Hello. I am new. Follow me and you will make money. No Gimmick.

Back in 30. Jay, you think NE covers?

10 Games x $100 = $1000

7 Wins x $190 (-110 each game) = $1330

$1330 - $1000 = $330

Total profit to date: +$330, +3.3 units

Todays Games: Sun Dec 23rd

MIN +8.5

ORL -1

DAL +11.5

SAC -1

GL guys

17 Games x $100 = $1700

10 Wins x $190 (-110 each game) = $1900

$1900 - $1700 = $200

Total profit to date: +$200, +2 units

Trying to manage a virtual record on a hangover is tough lol  ignore record in post 353..

LOCKED IN:

LEANS:

All these new accounts? You really think I create fake accounts to prop my thread lol? I don't give a fk what u think. The vets...lol give me a break. You make it sound like you are war vets. People with 30k posts have no life other then degenerating. Maybe Kap should spend the time with his wife rather then spend hours a day on covers. No wonder she cheated on him. 

I was never aggressive till i was attacked. You guys accuse me of lying but yet you have zero proof. The only thing that has been proven here is I have winnng record and no losing days so far. Stop being a hater. 

Just because you've been on covers for years and have thousands of posts doesn't make you run the show or give you the right to come into other threads and call people liars. 

Since you're the host of this thread MITkid - I'll start with you. Simple advice:

 1.The only thing that makes a strong impression among the gamblers is the ability to maintain the positive balance, showing up daily, keeping your records straight and not being so sensitive to the remarks meant to belittle you. If you show your sensitivity - you're exposing yourself to more of the same with the other side knowing how to push the buttons.

Now let's see: You do have a positive record, you do show up daily and at least trying to maintain the records. In that regard you have to decide whether you're straight betting (100 to win 90) or betting 110 to win 100. Seems by your counting that you're straight betting. So no need to go into complicating the numbers. Wins are +90. losses are -100.

2. Using the right terminology will help. The least needed to maintain the positive record is 53.3% success. Means that if you go 50-50% - that is the loss of the juice and you'll be in a hole.

Nobody really cares if you're really betting the sums you say you do or not. And nobody should. Unless you boast some big wins and paying for tuition etc. No need.

3. You seem to choose the right plays, but for a prolonged period of time, playing 7 games a night will get you in the hole. Without a slightest of the doubts.

4. You should be prepared for losing days as well, so be humble and everything else will come to you.

I really wish you the best of luck and thank you for your effort and willingness to share.

Now to all the "others" who are with a microscope looking to catch the "liar", "cheater" or a dumb behind. This is a holiday season and each of you have to find in your heart a warm place to welcome the different among you/us. Believe me you'll feel better about yourselves. And to the pro gamblers who visit this man's thread - please - let us help the man to develop his skills in a positive way  - and the skills he has, and the determination - so please treat the man positively and who knows, in a month or two - we might have a profit maker at least for sometime. This is a time of the year each of us has to hold himself accountable for his actions and make the resolution for the next year. Let's do it right this time.

smart bets is tout hes on twitter

I appreciate your effort and advice. Just because I bet 7 games a night does not mean I am a loser, or it's a losing proposition. It does not matter if I bet 7 games a night, 70, 7000. The games don't talk to eachother. If I see a +EV bet, I take it. Sometimes I bet 0 games a day. Sometimes 10. It's actually 52.4%, not 53.3. I also don't play $100's. I don't lay 10%. I am just using those numbers for tracking purposes and because that is what most lines are at. 

I get better prices, I vary my bet size depending on my own calculated edge on my true lines. My betting is far more complicated than the average covers person can see. I am not going into advance mathematics and statistics in this forum. People here think knowing what variance is and the law of large numbers means they are some kind of expert. 

The facts are I said I came here to help, I offered picks for free, and people made assumptions and called me a liar. People assume I bet $100 because they did not read my first post properly. People assume you don't go to a certain school because you did not type out a proper sentence with proper spelling and grammar on your iphone, so that makes you a liar. It's hilarious.

People call me a liar because THEY did not go to a good school, and THEY did not pay their way THRU it, and THEY can not hit 59% over 7 years. THEY are losers so they hate and grasp whatever bs they can to try and spin it into something they want in order to feel better about their pathetic lives.

You have to learn not to be defensive and elevate yourself above anger. If you're doing what you're doing for altruistic reasons - you shouldn't care about the distractions and shouldn't expect the gratitude neither. Your satisfaction will come with the success and everything else wouldn't matter. If you know the meaning of the Psychology and where it's roots come from  - you should know that when you hear someone telling you how happy he is without you asking - the true meaning is that that person longs for happiness and makes up for that deficiency by telling everybody about it. Like the couples who demonstratively hug each other publicly - they're hiding their constant fights away from a public eye. And we all get that. That's how we're built. So, when you tell all how you went to MIT - the true meaning of it for the most is how you longed to go to MIT and may be couldn't either because of academic deficiency or financial inability and you make up for it by telling all without anyone asking for it. I'm not saying you did not go to MIT. I don't really care. But most people told that without anyone asking you - automatically challenge that declaration. Think what am I saying. That is the nature we're made and that is a usual reaction and antagonism drawn by that declaration. It is like saying - I'm better than you! And at the same time people say - he's not better than me because he's full of it. You see, if you'll think about what I am telling you without jumping first - you'll gain a lot in life.

Merry Christmas and good luck.

Your analysis is correct the majority of the time, however, not every time. It's nice to see some intelligence for a change, but I don't think you've ever been to Boston.

When someone throws a punch at you, you hit them back with a hammer.

Ha Ha, in that case it may be a good idea to start a Hammer business in Boston.

Believe it or not - I've been in a way much worse places than Boston and been punched and punched the others more times than I care to remember. However, I also learned very important lesson from all that. And that is that you should be the one who calls when the fight is over.