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NHL Home Chase

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Prospect
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Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 134
Posted: #301
Joe Thornton out for the Sharks tonight, that should help us.
 
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Posted: #302
March chase record HML/PL 47-0 (Season 237-9)
March chase record Road PL 31-1 (Season 208-2)

spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

3/29
A MIN ml or pl if dog
A LA pl if dog or no play
 
Prospect
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Posted: #303
Damn, plus money on the RPL in the detroit game tomorrow. Edmonton getting 1 1/2 is +130. On the flip side, Det ML is -400.
 
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Posted: #304
3/29
A MIN ml or pl if dog
A LA pl if dog or no play

March chase record HML/PL 48-0 (Season 238-9)
March chase record Road PL 32-1 (Season 209-2)

spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

3/30
B WAS
A DET -400 maybe -1.5 -150
A NYI
A TOR

A EDM pl
A NYR pl
A ATL pl
 
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Posted: #305
WAS pulled this same shit last month.

March chase record HML/PL 49-0 (Season 239-9)
March chase record Road PL 35-1 (Season 212-2)

spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

3/31
A COL
A3 PIT

A ANA pl
A2 TB pl
 
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Posted: #306
3/31
A COL   L
A3 PIT__L

A ANA pl  W
A2 TB pl  W

March chase record HML/PL 49-0 (Season 239-9)
March chase record Road PL 37-1 (Season 214-2)

spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

4/1
C WAS
B TOR
B NYI pl

A2 BUF pl

Only 2 series starting in april
TB 2, 6, 8, 10
FLA 3, 6, 8
 
Prospect
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Posted: #307
Are you cutting your losses or laying the juice with that Caps game? I can't decide.
 
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Posted: #308
4/1
C WAS_____W
B TOR_____W
B NYI pl____W

A2 BUF pl___L

March chase record HML/PL 52-0 (Season 242-9)
March chase record Road PL 37-1 (Season 214-2)

spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

4/2
B COL

Only 2 series starting in April
TB 2, 6, 8, 10
FLA 3, 6, 8
 
Prospect
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Posted: #309

Hi Guys,

I'm just starting out and this thread has caught my attention. I've checked out the spreadsheet but can't understand it. Can someone please help me out?

 
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Posted: #310
Quote Originally Posted by Shepster:

Hi Guys,

I'm just starting out and this thread has caught my attention. I've checked out the spreadsheet but can't understand it. Can someone please help me out?



The season is almost over. Only a about 4 plays left.
"MAR Plays" Spreadsheet instructions:

Home teams in the left colum
Across is the days of the month the games are played
HML=Home Money Line
HPL=Home Puck Line
RML=Road Money Line (Not Played)
RPL=Road Puck LIne

Black out means chase is over
Blue and green Means new home game stand
The cells show results and record
If you see a 3A that means 3rd chase, A (1st) game
cont=continued

That should be enough info for you to figure it out The system is explained not too far back in this thread.

 
Prospect
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Posts: 15
Posted: #311

Thanks Smitler......sounds like you're doing very well. Appreciate the explanation.

I will be on board for next year. Sorry I missed all the fun.

 
Prospect
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Posts: 194
Posted: #312
Thanks Smitler for all the wins.

Just wondering if you use that kind of system in baseball if it would be profitable too?

Thanks again
GL
Gaetan
 
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Posted: #313
4/2
B COL____L
A TB pl____L Glad I forgot to play and post that blowout

4/3
B3 PIT
A1 FLA pl

A3 ATL pl
A1 NYR pl No play they are favored RPL not available
B2 BOS pl No play they are favored RPL not available


 
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Posted: #314
4/3
B3 PIT_____W
A1 FLA pl___L

A3 ATL pl___W

March chase record HML/PL 53-0 (Season 243-9)
March chase record Road PL 38-1 (Season 215-2)

spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

4/4
C COL
Next plays will be on 4/6.


 
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Posted: #315
4/4
C COL___W
March chase record HML/PL 54-0 (Season 244-9)
March chase record Road PL 38-1+1singlegame (Season 215-2+2singlegames)
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

4/6
Looks like TOR will be a 1-game RPL loss since the road team was favored for the last two TOR home games.
These are the last three chases of the season.
B TB
B FLA pl

A CAR pl

 
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Posted: #316

Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

4/4
C COL___W
March chase record HML/PL 54-0 (Season 244-9)
March chase record Road PL 38-1+1singlegame (Season 215-2+2singlegames)
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

4/6
Looks like TOR will be a 1-game RPL loss since the road team was favored for the last two TOR home games.
These are the last three chases of the season.
B TB
B FLA pl

A CAR pl

 

 
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Posted: #317
4/6
A CAR pl_____W

April chase record HML/PL 0-0 (Season 244-9)
April chase record Road PL 1-0+1singlegame (Season 216-2)
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

4/8
C TB pl  (there will be a D game if necessary)
C FLA pl

These games are not worth chasing but for record keeping I will follow through to end of season.
May do a small parlay on them.
 
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Posted: #318
4/8
C TB pl_____W
C FLA pl____W

April chase record HML/PL 2-0 (Season 246-9)
April chase record Road PL 1-0+1singlegame (Season 216-2)
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

Nice way to end the season with 2 C wins.
I will break this all down by wins/losses for A, B, C, and D games and post someday.

If anybody followed this system I hope you made some money.
The juice is high but your risk is also limited by betting both sides.

-THE END-
 
Prospect
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Posts: 65
Posted: #319
Smitler

Found this thread too late for me to take advantage of it this year but I admire your ability to adapt as you learned more about it as the season played out.  I think you ended up with a pretty good way to approach next season.  I'm eager to see your win/loss wrapup.

Good luck.
 
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Posted: #320
NHL HOME CHASE
Last season record in post #318. I will try to track units this year for either labby or martingale or both. 
System requirement is a 3 or more HOME game stand.
You decide your own money management style.

Home Money Line/Puck Line (HML/PL)
Option 1.0: Chase home team ML or PL if dog
Option 1.1: New chase after Option 1.0 win if 3 or more home games remain

Road Puck Line (RPL)
Option 2.0: Chase the visiting team PL (No play if favored)
Option 2.1: New chase after Option 2.0 win if 3 or more home games remain

First two plays are on October 9.
The spreadsheet will be linked before game time.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #321

Smitler, why not start a new thread for this season

good luck!

 
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Posted: #322
Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

Smitler, why not start a new thread for this season

good luck!



I'm not really into starting new threads for the same thing at this point.
 
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Posted: #323
Three games start on October 9.

spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html


 
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Posted: #324
That didn't work.
This may take a while.
 
 
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Posted: #325
https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFUxYm0tdG54czU0RW5HaWJTdDd5clE&hl=en
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