All Forums | Website Promotions

NHL Home Chase

Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 50037
Posts: 569
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 434
Posted: #251
SMIT - been meaning to ask this but when you have "NA" in a box
does that mean that it's a play, but the line is Not Avail, or that it is
"No Action" as in, it's not a play? Reason is that if counting those NA boxes, there looks like 13 bets tonight!

Thanx and Thanx for all your work!!
It is appreciated!!!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #252
NA = Not Applicable and I use it when the road team is favored.
Can't get a PL on a team that is the favorite.
I always play a home dog PL.

I think there is 11 plays tonight:
HOME
C1 DAL pl
A1 FLA pl
A1 NSH
A2 TB pl
B2 CAR
A2 ATL pl
A3 VAN

ROAD
C1 NYI pl
B1 MON pl
A1 PHI pl
A2 BOS pl

I think thats all.
It gets confusing when there are so many plays
Let's clear the board tonight!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #253
What a night. lot of $/juice out there last night with a couple Cs but they came through.

Current March record
HML/PL 26-0
RPL 21-0

Only ANA tonight
HML/PL 2A
RPL 4A
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #254
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #255


spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 134
Posted: #256
Wouldn't the RPL be a no play tonight with Chicago being favored over Anaheim?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 134
Posted: #257
A no play for you, that is. If you are just doing the RPL chase and not the home chase, it would be a play, correct?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #258
Just looked at lines and yes ANA HPL is the only play tonight.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 134
Posted: #259

thanks for all your hard work.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #260
Quote Originally Posted by longtermmoney:

thanks for all your hard work.



 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 434
Posted: #261
Thanx Smit for clarifying

Only wondered cuz I CAN get a PL on a FAV
with my book, chalky though!! so I tend to back off.

DITTO for LongTerm's comment!!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 134
Posted: #262

I try to keep an eye on sites like vegasinsider.com and cappersmall.com to see which way the lines are moving and figure out the best time to place the bet based on paying the least amount of juice. For the home chase, I'm waiting on the following games as the book lines usually catch up to the vegas lines. These numbers are for the PL.

Toronto; Vegas (-280), Book avg. (-300)

Carolina; Vegas (-230) Book avg. (-240)

Florida: Vegas (-250) Book avg. (-270)

Not a big difference, but it helps minimize the risk if the chase doesnt work out. It adds up over time.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 134
Posted: #263
Smitler, since you do the HML and RPL chase combo, what do you do in a situation where you played the RPL in game 1, it lost, and now game 2 comes and the road team is favored? Play the road team ML and home team PL?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #264
I simply don't play it.  Data shows it doesn't work to take the road team ML if they are favored.
If game 1 rpl lost then hml won therefore you would play the home team pl starting new chase if there were three games left.
A few times there was a one game RPL loss because of the situation you stated before.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #265
Awesome 7-1 on the night.
Current march record
HML/PL 33-0
RPL 22-0

Only 1 game to play on the 19th EDM
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 134
Posted: #266
Damn if there were ever going to be a time to use a filter on this home chase system it'd be with a team that didn't win a game for the entire month of January. But, they covered the PL at least a few times during that stretch, and its the only game today, so I'm on it.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #267
Yikes they are horrible.  But I will take my chances on a HPL at -130 anyday.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 134
Posted: #268
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #269
EDM outright sweet.

2 tomorrow
New series A NJ
C LA This game gives me way more uneasy feeling than EDM tonight. Be careful.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #270
March chase record
HML/PL_37-0
RPL____23-0

Season chase record
HML/PL_227-9
RPL___200-1

Tonight
B NJ ml
A NSH
A DAL pl
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 434
Posted: #271
SMIT - questions if you don't mind (I thought I had it figured out - LOL)

What are the ? marks for?
I see NASH RML & RPL on the sheet also, are they not plays?
Is DALL a personal play, as I don not see a play for them?

THX!!  -- Really like it when you post the plays, that way I can match what I get from the sheet
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 434
Posted: #272
Sorry SMIT had a brain fart about RPL/DALL


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #273
? means don't have result or line yet.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #274
I don't play RML so disregard any lines you may see listed in the RML column. That is just for the "March Lines" data gathering spreadsheet and sometimes I type them in both sheets by mistake.
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 434
Posted: #275
THX SMIT!

GREAT JOB & APPRECIATED!!!
All Forums | Website Promotions
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.