUUUUPIDLY lost $700 on the online casino portion of my sportsbook. Now I basically have to start over but I am so tempted to get it all back in one or two bets this week to get "even".  Any thoughts out there from all how I can recover from this dumb mistake? 



I have also been part of the silent crowd trying to see if Mavin and this thread would just be another one of those flash in the pan type experiences. Here one day with some plays, gone another when things aren't going so well.

Kohler -- think of your hard work to cap those games... Bankroll management has probably helped you to climb your roll to where it is now. Don't lose sight because you expect to be winning more than you currently are. Take a breath. Fingers off the keyboard. Small card tonight. Remember there will always be games to bet on tomorrow. And a much larger card to choose from. My advice >>> Don't chase!!! Slow and steady wins this race, sir.


I have been on a nice little heater the past couple weeks. I have been scanning this thread for useful information to help cap the games for the day. I have noticed a sweet little trend in the short run --- when my picks coincide with yours, Mavin, we have been on a solid 4-0 run the past couple days. Hitting the Warriors and the Suns last night. Mavs and Rockets previous days. This makes me want to contemplate increasing the units of the plays that we "agree" on. 


Anyhow.... I hope to add some of my personal insight form my research and the games I watch so that we can all continue to pound the books right where it hurts. 

Small card today. Nothing really jumping out at me. 


SA @ NY: Spurs have been great but coming off a B2B where the Knicks play really well. What concern's me on the Knicks side is Amar'e. I just didn't get a really good sense of his contribution last game and kind of that it boggled down their game last time out. I think Spurs are the better team but the situation really favors the Knicks. Things are heating up in NY as they have lost 4 of their last 7 and recently let the Blazers come in to their home floor and beat them. They are 12-3 at home and have always won the next game after losing one at MSG. 

SA @ NY: No Play


MIN @ DEN: Denver should be able to handle Love and the Wolves but will they experience a let down after beating the clips? The line is a bit high for me but the Nuggets dominate at home. They have covered the spread their last 5 home games and have covered at home in all but 2 games this season. Minnesota is coming off a B2B where they were crushed by the Jazz. 

Andre Miller is a much slower paced guard than Ty Lawson. Shall we take a look at the O/U as a possible play?


The most recent news I have on him is:

"Ty Lawson was diagnosed with a strained left Achilles on Wednesday and he is a game-time decision for Thursday.
An MRI revealed nothing out of the ordinary and this is good news for Lawson. He might need to rest for a game or two, but it's not an injury that should result in extended trip on the inactive list. Andre Miller will continue to start in his absence and should put up very strong numbers if Lawson is going to miss more games. Andre Iguodala and Corey Brewer also get a boost with Lawson out of the lineup. Jan 2 - 10:57 PM"



MIN @ DEN: Leaning Denver -8, Under 201.5



 
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Posted: #1171
Going to stay away from Denver -8. Lots of public money on them after getting lots of airtime once they beat the Clippers' streak. 



Really think that Miller controlling the tempo will make this game stay under. TWolves have cracked 100 points only 1 in their last 7 games-- their only game over 100 in that span was against he Suns in Minnesota. Now they have to play on the road, against a good Denver squad, and a tough altitude. 

Playing the Under 201.5. 1 unit play. BOL to all. Happy New Year. 





 
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Posted: #1172

Legend,

Thanks for the kind words of encouragement.

 
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Posted: #1173

FULL SPEED AHEAD SPORTS!!! LETS GRAB SOME $$$ TONIGHT

 
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Posted: #1174
Sorry for your loss Kohler. Best advice I could give you is to have your sportsbook lock you out of their casino forever. Dont play anything that doesnt have handicapping envoled! Take your time and remember its a marathon not a sprint!
 
 
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Posted: #1175
Mavin 101.... Beware of Thursdays and games on Prime Time TV!
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